Monte-Carlo R2 previews and picks: Nadal vs. Gabashvili, Federer vs. Stepanek

Rafa4Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer will contest their 2014 Monte-Carlo openers on Wednesday. Nadal is going up against Teymuraz Gabashvili and Federer is facing Radek Stepanek.

(1) Rafael Nadal vs. (Q) Teymuraz Gabashvili

Nadal’s bid to regain the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters title and win the tournament for the ninth time in his career will begin on Wednesday afternoon. The top-ranked Spaniard is 48-2 in Monte-Carlo, with losses coming in the 2003 third round to Guillermo Coria and in last year’s final to Novak Djokovic. Nadal is 21-3 this season, with titles in Doha and Rio de Janeiro. He is coming off a routine 6-3, 6-3 setback against Djokovic in the Miami championship match.

Up first for Nadal is Gabashvili, against whom the No. 1 seed is 3-0 lifetime. Gabashvili booked his spot in the last 32 with a 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 defeat of Gilles Simon on Tuesday. The relatively resurgent Russian is up to No. 58 in the world and he already owns eight ATP-level match wins in 2014. By comparison, he had three such victories in 2012 and 2013 combined. Nadal may take a round or two before he reaches peak form on clay, but on any surface–especially this one–he should have little trouble with Gabashvili.

Pick: Nadal in 2 losing 5-7 games

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Radek Stepanek vs. (4) Roger Federer

Stepanek and Federer will be squaring off for the 16th time in their careers on Wednesday. Federer is dominating the head-to-head series 13-2, including 9-0 in their last nine. Both of Stepanek’s victories came on clay, but those results were back in 2002 (3-6, 6-3, 6-2 in Gstaad) and 2008 (7-6(4), 7-6(7) in Rome). They have faced each other twice in the past year, with Federer prevailing 6-3, 6-3 last spring in Madrid and 6-2, 6-7(4), 6-3 earlier this season in Dubai.

Stepanek’s week got off to a fast start on Monday, when he destroyed Ivo Karlovic 6-1, 6-2. The 35-year-old Czech is still going relatively strong, ranked 41st in the world with a decent 7-6 record in 2014. Federer, of course, will be a much different beast than Karlovic. The fourth-ranked Swiss is 24-4 for the season, which includes a title in Dubai and a runner-up showing in Indian Wells. Clay obviously isn’t Federer’s best surface, but it should serve him well against Stepanek, whose aggressive tactics to keep points short will not work as well.

Pick: Federer in 2 losing 5-7 games

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30 Comments on Monte-Carlo R2 previews and picks: Nadal vs. Gabashvili, Federer vs. Stepanek

  1. Novak was hailed as being on a mission this clay season due to his performance yesterday. Can we say the same about The Fed? He is taking Steps to the cleaners!

  2. Just came in and saw Rafa serve had already been broken. My heart was in my mouth.
    But as the commie has just said………. “normal service has been resumed”.

    Gabashvili is giving him tough opening match. Just what he needed.

  3. is there any other shot in the history of tennis that has done more damage on any surface than rafa’s forehand has done on clay?

    Sampras serve on grass?
    federer forehand on grass/fast HC ?

    Rafa’s forehand devours his opponent…

    Reply

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