Cincinnati final preview and prediction: Federer vs. Djokovic

Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic will be squaring off for the 46th time in their careers when they battle for the Western & Southern Open title on Sunday afternoon.

It could be all tied up 23-23 in the head-to-head series following the final, but Federer has some work to do if he wants that to happen. Although the 37-year-old Swiss trails Djokovic 23-22, he is a perfect 3-0 against the Serb in Cincinnati finals. Federer triumphed 6-1, 7-5 in 2009, 6-0, 7-6(7) in 2012, and 7-6(1), 6-3 in 2015. The latter result came at the peak of their rivalry, as the two all-time greats faced each other an incredible eight times that season. Djokovic is 6-2 in their last eight meetings after winning their most recent showdown 6-1, 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 in the semis of the 2016 Australian Open.

Djokovic’s 0-3 mark against Federer in Cincinnati is part of a shocking 0-5 lifetime record in finals at this tournament. It is the only Masters 1000 event he has never won, but a resurgent former world No. 1 has once again given himself a chance. Djokovic’s comeback from 2017 was once slow-going, but he captured a fourth Wimbledon title and has bounced back from a Toronto loss to Stefanos Tsitsipas with victories this week over Steve Johnson, Adrian Mannarino, Grigor Dimitrov, Milos Raonic, and Marin Cilic. The 10th seed has won each of his last four matches in three sets.

Federer’s workload was extensive on Friday, when he played twice in the span of about eight hours and picked up wins at the expense of Leonardo Mayer and Stan Wawrinka. The world No. 2 preceded those results by beating Peter Gojowyczk and he followed them up with a second-set retirement from David Goffin on Saturday night (Federer took the opener in a tiebreaker).

Federer is now 46-8 lifetime in Cincinnati and one win away from an eighth tile.

“It [is] the greatest challenge in Cincinnati, without a doubt–especially here–because he’s been dominating this tournament historically,” Djokovic said of a final against one of his biggest rivals. “He won against me several times in finals. Obviously he feels great in these conditions and this surface.”

Federer is also well-rested, additionally because he skipped Toronto last week, while Djokovic is coming off four straight three-setters. Based on current form and the setting, another Cincinnati should be in the cards for the Swiss–especially if Djokovic’s second serve is as weak as it was against Cilic.

Pick: Federer in 2

[polldaddy poll=10083571]

35 Comments on Cincinnati final preview and prediction: Federer vs. Djokovic

  1. Fed should be coming forward more instead of staying at the baseline! He’s rushed by Djoko instead of rushing Djoko the way he did in the past.

      • Why better? Djoko a bigger threat to Rafa than Fed is, looking at the way Fed is playing now! Rafa will suffer again in the hands of Djoko as it’s HCs all the way now till MC next year. Funny some Rafa fans are gunning for Djoko to win and becoming his invincible self again!

        I know Djoko will be the ultimate goat, just not wishing Rafa has to suffer against him again so soon.

  2. Perfect finish for Novak going into USO. He will be top dog, man to beat!! This is truly disappointing!!

    You can see it in his eyes that ‘I cant lose’ mentality!! Nobody is beating him at USO!! Choops!!

  3. The way Fed is playing, he won’t be a threat at the USO!

    Djoko will be a serious contender at the USO, and I hope it won’t be a start to another 7 in a row wins over Rafa, as it’s HCs all the way now till MC next year.

  4. Novak came out playing so much better in this match. He was ready for Fed. This is going to be sweet for Novak if he wins this straight sets and gets the Masters slam.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.