Doha final preview and pick: Djokovic vs. Nadal

Resumption of the Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal rivalry will get an earliest possible start in 2016, as they are set to square off at their first tournament of the year. The Doha title will be at stake when Djokovic and Nadal meet again on Saturday.

Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal will be squaring off for the 47th time in their careers when they clash in the final of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open on Saturday.

The head-to-head series is all tied at 23-23 following Djokovic’s 6-3, 6-3 victory in the semis of the World Tour Finals. Nadal was once borderline dominant in this rivalry, but Djokovic has turned the tide in a major way to draw level. The Serb has won four in a row and eight of their last nine encounters. Nadal has not defeated the world No. 1 on a hard court since the 2013 U.S. Open title match, a span of five such matches.

While both players were considerable favorites to reach this final when the draw was revealed, neither did so with complete ease. Djokovic delivered consecutive 6-2, 6-2 destructions of Dustin Brown and Fernando Verdasco before things got trickier. The top seed recovered from a break down in three straight sets, beating Leonardo Mayer 6-3, 7-5 and staging a first-set comeback against Tomas Berdych to prevail 6-3, 7-6(3).

Nadal survived a pair of three-setters, outlasting fellow Spaniard Pablo Carreno Busta 6-7(5), 6-3, 6-1 and Andrey Kuznetsov 6-3, 5-7, 6-4. The fifth-ranked Spaniard also scored wins at the expense of Robin Haase (6-3, 6-2) and Illya Marchenko (6-3, 6-4).
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“To be back in a final is always a great feeling, especially the first week of the season,” Nadal assured. “For sure (it) is important for me for my confidence, (to) confirm that the end of 2015 season had been something realistic and this beginning of 2016 I am still playing well, so [I’ve] already won four matches here and [am] in the final.”

“I guess it’s a pretty important match tomorrow; let’s see what happens,” Djokovic said following his semifinal victory over Berdych. “It’s been a long rivalry. It’s an exciting challenge for both of us.”

Although Nadal has not been a challenge for Djokovic of late, the 14-time major champion was a shadow of his real self throughout 2015. This one should be far more competitive than their four most recent showdowns, but Nadal is not quite ready to turn the rivalry back in his favor–at least not on this surface.

Pick: Djokovic in 2

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28 Comments on Doha final preview and pick: Djokovic vs. Nadal

  1. Novak forcing Rafa to hit right back at him so that he can redirect the ball at will.

    Sigh. Rafa’s serve tends to break down when he’s tense and I wonder when then he can be less tensed?

    Rafa running out of ideas. At the rate this match is going, Rafa may fare worse than Berdych against Novak. So hard to watch this!

  2. Novak has 11 forehand winners and 2 backhand winners. Commentators saying that the I/O forehand is doing all the damage.

    The crowd is trying to get Rafa going.

    This is just so hard to watch.

  3. They said that Rafa was looking over to Uncle Toni.

    His camp is showing just how difficult this is for them to watch.

  4. It seems that all aspects of Rafa’s game break down against Novak these dsys. The serve, the ROS. It all just goes down the drain.

    Somehow Rafa has to break this pattern of getting broken early, because it just makes it too easy for Novak.

    What is frustrating is that Rafa had such a good start, pressuring Novak in his first service game with chances to break. Then it all went downhill.

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