Monte-Carlo final preview and pick: Wawrinka vs. Federer

Fed presser 1It will be an all-Swiss final on Sunday in Monte-Carlo, with Stanislas Wawrinka going up against Roger Federer. Both men are looking for their first title at the event.

Stanislas Wawrinka and Roger Federer will be squaring off for the 15th time in their careers when they battle for the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters title on Sunday afternoon.

Federer is dominating the head-to-head series 13-1, with a 3-1 mark on clay. Interestingly, however, Wawrinka’s lone victory over his fellow Swiss came at this same Monte-Carlo event (via a 6-4, 7-5 decision in the 2009 third round). They have faced each other only once since 2012 and on no occasions since last year’s Indian Wells Masters, where Federer prevailed in three sets.

The 2014 campaign has been kind to both men, with Wawrinka posting the most impressive results of his career and Federer enjoying a resurgence following a disappointing 2012. Wawrinka is 19-3 for the season with his first Grand Slam triumph at the Australian Open in addition to a winner’s trophy in Chennai. Federer’s 28-4 mark includes a title in Dubai and a runner-up showing in Indian Wells.

Wawrinka did not drop a set en route to the Monte-Carlo final, taking out Marin Cilic, Milos Raonic, and David Ferrer–who had upset Rafael Nadal in Friday’s quarterfinals. The world No. 3 also got a walkover past Nicolas Almagro in the third round. Federer survived one stumbling block against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, whom the No. 4 seed defeated 2-6, 7-6(6), 6-1 after being two points from defeat in the second set. That came in between straight-set scalps of Radek Stepanek, Lukas Rosol, and defending champion Novak Djokovic–who was struggling with a wrist injury.

This may not be a rout because Wawrinka is in great form, is well-rested, and clay gives him his best chance against Federer. Given his past futility, however, Wawrinka has to have a mental block against his favored countryman and that should help Federer regain the status of being Switzerland’s No. 1 player. That, too, is on the line in this one.

Pick: Federer in 3

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43 Comments on Monte-Carlo final preview and pick: Wawrinka vs. Federer

  1. If Stan wins, we can hypothesise that Fed would have been beaten by Rafa since we know Rafa would have beaten Stan if not for that “accident” against Ferru…….

    So hypothetically, Rafa won,
    Technically, he did not.

  2. Roger said when he lost to Stan in MC last time it was because he’d just come back from his honeymoon. What would be his excuse this time?

  3. Wawa wins his first Masters Shield.

    Chapeau, Beefy!

    Quite a journey. Has beaten Rafa, Novak and Fed this year…….not bad.

  4. Calendar slam for Stanimal?

    He couldn’t even celebrate his first Masters?

    Sorry for all of the antijinxings. I just simply cannot get behind Federer.

    Well done Stanford!

  5. Very very happy Stan won. Well deserved. He is the Swiss No 1 after all. Am quiet shocked though that Fed folded instead of Stan.

    I def was not rooting for Fed to win this because he simply cannot win a Masters that has eluded him by not facing Rafa and beating an injured Novak. He should win it fair and square beating the best . He already had his RG trophy not beating Rafa.

    On other hand Rafa had to beat Novak or Fed for every major trophy of his and he has beaten the best on the court to win his slams and Masters.

    And if Rafa had to play 4 Miami finals and not win it still, maybe its poetic justice that Roger too has 4 MC finals and no title

    And all of a sudden the entire pain of Rafa losing has disappeared as neither Novak or Fed won this 🙂

  6. RT @SteveTignor : “Which means it’s time for this stat again: The last man to win the Aussie-French double was Jim Courier in 1992.”

    Chinese Year of the Unknown…………..

  7. I didn’t realize Djoker also has been to 4 Cincy finals and yet to snag one, just like Rafa in Miami and MC for Fed?

    RT @acestroke78: “@bgtennisnation @hbryant42 @darren_cahill MC for Fed (0-4 in finals) just like Miami for Rafa (0-4) or Cincy for Djoker: Mission Impossible!”

    #Serendipity

    • I have to admit when the match started I was just so unimpressed, Stan was just utterly useless and I just could not understand why he was playing like that when he has the tools! It’s a good thing I left for church so I would not have to suffer through this, as I really thought Stan would have donated the match to Roger!

      It’s so amazing how this all turned out, but I insist that this will bode well for Rafa! He needs time to heal mentally and physically and now that he reAlises that he is not alone in the funk, it will help him fix what needs fixing s lot faster and come out playing with a lot more ‘colm’ next tourney.

      The clay court season is just never the same without Rafa, playing well or not!! Just hope that the top four get their acts together, improve thier health, and provide us with a great tennis season. Can’t wait to see Rafa back to his old self, Vamos!!

      Happy Easter to All!!

  8. wow, just wow, did not see this coming…I expected Fed would be motivated enough to beat this Stan but I was obviously wrong…however, deep inside me I felt the danger if Fed was to go to the third set and in that I was right…that’s why I thought Fed should win this in straights…

    Congrats to Wawa! Great win for him indeed. With w/o by Almagro, and tired Ferrer he got Fed in the finals who was already mentally spent after that match with Novak…No, I will never be convinced that Wawa could be anything near the favorite for the RG…

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