Wimbledon R4 previews and predictions: Federer vs. Sonego, Medvedev vs. Hurkacz

Lorenzo Sonego
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As expected, Roger Federer will get prestigious Centre Court billing on the second Monday at Wimbledon. Federer is facing Lorenzo Sonego in the fourth round, while Daniil Medvedev and Hubert Hurkacz are also in action.

(6) Roger Federer vs. (23) Lorenzo Sonego

Federer’s first week at Wimbledon was not entirely straightforward, but at 39 years old he will take a spot on Manic Monday any way he can get it. The 20-time Grand Slam champion lost two sets to Adrian Mannarino before the Frenchman slipped and had to retire from their first-round match due to a knee injury. Following an improved performance against Richard Gasquet, Federer struggled at times during a 6-4, 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 defeat of Cameron Norrie on Saturday. He is now 8-3 this season and 4-1 on grass, with a disappointing setback at the hands of Felix Auger-Aliassime in Halle.

Up next for Federer is Sonego, who lost their only previous encounter 6-2, 6-4, 6-4 at the 2019 French Open. Of course, it has been a tale of two different careers since then. Whereas Federer has played sparingly in recent seasons, Sonego has emerged as a force in the top 30 on tour. A complete all-court player, the 27th-ranked Italian’s grass-court success includes the 2019 Antalya title, a runner-up performance last week in Eastbourne, and now a run to the Wimbledon fourth round. Sonego has won nine of 10 sets so far this week and in the only four-set match he has played resulted in a 6-1 fourth. Eight of his nine victorious sets have been won prior to a tiebreaker being necessary. Federer’s best would win this match, but the Swiss is no longer at his best.

Pick: Sonego in 5

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WWW: Federer vs. Sonego?

(14) Hubert Hurkacz vs. (2) Daniil Medvedev

Medvedev and Hurkacz will be going head-to-head for the first time in their careers on Monday. Although Medvedev was the one expected to advance this far, he had a tougher time doing so. The second-ranked Russian battled past Jan-Lennard Struff in a fourth-set tiebreaker to begin his tournament and he came back from two sets down against Marin Cilic on Saturday. In between, mauled Carlos Alcaraz 6-4, 6-1, 6-2. A title last week in Eastbourne and an impressive effort against Cilic–the 2017 Wimbledon runner-up–should have Medvedev poised for second-week success.

Hurkacz had been a complete disaster since triumphing at the Miami Masters, with a 1-6 record during this stretch and a six-match losing streak heading into Wimbledon. From out of nowhere, however, the 18th-ranked Pole did not drop a single set throughout week one. He got favorable draws against Lorenzo Musetti and Marcos Giron before routing Alexander Bublik in impressive 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 fashion. The competition level ratchets up dramatically in the form of Medvedev, who returns too well for an opponent like Hurkacz–who has a good serve but not a great one.

Pick: Medvedev in 3

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18 Comments on Wimbledon R4 previews and predictions: Federer vs. Sonego, Medvedev vs. Hurkacz

    • Fed’s match could go to 5 but im solid at 4.

      Medvedev is coming off a 5 setter so I think Hurcakz has a stronger chance of winning a set than he otherwise would.

  1. My final selections

    Auger-Aliassime in 4 (5) sets
    Berettinni in 3 (4) sets
    Djokovic in 3 sets
    Federer in 4 (3) sets
    Rublev in 3 (4) sets
    Medvedev in 3 (4) sets
    Korda in 4 (5) sets
    Bautista Agut in 5 (4) sets

  2. I have a feeling fed is reaching the final or even winning the whole thing. It maybe something like ao 17 for him .his swan song

    Call me crazy but I think may happen

    • Fed may get to the final, which would be one hell of an accomplishment under the circs. But I really can’t see him taking Djoker down. And Fed has the tougher draw BY FAR.

    • I liked Fed’s play today. Much better than previous round. Less unforced errors. It’s coming…step by step.
      Djoko didn’t play so far not even vs Norrie or Sonego. He will get some serious warm-up vs Fucso and especially the formidable Shapovalov.

  3. I liked Fed’s play today. Much better than previous round. Less unforced errors. It’s coming…step by step.
    Djoko didn’t play so far not even vs Norrie or Sonego. He will get some serious warm-up vs Fucso and especially the formidable Shapovalov.

  4. Fed looked awesome today. Ricky I’m shocked you picked Sonego lol. Like in what world would Fed lose to him on grass? I think Mannarino and Norrie are better grass courters than Lorenzo, who has really benefitted from a dream draw before he played Fed.

  5. I did not think Sonego would beat Fed. He’s looking better with every match. But if we are to get ahead of ourselves, I don’t know that he is ready to take on Novak in the final.

    • Shapo can beat novak. He’s playing exactly like stan is and that hard hitting off both wings can defeat Novak. Will he be consistent is the qn..

      Secondly it’s good fuscovis won and not rublev. Rublev is just a ball basher.

      He can’t take down novak – yes on paper just as he was not supposed to take down rafa at ao 17,but it happened and that too break down final set.

      Meddy qf not completed, no rest day – adv fed

      Zverev could have taken down fed – lost

      Berretini and Felix – no much big stage exp ,adv fed

      It’s lining up for him I think . His swan song and then retiring end of this year.

      • I don’t think Fed is planning his retirement party yet. He likes playing tennis, especially if he can do it without quarantine. He likes having his family along but as he’s pointed out, you can’t keep four kids cooped up in a hotel room for weeks at a time.

  6. I did not think Sonego would beat Fed. He’s looking better with every match. But if we are to get ahead of ourselves, I don’t know that he is ready to take on Novak in the final.

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