French Open QF preview and prediction: Thiem vs. Schwartzman

Dominic Thiem is back in the French Open quarterfinals for a fifth consecutive time. But it hasn’t been easy. Or at least it wasn’t on Sunday.

From two sets up, Thiem found himself in a fifth set against little-known French wild card Hugo Gaston before surviving 6-4, 6-4, 5-7, 3-6, 6-3. The U.S. Open champion had previously routed Marin Cilic, Jack Sock, and Jack Sock, but those performances hardly mean anything given his struggles against Gaston. Although it was a high-quality match for the most part, it was not what Thiem needed heading into the business end of the tournament.

“Obviously (the) last weeks were tough,” the world No. 3 admitted. “I’m not running on a full tank anymore; that’s for sure. So I’m trying to do everything to have a great recovery, to have a good day off tomorrow, and then go out on Tuesday as fit as possible. If I’m able to do that, it’s going to be an exciting match.”

That match will come against one of Thiem’s best friends on tour, Diego Schwartzman. The head-to-head series stands at 6-2 in favor of the Austrian, who has won three of their four previous clay-court encounters. They faced each other twice on the slow stuff last season, when Schwartzman prevailed 2-6, 6-4, 7-6(5) in Buenos Aires before Thiem cruised 6-3, 5-3 in Barcelona.

Schwartzman returned from the coronavirus hiatus with a trio of disappointing results, but he is suddenly playing the best tennis of his career. The 14th-ranked Argentine finished runner-up to Novak Djokovic in Rome, stunning Rafael Nadal in the process, and is now through to the Roland Garros quarterfinals for the second time. So far this fortnight Schwartzman has taken out Miomir Kecmanovic, Lorenzo Giustino, Norbert Gombos, and Lorenzo Sonego all in straight sets.

“After [Thiem’s match] I was on the bike stretching,” the 28-year-old said. “After that, Domi arrived and we were kidding, ‘Okay, this is the last time we talk each other until Tuesday.’ He was [motioning] like he was going to hit me in my legs.”

It is Thiem’s legs that could be the issue on Tuesday. With the recent Grand Slam champ running on fumes both mentally and physically, and Schwartzman on fire, an upset could be in the cards.

Pick: Schwartzman in 5

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38 Comments on French Open QF preview and prediction: Thiem vs. Schwartzman

  1. VR,

    I am hanging in there with this pandemic. It’s been difficult. Everything has been turned upside down. Then there is the political situation in the states. I just hope we can survive the insanity of Trump as he is incapable of dealing with the virus.

    It’s good to see tennis again, but it’s not the same. I think they should have waited until there was a vaccine. I miss the crowd.

    Rafa is not match ready and that concerns me.

    Great to see you here! 😀

    • They should have started playing already. Same with Wimby, very stupid. They have to be more flexible. People who want to see the other match, just get up and go to that court.

  2. The scheduling is atrocious. There is supposed to be a woman’s match played after this one. So when is Rafa going to play?

    • Got home in time to see Diego win. Glad I missed it. Dominic looked as bad as he probably ever looks. Diego, Yay, good for him!

      I’ll just wander over to the WTAA page and talk to myself until time for Rafa. I like Swiatek very much. Don’t know the other player at all – never seen her – Martina Trevisan.

    • Fat chance, the women mostly play 3 lately. Let’s hope Rafa doesn’t have to go 5.

      Thiem must have finally run out of energy in the 5th. Wasn’t sure he could be run dry. Ah, well, quick turnaround from USO plus a really nasty draw did it.

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