U.S. Open SF preview and prediction: Djokovic vs. Monfils

After two previous quarterfinal appearances, Gael Monfils is finally into the semis of the U.S. Open for the first time in his career. Standing in his way on Friday, however, is world No. 1 and defending champion Novak Djokovic.

Novak Djokovic and Gael Monfils will be squaring off for the 13th time in their careers at the ATP level when they battle for a place in in the U.S. Open final on Friday.

Djokovic is sweeping the head-to-head series 12-0, including 11-0 on hard courts. Their only meeting since 2014 came earlier this season in the Toronto semifinals, with the top-ranked Serb prevailing 6-3, 6-2. Monfils has been competitive in one of their two previous U.S. Open showdowns; he lost a controversial 7-5, 4-6, 7-6(5), 0-6, 7-5 thriller in the 2005 first round before suffering a more comprehensive 7-6(1), 6-2, 6-1 beatdown in the 2010 quarterfinals.

Having stumbled in the quarters on two occasions prior to this U.S. Open, Monfils has gotten over the hump in New York to be a part of the final four for the first time ever. Especially impressive is the fact that the 12th-ranked Frenchman has stormed through this fortnight without dropping a single set in routine wins over Gilles Muller, Jan Satral, Nicolas Almagro, Marcos Baghdatis, and Lucas Pouille. Monf wins 2
But if you think the No. 10 seed has played fewer sets than anyone else in Flushing Meadows, think again. Djokovic’s trek through Flushing Meadows has been remarkably fortuitous–and it was just what the doctor ordered for a player who had been dealing with arm issues since the Rio Olympics and missed the Cincinnati Masters. In addition to wins over Jerzy Janowicz (four sets) and Kyle Edmund (straight), the No. 1 seed has gotten two retirements (Mikhail Youzhny and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga) and a walkover (from Jiri Vesely).
Djoker 2
Now Djokovic faces another opponent whose career has been plagued by injuries, but Monfils has stayed healthy and focused in 2016. His record stands at an awesome 40-11 and he could reach No. 5 in the race to London even if he loses on Friday.

“I love watching Gael,” Djokovic commented. “He’s one of the few players that I will definitely pay a ticket to watch. He’s very charismatic; plays with a smile, enjoys tennis. But also, he seems more focused at this time of his career. Especially on the hard court this year maybe he’s playing the best tennis he ever played. He’s very consistent. He hasn’t dropped a set; that says a lot about the level he’s on.”

The jury is still out on Djokovic’s level given his alarming lack of time on court this fortnight, but early returns were especially encouraging in his fourth-round rout of Edmund. There is no reason to think physical problems will suddenly reappear for a well-rested Djokovic, who should extend his head-to-head dominance of Monfils to 13-0 without too much trouble.

Pick: Djokovic in 4

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177 Comments on U.S. Open SF preview and prediction: Djokovic vs. Monfils

  1. Gael is 2-5 vs Top 10 this year and hasn’t faced a player in the Top 20 at the USO until now. Nole schooled him in TO.

    Djokovic in three losing 12-14 games.

    • Yeah, agree…Nole will have an easy job…he may not want to push too hard though and will probably let LaMonf win 8-10 games just to get some needed match practice…

      • I actually think that Nishi might be a better challenge in the final than Stanford but I don’t think either have a very good shot at beating him (unless it’s uncharacteristically hot on Sunday a la 2014).

        • Nah Stanimal has more belief and weapons plus big match experience. It will likely be a better final if it’s Stan vs Novak instead of kei vs Novak. Not saying kei couldn’t win though I just think given Stan’s past grand slam success, he would likely be a tougher matchup in the final for Novak. That’s if Nole gets there though. It seems like Novak should dust Monfils up due to the head to head and that may happen but I think la monf will push him. I don’t see an easy match for Novak. This will be the toughest test yet for Novak as Monfils is playing his best tennis ever imo. If he keeps this up he could be top 5 by the season’s end. He’s due to hit #8 if he loses this match and #6 in the race to London. I’m sure he will make the year end finals barring an injury. A pretty impressive aspect of his fantastic season is that he’s played such focused and great tennis and was still out for RG and has had some injuries and illnesses and has missed some of the year which made him rusty and lose Wimbledon first round yet he’s at the ranking he’s at right now. I’m really loving la monf this season. I will be rooting ten million percent for Monfils when he takes on Djokovic. I have Nole in four but would love to see Monfils take him out. Like I said this will be Nole’s toughest test so he will need to be ready. The thing that worries me though is Monfils maybe not having enough belief and getting off to a bad start and maybe playing nervous and defensive. He’s got nothing to lose though so I’m thinking he fights hard and continues his form and pushes Novak in this one. Allez Gael!!

          • Stan’s self-belief >> Kei’s. Stan once also said that his head to head against Novak in BO3 is pretty bad but he’s played Novak really well in slams and believes that he can beat anyone when he is on his game.

            Plus, his brand of tennis is more ‘imposing’.

            Not sure where Stan’s head is though. Haven’t even seen his matches except for some highlights so relying on the comments of some of the good posters here. One can tell Stan is not riding wave of good form but you never know. He may well peak now. If he beats Nishi, that would mean he is ready.

  2. Djokovic in 3. Love LaMonf but hugging the baseline and taking the ball early does not come naturally to him. It does to Djokovic and whatever ailed him coming in to the tournament is behind him now, imo.

  3. Seems like most of you haven’t watched most of Gaels matches this year !
    He ran out of steam last time (faced Goffin, Raonic and two more opponents) he faced Novak but this time he has conserved a lot of energy. This is probably the match that could turn around his career and the way he served against Pouille is an optimistic sign. He has also been quite consistent. Most people probably expected him to lose half the matches he played this year because they are probably not ready to accept that Gael can be serious and a dangerous player therefore they keep predicting against him.

    Prediction : Gael in 4

    P.S if he loses I am done hahah

    • I am also giving a set to Gael… just hope he avoids that annoying backhand junk-balling down the centre of the court. Don’t know why he does that :s is he just fond of letting his opponents go for big shots so that he may display his acrobatic skills?! Anyway, he’s been focused lately so I am counting on a good performance from him.

      I think Gael will show some good variation and provide competition.

      • I would like to think that Monfils will make a match of it. He has never beaten Novak, but a player has to go out there with some belief to have a chance. There is always a first time.

        Novak seems to be more himself with the time off he had in the early rounds. It may have been what he needed to get over what was ailing him. He is always tough to beat when he gets to the semis of a slam. I expect him to come out playing well.

        I think this Monfils is capable of taking a set off Novak. He has to come out and play like he is in it to win it. That’s half the battle. What I do not want to see is a repeat of what happened with Tsonga. At least go out there and give it your best. I am expecting Monfils to do that. He’s got nothing to lose and should just try to go for his shots. He’s got the athletic ability and talent to make this a match.

  4. If the real Nole turns up ,no contest.But Monfils is in best form of his life, its a Slam semi, would love to see another 5 setter.

  5. I am kind of looking forward to Gael-Novak…. have been impressed with Gael’s attitude lately and I think he will try his best today and we know he’s got some serious weapons. He did start well in Toronto but he’d played with a dozen matches in a row coming into that match with Novak.

    It won’t be an easy match at all in my opinion.

  6. Tiggy:
    Wow, totally forgot both Toronto semis were the exact same matchups! Nole abd Nishi won in TO (my picks today) but Tiggy going with the Big Baby this time around.

    “Djokovic and Monfils played one semifinal in Toronto, and Wawrinka and Nishikori played the other.

    “One thing Djokovic is very good at is making someone who is playing the tennis of his life … stop playing the tennis of his life.”

    http://www.tennis.com/pro-game/2016/09/novak-djokovic-kei-nishikori-gael-monfils-stan-wawrinka-us-open-semifinals/60881/

  7. WHAT THE F*** IS WRONG WITH MONFILS?!! he is returning second serves from where federer would would stand when doing the SABR!!!

    6-3 but it was almost 5-4!

    The ugliest set of the decade

    • J Mac just said this is the weirdest set he has EVER seen …and we know J Mac has seen A LOT of matches to say the least lol.

      Amy, I don’t know how to describe this lol.

      Monfils continues to hit rubbish shots…

      • well how come he won so many points at the end of that set? is it like some kind of terrible tennis contagion?? do you think it might spread into the next semi??

      • RC, I’ve actually thought 15 times now that he is going to retire in the next minute he plays a normal point!

        I don’t think I will ever be able to have any respect for this guy.

        He was tanking the first set and that drew some cheap points in that 5-1 game….the next thing we see is Monfils making this a tactic going forward?!

        Oh and there was an awful attempt at a SABR by Gael.

        I think he has devised a ‘genius’ strategy in his mind to throw Djokovic off rhythm.

        What stupidity is this!

  8. i just had a look at ricky’s twitter thinking he would have plenty witty things to say about this. he hasn’t tweeted anything. maybe he is in a state of shock…

    • Here’s what Ricky said and I agree! Switch us to the juniors matches.

      Ricky Dimon
      ‏@Dimonator
      Tsitsipas vs. Felix tomorrow will be way better than this

  9. Djokovic will have made 100 net approaches if this match goes for 4 sets or something… the only way Monfils wants points to end is to force Djokovic to approach the net to finish the points because Monfils is throwing junk balls

    This has to be the easiest/luckiest path to a slam final ever :s

    If this continues for another set, Monfils should be fined! Dammit there are genuine fans who have PAID to watch a slam semi!

    Now Monfils is grunting after every shot and misses three backhands in the same exact spot.

  10. They just showed that there is a 10,000 dollars fine if is seen not to be putting in his best effort. I hope they fine him 100,000 dollars!

  11. What has Monfils coach been teaching him? Absolutely rubbish from Monfils, its embarrassing for the coach sitting there watching. Monfils deserves some booing from the crowd.

    • To be fair he’s in a Slam semi. Obviously embarrassing performance here, but lets not act like he’s doing this in a first round

    • this match can’t be compared to any other. Players play practice sets with 3 times more intensity than this guy is playing a slam semi!

  12. Pathetic. Monfils deserved to get booed. Show some effort dude. Play like you have been. Just because you’re playing Djokovic and he’s a great player doesn’t mean you act like you have no shot and show less effort. Ok he’s hit a few aces this game now about to be 2-1 Djoker. Three aces in that game actually. Come on la monf. Get something going. Djoker not even tested at all this tourney. Janowicz can say he got a set off Novak when no one else has so far lol. So many people paid so much money to see this too. Show some class Gael you’re capable of a lot better than this. Come on man.

    • I don’t know manwerty..the Gael of old would do clown stuff but play serious tennis for 80-85% of the times at least…This is a complete clown out there!

      Now he is hitting some big forehands!

      Djokovic has NO clue what is coming at him!

      A biggg backhand DTL winner from Monfils and he roars.

      My response: BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

    • I actually had to stop watching this match because I was so disgusted by what I saw! I checked back to see this dismal score.

      I can’t remember a time when a player has had such as easy path through a Slam draw. Novak could have slept his way to the semis! Now this joke of a match!

      I a very disappointed in Monfils. This is exactly what I did not want to see!

      When you see how Nishi played against Murray, that is what you expect! You go out there and give it your best effort!

      Monfils should be ashamed!

  13. Jinxed it. Now this is what I wanted to see!! He’s playing awesome now. His speed is insane. That shot he hit to break back for 2-2 was amazing and now he’s serving and playing fantastic. Let’s go Monfils!!

  14. so Monfils plays some real tennis and breaks serve…the sort of tennis I expected him to play. djokovic shanked the final forehand and I think he is again having a ‘wtf-realization’ …

  15. This is a HORRIBLE match from Novak Djokovic, I doubt I’ve seen Djokovic play worse in the last three years. Gael finally exposed that weakness. But why on earth he finally started playing down a break in the third, trailing 0-2 in sets?
    Probably gonna lose anyway, basing on what I saw today, that level of concentration will not last long for Gael and Novak will probably raise his level at some point, too.

  16. Djoker stop trying to hit damn drop shots!!! Has he not learned his lesson from 3 sets. Even when Monfils was putting in a crap performance in the first 2 sets, he was still getting to every drop shot

  17. Monfils has chased EVERY single drop shot/volley by Novak in the latsa few games. He needs more back spin on those droppers because simply placing them close to the net is not enough.

    Now Djokovic playing at an incredibly-crappy level! set point Monfils for 6-2

  18. Is there something in the air? What is going on with these two guys! It’s like survival of the fittest!

    Monfils bending over like he’s ready to drop!

  19. I’ve always supported Monfils, just love watching him when he’s on. Have put up with a lot of his crap over the years. But today is just a new level of BS. How do you play like this when your serving out a set?

  20. Despite all the crap he did in the first two sets, despite all this lack of effort I just can’t stop supporting the Frenchman. If he plays on this level he showed in the third everything is possible.

  21. 0-40 to deuce on Monfils service game and he bending down after EVERY point as if he is in real pain…

    Now,Monfils wins a very lucky point thanks to a net cord dead drop…Djokovic responds by swinging his arms up in the air and smiling at the crowd !?!!

    • Now the trainer is working on novak’s other shoulder! Novak is taking a full MTO.

      They did say that it’s very hot and the conditions are bad.

      I think Monfils left the court when he heard that Novak would be taking a full MTO.

      This is just the craziest thing I have ever seen!

  22. Before the match I talked with my dad and I said that whoever wins that gets the title in my opinion. I kinda don’t believe in this anymore as both seem to be really struggling physically – Monfils bending down after every point and Nole taking multiple MTOs and limping after that last game.

  23. I am at the match. Both are not at their best and djoko has come down from his god mode of first two sets. If monf had won of the first too, it would have been interesting. Hope kei wawa will be a cracker

    • vmk..hope you are getting some entertainment now but djokovic was far from god mode in sets 1 and 2…I think it is tough to analyze watching it live… Only the first few games were high quality from him.

      Anyway, have fun vmk! hope it goes to 5 so that you can enjoy 🙂

      • Why do they not close the roof and make it more comfortable?

        I think they’ve done that at AO. When the wet bulb / heat stress index too high

    • This is one time that Novak has not raised his level of play for a semifinal match. The heat conditions are part of it. But this was an opportunity for Monfils, which he wasted. Novak is there for the taking.

      The ESPN commies said that the weather conditions should be better for the final with a later start time. It should be in the low 80’s.

      • Yeah Monfils shouldn’t have played so poorly with the lack of effort in first two sets. He had a good shot. Djoker not playing too well still. Stan or Kei should be a much tougher match. I honestly don’t think Novak will win the final. I picked him to lose to del Po in the final at the start of the tournament but kei and Stan can do it as well. I love Del Po so that was a bit biased but Stan is my second favorite behind Roger so I’m still a little suprised with myself at how I picked him to lose to Kyrgios. I mean that was probably the smarter pick if you looked at the form of each guy this hard court summer but still. I usually pick Stan to go farther. Love how he’s fought through the draw here but he’s gonna have to step it up against Kei. I’d love to see the Stanimal take his third slam. Allez Stanislas!!

        • Really I’m suprised I picked him to lose to NK cuz I made that pick so quickly. Like I just put nick through automatically. But Kyrgios did have the edge in form before the tourney. Quite a big edge in fact with his title in Atlanta and Stan’s subpar form leading into the tourney. I’m really glad Stan is in the SF though. If kei wins I would be happy for him too and I would also love it if he beat Novak in the final. I think Stan would have more of a shot though because his greater belief against the top guys like Nole.

  24. Does not look like it:( i watched rafa beat djoko for #13 in 2013 and now djoko may be getting no13 just three years later? The guy is unbelievable on hard courts

  25. I cant even remotely believe I’m saying this as a Djoker lifer, honestly think he should be the underdog against either player in the final…

  26. Why do you keep ripping your shirts…. “I keep asking myself the same question” How to bounce back from it over and over again “I just grab another t shirt from my bag and continue” Haha 🙂

    • Horrendous match. I really hope Monfils is fined!

      Djokovic is vulnerable but it would still require a big effort from either Kei or Stan.

  27. Yeah, such an ugly match! I hope Stan vs Kei is much much better than this. This USO – its truly disappointing with some dreadful matches and so many injuries and retirements.

    Djoko’s shoulders wont heal so soon, looks like Kei or Stan will have a good chance for the title, unless they too play awful tennis like Monfils.

    • I agree about this USO being disappointing. This semifinal is quite forgettable. Novak was fortunate to get through it.

      I expect Stan and Nishi to be much more of a match. I also think that whoever wins does have a shot at beating Novak.

      If Nishi wins, will he have enough left for the final. It may depend on how long this semifinal match goes.

    • Hey dont say that? The two qfs i watched live were worth it. Murray kei and delpo wawa. Yesterdays pilskova victory was good too so was halep v serena. Hoping for a great semi and aso hoping i dont empty my wallet on rafa merchandise?

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