The European clay-court swing continues with a bit of an off week in between two furious stretches of tennis. We just saw Monte-Carlo, Barcelona, and Belgrade come and go with star-studded fields and competitive matches pretty much from start to finish. Soon the schedule will be graced with additional Masters 1000 tournaments in Madrid and Rome. This week it’s Estoril and Munich that are taking center stage. Although the two fields are not exactly stacked relative to the other clay-court events, there is plenty on offer. Denis Shapovalov, Kei Nishikori, Frances Tiafoe, and Carlos Alcaraz headline the Estoril draw, while Alexander Zverev and Aslan Karatsev are among those in action in Munich.
Estoril Open
Where: Estoril, Portugal
Surface: Clay
Prize money: 419,470 Euros
Points: 250
Top seed: Denis Shapovalov
2019 champion: Stefanos Tsitsipas (not playing)
Draw analysis: Barcelona champion Rafael Nadal may be resting this week, but a strong Spanish contingent is taking its talents to Portugal. Most of the Spaniards are in the top half of the bracket, where Fernando Verdasco and Albert Ramos-Vinolas will go head-to-head in the first round. An in-form Jaume Munar qualified for the main draw and is a real threat to make a deep run. Munar could meet either Alejandro Davidovich Fokina or Pablo Andujar in the last 16. Things probably won’t be easy for the top-seeded Shapovalov, who hasn’t been in great form and isn’t at his best on clay.
On the other side of the bracket, Alcaraz successfully played his way into the field of 28 with a pair of weekend victories. The 17-year-old Spaniard has a blockbuster opener on his hands against Marin Cilic. Whoever wins the Alcaraz-Cilic contest will be on a collision course with Nishikori for the quarterfinals and with second-seeded Cristian Garin in the semis.
Hot: Alexander Bublik, Albert Ramos-Vinolas, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Carlos Alcaraz, Jaume Munar
Cold: Kei Nishikori, Marin Cilic, Juan Ignacio Londero, Joao Sousa, Richard Gasquet, Kevin Anderson, Gilles Simon
Semifinal predictions: Albert Ramos-Vinolas over Jaume Munar and Cristian Garin over Carlos Alcaraz
Final: Garin over Ramos-Vinolas
BMW Open
Where: Munich, Germany
Surface: Clay
Prize money: 419,470 Euros
Points: 250
Top seed: Alexander Zverev
2019 champion: Cristian Garin (not playing)
Draw analysis: Zverev knows a thing or two about success in 250-point tournaments at home in Germany. He has won four such titles, including two last fall in Cologne and two already at this Munich event (2017 and 2018). The world No. 6 will now try to make amends for last year’s quarterfinal loss to Cristian Garin, who went on to lift the trophy. With Garin playing in Estoril this time around, the door is definitely open for Zverev to capture another title. He is in a weaker top half of the draw, too. Either Filip Krajinovic or Jan-Lennard Struff could be tough in the semis, but for the most part Zverev should roll.
The bottom half of the bracket is noticeably deeper. It is home to Karatsev, Casper Ruud, Nikoloz Basilashvili, and Sebastian Korda, among others. Karatsev is the hottest player in Munich, but he is coming off a grueling week in Belgrade (lost to Matteo Berrettini in the final in a third-set tiebreaker after upsetting Novak Djokovic on Saturday). The Russian may not be in peak shape for Munich. Ruud is the most consistent clay-courter in this section, so the Norwegian should be in line for a strong result.
Hot: Aslan Karatsev, Taro Daniel, Yannick Hanfmann, Sebastian Korda
Cold: John Millmam, Maximilian Marterer, Philipp Kohlschreiber, Guido Pella, Pablo Cuevas, Tennys Sandgren
Semifinal predictions: Alexander Zverev over Jan-Lennard Struff and Casper Ruud over Thiago Monteiro
Final: Zverev over Ruud
WWW?
Zverev is on your poll twice! And Karatsev isn’t on it at all.
Marilyn,
It appears Aslan Karatsev withdrew from Munich.
Karat was supposed to be in my Munich semifinal if I recall. Certainly not Gombos, although my picking has been atrocious.
Gombos always appears as a lucky loser
I’ve got Zverev over Ruud and Garin over Ramos Vinolas.Im not too convinced about Shapo on clay though he did go far at the Italian
You are looking good Big Al. Hoping your finalists win because I have the same. But Karatsev was my finalist in Munich and won’t even mention my Estoril finalist pick. I am determined to get off the bottom next time!
Looking at my Estoril bracket my picks are a bit different from what I thought …
What do you mean, Big al?
My history of clay court bracket picking gets a C, D grade, if not F.
Humbert looked good today on the clay
Winning is what I remember about Humbert before the COVID year.
I thought I had Ramos Vinolas in the final but have Dav-Fokina, who I think is better on clay, but only if he’s not injured , which he was.If that makes sense 🙂
Yes, you make sense. I am not sure about myself making sense, though. Humbert pick is obviously a cool hair bias. 🤗
And my WTA picks are done for Madrid. The question here is who wins, Barty or Osaka. Maybe a darker horse.
I don’t know.I could have Barty winning again but would tempt fate she had lots of tough matches last week.Osaka on clay?No confidence in that. Sabalenka? Could be injured.
Picking is a bit different for Madrid than it is for the other big Clay court tournaments, right? It’s at an altitude – faster and drier. It’s a place where Federer or Murray could win. Petra Kvitova won it twice. One time it had icy blue clay 😁