First round
Djokovic over Prizmic in 3, Popyrin over Polmans in 4
Hanfmann over Monfils in 5, Murray over Etcheverry in 5
Mannarino over Wawrinka in 5, Shevchenko over Munar in 4
O’Connell over Garin in 4, Shelton over Bautista Agut in 4
Fritz over Diaz Acosta in 3, Carballes Baena over Gojo in 5
Marozsan over Cilic in 4, Sweeny over Cerundolo in 4
Musetti over Bonzi in 4, Van Assche over Duckworth in 4
Thompson over Vukic in 4, Tsitsipas over Berrettini in 3
Sinner over Van de Zandschulp in 3, De Jong over Cachin in 5
Kubler over Galan in 4, Baez over Wolf in 5
Tiafoe over Coric in 4, Machac over Mochizuki in 4
Kovacevic over Tabilo in 5, Khachanov over Altmaier in 3
De Minaur over Raonic in 3, Arnaldi over Walton in 3
Kotov over Rinderknech in 4, Jarry over Cobolli in 3
Korda over Kopriva in 4, Harris over Halys in 3
Daniel over Eubanks in 4, Rublev over Seyboth Wild in 3
Rune over Nishioka in 3, Djere over Cazaux in 4
Fils over Vesely in 3, Safiullin over Griekspoor in 5
Humbert over Goffin in 4, Zhang over Coria in 3
Mensik over Shapovalov in 4, Hurkacz over Jasika in 3
Dimitrov over Fucsovics in 4, Kokkinakis over Ofner in 5
Marterer over Borges in 4, Davidovich Fokina over Lestienne in 3
Thiem over Auger-Aliassime in 5, Muller over Grenier in 5
Ruusuvuori over Kypson in 3, Medvedev over Atmane in 3
Zverev over Koepfer in 3, Klein over Kwon in 4
Michelsen over McCabe in 4, Lehecka over Zapata Miralles in 4
Norrie over Varillas in 4, Lajovic over Zeppieri in 5
Purcell over Valkusz in 4, Ruud over Ramos-Vinolas in 3
Paul over Barrere in 3, Draper over Giron in 3
Kecmanovic over Watanuki in 5, Struff over Hijikata in 5
Bublik over Nagal in 4, Shang over McDonald in 4
Evans over Sonego in 5, Alcaraz over Gasquet in 3
Second round
Djokovic over Popyrin in 3
Murray over Hanfmann in 5
Mannarino over Shevchenko in 3
Shelton over O’Connell in 4
Fritz over Carballes Baena in 4
Marozsan over Sweeny in 5
Musetti over Van Assche in 4
Tsitsipas over Thompson in 4
Sinner over De Jong in 3
Baez over Kubler in 5
Tiafoe over Machac in 4
Khachanov over Kovacevic in 4
De Minaur over Arnaldi in 3
Jarry over Kotov in 5
Korda over Harris in 5
Rublev over Daniel in 3
Rune over Djere in 4
Fils over Safiullin in 5
Humbert over Zhang in 4
Hurkacz over Mensik in 3
Dimitrov over Kokkinakis in 3
Davidovich Fokina over Marterer in 3
Thiem over Muller in 5
Medvedev over Ruusuvuori in 4
Zverev over Klein in 3
Lehecka over Michelsen in 4
Norrie over Lajovic in 5
Ruud over Purcell in 4
Paul over Draper in 5
Kecmanovic over Struff in 4
Shang over Bublik in 5
Alcaraz over Evans in 3
Third round
Djokovic over Murray in 3
Shelton over Mannarino in 5
Fritz over Marozsan in 4
Musetti over Tsitsipas in 5
Sinner over Baez in 3
Khachanov over Tiafoe in 5
De Minaur over Jarry in 3
Rublev over Korda in 3
Fils over Rune in 5
Hurkacz over Humbert in 5
Dimitrov over Davidovich Fokina in 4
Medvedev over Thiem in 3
Zverev over Lehecka in 4
Ruud over Norrie in 4
Paul over Kecmanovic in 5
Alcaraz over Shang in 3
Fourth round
Djokovic over Shelton in 3
Fritz over Musetti in 5
Sinner over Khachanov in 4
De Minaur over Rublev in 5
Hurkacz over Fils in 4
Dimitrov over Medvedev in 5
Zverev over Ruud in 3
Alcaraz over Paul in 4
Quarterfinals
Djokovic over Fritz in 3
Sinner over De Minaur in 4
Dimitrov over Hurkacz in 4
Zverev over Alcaraz in 5
Semifinals
Djokovic over Sinner in 4
Dimitrov over Zverev in 5
Final
Djokovic over Dimitrov in 3
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who ya got?
Hey Ricky,
You wrote an article on “Pickwise” where you picked Sinner to win The Australian Open. Why would you write two different articles with two different predictions. Come on bro.
simple. one takes odds into account. the other does not.
nobody in their right mind is picking Sinner to beat Djokovic in Australia at even money. When you get him at 7/1 odds, sure.
https://www.pickswise.com/news/australian-open-tennis-2024-predictions-mens-singles-winner-preview-best-bets-sinner/
How is Sinner a 3 star best bet but loses to Djokovic here?
simple. one takes odds into account. the other does not.
So why put money on Jannik Sinner when you think Djokovic wins? They are in the same half. Are you looking to hedge if they meet in a SF?
I am not even upset or angry but there are people who tail you. I wouldn’t tail anyone as I would make my own decisions. You should let this forum know that you post straight up picks here BUT have gambling decisions elsewhere. That’s all I’m saying.
honest question: do you bet on sports? Do you know how odds work?
if you consider +700 to be good value, you bet on it. Even if you don’t “think” it’s going to happen.
if Carlos Alcaraz was +5000 to win the tournament, everyone in the world would bet that. Even if they don’t “think” he is going to win.
and to be clear, I don’t have money on Sinner (or on anyone else). I’m just telling readers what I think the best bets to make are.
There is NO value on Sinner at +700 if you think he loses to Djokovic. Honest question: You’re going to bet Joker at -400 to beat Sinner?Say you have 1 Unit on Sinner at $100. That’s TERRIBLE value.
Don’t insult me with the betting question when your value bet makes no sense in this case. If you wagers Medvedev at 11-1 upward, there is value. Your one star play on Dimitrov is your best one. But not worth a full unit.
My advice to you from a betting perspective is to probably sit this tournament out.
why would I (or anyone else) bet on Djokovic at -400 to beat Sinner? Especially when I’m on Sinner on outright at +700?
Crazy talk.
calm down. wasn’t an insult and neither was any other comment. I legitimately wanted to know what your betting knowledge is.
I know how value works. You’d be betting on Sinner looking to hedge. No value here on the Sinner play. Take the L and provide another example.
Like I said prior, ANYONE who listens to an “expert” on where to put their hard earned money shouldn’t be betting in the first place no matter what sport. The value is on the other side of the draw. Betting against Novak in Australia is like betting against prime Nadal in Roland Garros. Sinner at +700 offers no hedge value. You’re telling people to piss money away OR bet on Joker in the semifinal to make like $75 after your initial Sinner bet.
Sinner just beat Djoko 2/3 times in 3 weeks on hard courts. But he is unproven in Grand Slams. Also matches up well with Alcaraz on hard courts. Also, likely better for him to possibly face Djoko before the Final.
Other good values are de Minaur (more when it was 66/1 but now down to 33/1) and Dimitrov 40/1.
what about Zverev at 25/1, seems like decent value.
Yes, I very much fancy his chances. He’s my top pick.
Yes, I fancy him. He’a my top pick!
Did you like my Draper pick, too?
You think Sinner has nice value yet you think he is going to lose in the semifinals. So are you letting your one unit play ride on him or are you hedging and betting Djokovic to win if/when they match up?
I don’t think you understand how value plays work. You wrote that Djokovic beats Sinner. If you like Sinner, value plays are half a unit on “Name the Finalists” sinner v Alcaraz or sinner v Medvedev at 13-1 and 32-1. No way in the world Sinner beats Djokovic and Alcaraz/Medvedev back to back in a best of 5.
Maybe I should sit out. Yea right. Yet you have the “accolades” to promote different picks and what you call “value” on multiple sites. Obviously someone thinks you have something because you are writing for them. All the credit in the world to you for the accolades.
Best of luck to you. I hope you consider Medvedev, Rublev, and Zverev at longer odds. Djokovic is -420 to make the Final.
no way that Fils beats Rune; Dtrov flames out before the Quarters, and Sinner wins it all.
I think Rune can go close. He’s like a superstar 3yo race horse 2rd up after a spell with an x2 record.
Alcaraz should be dialed in also. He aleays brings it when there’s a lot to play for.
Zverev and Dimitrov are flying but they may have already played their best match.
Hurkacz should be ok because of his style but he may have overplayed, also.
The weather is mild so they might be ok.
I think Rune and Zverev booked Nadal’s ticket back home.
Ive gone for Djoko over Alcaraz in the final
(semis Djoko d SInner, Alc d Med)
But my alternative scenario and far more exciting :
Sinner d Djoko
Zverev d Dimitrov
Sinner wins