Sunday best bets (2024 record: 144-145, -22.15 units; Weekly record: 14-15, -3.14 units)
Andrey Rublev vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime Over 3.5 service breaks (-125) – There were four breaks in Friday’s Madrid semifinal between Rublev and Taylor Fritz, and that was in two relatively quick sets. Fritz is a bigger server and more consistent all-around player, so Rublev could be even more successful with his return game on Sunday. The Russian is averaging three breaks per match during this tournament, while Auger-Aliassime has broken 13 times even though he has basically played fewer than four full matches due to retirements and walkovers. In five head-to-head matches against each other, there have been 23 total breaks. In a clay-court match those averages should be equalled or exceeded.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -1.5 aces vs. Andrey Rublev (-120) – The numbers also point toward Auger-Aliassime hitting more aces–and with room to spare. He is averaging 0.64 aces per service game so far in Madrid compared to Rublev’s 0.56. Even more important is the head-to-head situation. In five matchups the Canadian has cracked 65 aces–26 more than Rublev’s 39. That’s more than five aces per match and 1.86 per set for those counting. It’s also worth noting that Rulev is the better and certainly more consistent baseline player right now, so Auger-Aliassime is the one who will have to go for bigger, riskier serving.
Best underdog value:
———-
Best favorite value:
———-
Other top match picks
———-
WTA picks
———-
Weekly WTA record: 54-41 (correct # of sets in winning picks: 33 out of 54)
Best weekly futures bets
– Aryna Sabalenka to win Madrid (3 units at +650)
– Coco Gauff to win Madrid (2 units at +1600)
– Victoria Azarenka to win Madrid (1 unit at +13000)
– Jannik Sinner to win Madrid (3 units at +260)
– Hubert Hurkacz to win Madrid (2 units at +3500)
– Daniil Medvedev to win Madrid (1 unit at +2000)
Futures betting: +40.55 units through April 21
– Grigor Dimitrov to win Brisbane (3 units at +600)
– Andrey Rublev to win Hong Kong (3 units at +260)
– Aryna Sabalenka to win Australian Open (3 units at +400)
– Jannik Sinner to win Australian Open (3 units at +700)
– Alexander Bublik to win Montpellier (1 unit at +550)
– Ugo Humbert to win Marseille (1 unit at +800)
– Tommy Paul to win Dallas (2 units at +450)
– Alex de Minaur to win Acapulco (3 units at +700)
– Iga Swiatek to win Indian Wells (3 units at +275)
– Jannik Sinner to win Miami (3 units at +300)
– Jan-Lennard Struff to win Munich (1 unit at +1600)
– Casper Ruud to win Barcelona (2 units at +550)
2024 WTA record: 383-242 (correct # of sets in winning picks: 220 out of 383)
2023 WTA record: 951-518 (correct # of sets in winning picks: 618 out of 951)
2022 WTA record: 1084-510 (correct # of sets in winning picks: 714 out of 1084)
2021 WTA record: 1543-765 (correct # of sets in winning picks: 1043 out of 1543)
2020 WTA record: 402-221 (correct # of sets in winning picks: 254 out of 402)
2023 Best Bets record: 275-267-12
2022 Best Bets record: 255-234-6
2021 Best Bets record: 403-391-12
2020 Best Bets record: 173-135-7
Nice picks with Timofeeva (close)
And De Minaur
You need Djokovic makes the final to make up for your deficit this event
Keep rigging.
Suck on da weeeeeenz
Please tell me Zhang beats Kovacevic today. If so my $30 bet takes home $2160. All legs won yesterday with just a Zhang victory remaining. I think if I live bet and can get Kovacevic at +200 or better I might hedge and guarantee a nice payday. Keep up the good work!
Zhang should win comfortably
bad surface for Kovacevic, very good for Zhang. Kovacevic only beat Thompson in Acapulco because Thompson was gassed.
Mensik is a great talent and played extremely well. Hurkacz’s serve will probably be the difference.
Norrie is in great form, so will be interesting to see how this one pans out.
Zverev in 3 or 4
Get a life weirdo
I’m rolling dice on an aggressive Sakkari to bully Iga Siatek at those odds. She has a look and confidence. She won me ÷340 odds after losing 1st game in 3rd set vs Gauff 6-2. And I’ll hedge my action with +6.5 games and Medvedev
I like Sakkari to be competitive…but not to win.
Love wawrinka taking FAA as well Raonic in upsets today
nice call on Milos
So many swings in clay courts!!! I never bet against shelton and of course he crushed 4 winning parlays yesterday. I should have just bet 3 sets….lol
Love this site, I’m glad more people are starting to interact. I’ve visited this site everyday for like 1+ yr. Love the consistency; but most importantly, The great picks!
I have kenin crushing volleynets swrve today for a victory. I know she hasn’t been playing well but she will win in miami.
ouch!
Appreciate your thoughts / picks for WTA 500 Stuttgart because Errani overcame Kalinskaya in 3 Qualifying but she was the underdog so I lost my wager:(
Thanks for your insight!
what crappy calls today.. not even close
I regret everything ounce of my body for opening up this page.. just missed out big from following that sablenka call.. wish I just went with my instincts ..
I take everything back, I love this page and the co founders… my apologies.. had a bad week, forgive me pls and keep it up love from Australia 🥺❤️
Swiatek winning in straight sets is 50/50 according to the market.