Barcelona final preview and prediction: Nadal vs. Nishikori

It will not only be the No. 1 vs. No. 2 seed on Sunday in Barcelona, but it will also be the two men who have dominated this tournament to the tune of 10 titles in the last 11 years. Rafael Nadal and Kei Nishikori will battle for a familiar winner’s trophy.

Rafael Nadal and Kei Nishikori will be squaring off for the 10th time in their careers and for the second time this season when they meet again in the title match of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell on Sunday afternoon.

Nadal is dominating the head-to-head series 8-1, including 2-0 on clay. In one of those clay-court showdowns, however, Nishikori seemed to be cruising to the 2014 Madrid title but ended up retiring in the third set because of a back injury. Nadal had previously trounced Nishikori on the slow stuff via a 6-4, 6-1, 6-3 scoreline at the 2013 French Open. They most recently faced each other earlier this spring in Indian Wells, where the Spaniard cruised 6-4, 6-3.

It is not often that Nadal goes up against a two-time defending champion of a clay-court tournament, but that will be the case in this one. After Nadal captured eight Barcelona titles in the span of nine seasons, Nishikori lifted the trophy in both 2014 and 2015. The world No. 6 is one victory from doing the same following straight-set defeats of Thiemo De Bakker, Jeremy Chardy, Alexandr Dolgopolov, and Benoit Paire.

Kei

A resurgent Nadal will be No. 2 in the race to London on Monday and–as usually–he is looking especially impressive on clay. The top seed is coming off a much-needed title in Monte-Carlo, where Novak Djokovic lost early before Nadal took care of Andy Murray and Gael Monfils in the semis and final. Not looking back in Barcelona, Nadal punched his ticket to the championship match by beating Marcel Granollers, Albert Montanes, Fabio Fognini, and Philipp Kohlschreiber all in straight sets.

“Tomorrow I will play against one of the world’s best players and it will be complicated,” the world No. 5 assured. “I have to play a great match to win the final.”

The good news for Nadal is that it may not be as complicated as it could be on a fast hard court, such as the one on which Nishikori got the job done 6-2, 6-4 in last summer’s Montreal quarterfinals. Nishikori, who loves to take balls early, has a much easier time hitting through Nadal on a slicker surface. With his confidence regained and advantages in terms of both the surface and the crowd, Nadal should be able to hold off an in-form opponent.

Pick: Nadal in 3

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23 Comments on Barcelona final preview and prediction: Nadal vs. Nishikori

  1. :/ That was poor judgement on that volley…the ball was coming slowly and he had plenty of time to judge… he just did not want to hit the volley it seemed…

    4-3 ! Bad

  2. Rafa only shaky today the three games after he broke serve.

    That, and the excessive sweating in cool conditions tells me he is still anxious but just overall doing a better job of managing it than last year.

    His remaining lack of consistencies nerves (anxiety) nothing more.

    Come on Rafa!!!!

  3. Tell me about it! But Rafa did not do enough and Nishi was the aggressive one.

    Why can’t Rafa close out matches? This is maddening.

  4. Five down ✌ ✌ ✌ ✌ ✌!
    The last man standing takes the prize: Rafa lifts the Barcelona trophy for the 9th time !!!!!!!!!

    ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

    Vaaaaaaaaamooooooooos Raaaaaaaaafaaaaaaaaa !!!!!!!!!

  5. Winning the title in Barcelona today means that Rafa is:
    ¤ the first man to win the Barcelona tournament 9 times;
    ¤ the first man to win 3 tournaments at least 9 times each (FO & MC Masters & Barcelona);
    ¤ now tied with Guillermo Vilas for most clay court titles (49) in the Open Era.
    ? to Rafa !!!!!!!!!

  6. These matches just serve to toughen Rafa up. Heis verrrrrrrrry close to being the relentless Rafa we all know and love!

    Vamos Rafa!

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