Rome R2 previews and predictions: Nadal vs. Kohlschreiber, Kyrgios vs. Raonic

Rafael Nadal will be part of a jam-packed schedule in Rome as second-round action continues on Wednesday, and he faces a potentially tough opener against Philipp Kohlschreiber. Milos Raonic and Nick Kyrgios are also in action.

Philipp Kohlschreiber vs. (5) Rafael Nadal

Nadal will be looking to bounce back from a Madrid semifinal loss to Andy Murray when he takes the court at the Internazionali BNL d’Italia on Wednesday. The fifth-Spaniard captured back-to-back titles on the clay courts of Monte-Carlo and Barcelona, but his momentum–and his quest for the No. 4 seed at Roland Garros–took a hit last week. Conditions in Rome, however, have always been more advantageous for Nadal than they are in Madrid. He is 47-4 lifetime at this tournament with seven titles.

Up first for Nadal is Kohlschreiber, who is a futile 1-12 in their ATP-level head-to-head series. The nine-time French Open champion is 4-0 at Kohlschreiber’s expense on clay with set scores of 6-2, 6-3, 6-1, 6-3, 6-2, 6-4, 6-3, and 6-3. They just faced each other in Barcelona, where Nadal had no trouble coasting through a semifinal contest. Kohlschreiber set up this rematch by rolling over qualifier Inigo Cervantes 6-4, 6-2 on Tuesday afternoon. The 26th-ranked German is 20-9 for the season and 12-4 in his last 16 matches, but he is a horrendous 0-21 in his last 21 non-retirement efforts against top-10 opponents.

Pick: Nadal in 2

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(10) Milos Raonic vs. Nick Kyrgios

Raonic and Kyrgios will be squaring off for the fifth time in their careers on Wednesday. The head-to-head series stands at 2-2, but Raonic won their only previous clay-court encounter 6-3, 7-6(1), 6-3 two years ago at Roland Garros. They split a pair of Wimbledon showdowns in 2014 and 2015 before Kyrgios extended his winning streak against the Canadian to two by prevailing 6-4, 7-6(4) two months ago in the Miami quarterfinals.
Kyrgios
Both big hitters are coming off Monday victories over Italian wild cards, although they took much different routes to find the winner’s circle. Kyrgios crushed little-known Salvatore Caruso 6-1, 6-2, while Raonic scraped past a more established competitor in Marco Cecchinato 6-4, 4-6, 6-4. Despite not being at his very best, the world No. 10 improved to 24-5 for a season in which he has not yet lost prior to the quarterfinals of any tournament. Kyrgios is 20-6 and has reached at least the quarterfinals in five of seven events in 2016. The 20-year-old Australian may be more reliable from the baseline than his opponent, but Raonic wields an even bigger serve and his current match toughness may be unequaled by anyone except Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray. This could be a scenario in which Kyrgios wins as many if not more total points only to see Raonic win the bigger ones.

Pick: Raonic in 3

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32 Comments on Rome R2 previews and predictions: Nadal vs. Kohlschreiber, Kyrgios vs. Raonic

  1. As I thought he would, Nick got it done against Raonic. Can’t wait for Rafa vs NK round two. That’s barring an unlikely upset win for Kohlschreiber of course.

  2. It seems like Nick just has all the answers against Milos now. That match will be awesome between him and Rafa if it happens.

    • vr,

      I am confused. Didn’t you say in a previous comment that Rafa will have a night match against Kyrgios?

  3. huh, I could sense Rafa was nervous in this set…so was I 🙁 but he played solid set…hope he is more relaxed in the second…and no mental lapses, Rafa! Get it done in 2!

    Vamos Champ!

    • Yes, that was good shot making from Rafa to hold serve.

      Both guys playing well. Kohls shows up to play and give it his best.

      Now kohls down 0-30.

  4. That was a brain fart by Rafa to hit straight back to Kohls on 30-30 ! The return on BP was sheer brilliance from the German though.

  5. Rafa’s CC baxkhand return is so good at the moment!

    Wow Rafa delivering some knockout punches there from both wings ! Breaks again

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