World Tour Finals preview and prediction: Murray vs. Wawrinka

Murray 2The last semifinal spot at the O2 will come down to the final round-robin match on Friday night when Andy Murray goes up against Stan Wawrinka. Both players are currently 1-1 and the winner will finish second in Group Ilie Nastase behind Rafael Nadal.

Andy Murray and Stan Wawrinka will be battling for a place in the semis of the World Tour Finals on Friday night in London.

Shockingly, this is their first meeting in more than two years. They last faced each other at the 2013 U.S. Open, where Wawrinka rolled 6-4, 6-3, 6-2 to make the head-to-head series a more even 8-6 in Murray’s favor. The Scot has won six of their eight hard-court encounters, but their last four such showdowns have been split 2-2. Their only previous indoor collision came seven years ago in Marseille, where Murray prevailed 3-6, 7-6(5), 6-1.

Each man’s round-robin fate at the O2 will be sealed by the outcome of this match. Both Murray and Wawrinka are 1-1, while Rafael Nadal has already wrapped up Group Ilie Nastase at 2-0 (with head-to-head advantages over Murray and Wawrinka), while David Ferrer is eliminated at 0-2. Thus the winner of this title will be the No. 2 qualifier from the foursome.

Murray opened in decent enough form, taking care of Ferrer 6-4, 6-4 on Monday afternoon. Two days later, however, the second seed was reduced to little more than an innocent bystander in a 6-4, 6-1 pasting by Nadal.

Wawrinka is trending in the opposite direction. The third-ranked Swiss seemed lost in just about every way in a 6-3, 6-2 setback against Nadal before recovering to beat Ferrer 7-5, 6-2. Wawrinka continued to struggle early and trailed the Spaniard 5-2 in set one, but he finally found the range and overpowered his opponent the rest of the way en route to a convincing victory.
Wawa 2
The principal question heading into this one involves how motivated–or not–Murray is to stick around on an indoor hard court in London instead of going back to clay-court practice in advance of next week’s Davis Cup final between Great Britain and Belgium. The British No. 1 spent the previous week honing his game on the slow stuff, made a successful surface transition against Ferrer, but then looked borderline lifeless versus Nadal.

Count Wawrinka among those pondering the answer.

“It’s tough to say what he’s thinking,” the reigning French Open champion said of Murray. “If he’s completely focused or not. If he’s already thinking too much about Davis Cup. It’s impossible to know exactly what we can expect from him for Friday. For sure if I look the match today, I think was a little bit flat. For sure the fact he practiced so much after Paris on clay to get the rhythm doesn’t help him to feel completely fresh this week. We’ll see.”

Based on the Davis Cup factor and their respective performances on Wednesday, Wawrinka has to like his chance. And he may do Murray a favor by sending him on his way to Belgium.

Pick: Wawrinka in 3

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50 Comments on World Tour Finals preview and prediction: Murray vs. Wawrinka

  1. My picks before any matches started.
    Group: Nastase
    Murray d. Ferrer in 3
    Nadal d. Wawrinka in 3
    Nadal d. Murray in 3
    Wawrinka d. Ferrer in 3
    Nadal d. Ferrer in 3. Friday match. Rafa in 2, more like it.
    Wawrinka d. Murray in 3. Friday match. Stan in 3. Go Stan!
    …………………………………
    Nadal: 3-0
    Wawrinka: 2-1
    Murray 1-2
    Ferrer 0-3

  2. Even though I would love to see wawrinka win, sadly he can’t. His game is riddled with way to many errors at the moment. Yes he was able to get by Ferrer, but only because he cant push stan back in the court. Its too sad wawrinka only saves his best tennis for majors. Murray will easily outrally wawrinka on this one.

    Murray in 2.

    • Well ok but just remember that your membership in the Tenngrand Pick’em Club is still in the probation period.

      Just be careful that you don’t claim picks after the match that never really happened or use qualifiers such as “If he plays well…” for example.

      #HereToHelps

  3. Don’t care that much who wins. For DC purposes don’t want Muzz wearing himself out , but he’s the boss, not me πŸ™‚
    Good match!

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