Rafael Nadal will be facing familiar foe Fabio Fognini when they take the court for third-round competition on Thursday in Shanghai. A quarterfinal spot will also be on the line when Roger Federer goes up against Alexandr Dolgopolov.
(1) Rafael Nadal vs. Fabio Fognini
Nadal and Fognini will be squaring off for the 13th time in their careers when they meet again round three of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on Thursday. The head-to-head series stands at 9-3 in favor of Nadal, who is 4-1 against Fognini on hard courts and 4-0 overall in their last four since the Italian pulled off a stunning five-set upset at the 2015 U.S. Open. The Spaniard has prevailed twice in 2017; 6-1, 7-5 in the Miami semifinals and 7-6(3), 3-6, 6-4 on the clay courts of Madrid.
Possible fatigue suggests this may be a favorable time for Fognini to get another win over Nadal, but current form does not. The world No. 1 is riding a 13-match winning streak that includes titles at the U.S. Open and in Beijing. Nadal showed no signs of slowing down when he clobbered Jared Donaldson 6-2, 6-1 in a lightning-quick 54 minutes on Wednesday. Fognini has advanced with a 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 defeat of Fernando Verdasco and a 7-6(7), 6-3 victory over Lucas Pouille. The world No. 28 is a respectable 34-20 this season with a 6-2 record this fall that includes a runner-up performance in St. Petersburg. Nadal may run out of gas at some point this week, but he is playing too well and will be too motivated against this particular opponent to suffer a third-round exit.
Pick: Nadal in 2
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(Q) Alexandr Dolgopolov vs. (2) Roger Federer
Federer remained mathematically alive in the race with Nadal for the year-end No. 1 ranking when he beat Diego Schwartzman 7-6(4), 6-4 on Wednesday. The 36-year-old Swiss is playing for this first time since the U.S. Open, where he reached the quarterfinals despite a bad back and then lost to Juan Martin Del Potro. Federer is an awesome 40-4 this season with major titles at the Australian Open and Wimbledon.
Up next for the second seed on Thursday is Dolgopolov, who is 0-4 in the head-to-head series and 0-9 in total sets. Their two most recent encounters have come at Grand Slams, with Federer cruising 6-3, 7-5, 6-1 at the 2016 Australian Open and getting a retirement while leading 6-3, 3-0 a few months ago at Wimbledon. Dolgopolov is healthy and in much better form now, with a recent fourth-round showing in New York and a runner-up finish in Shenzhen. The 41st-ranked Ukrainian has already won four matches in Shanghai–two in qualifying and at the expense of Jack Sock and Feliciano Lopez in the main draw. A plethora of matches in his legs and a much tougher opponent on the other side of the net will likely see the end of Dolgopolov’s run.
Pick: Federer in 2 losing 8 games or fewer
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who ya got?
Roger Federer will win shanghai period, next tournament plzzz.
#let’smoveon
If you are set on Shanghai, Pl move on and do not worry about commenting here. Fed can win but so can others.
Nadal is playing on another level! Fed looked ok but no where near what he was pre-clay Court season
You and others are underestimating Fed’s ability to work his way into form at a tournament like this. Just look what he did in 2014 at this exact event. He beat Mayer barely in round one, having to save multiple match points. Then he goes on to win the title. This year’s Fed is better than 2014 Fed too and don’t forget that this year’s Fed was a lot rustier at the start of both the Australian Open and Wimbledon, where he won. Now he hasn’t played since the US Open and he’s come back to a fast surface where his game should translate beautifully as always.
Let’s move on people, shanghai is over cos Fed has won it.
I wish we can get a Fedal.
Yes but in 2014 Nadal was injured and now he’s back, his backhand is bigger than ever and his serve is big (not quite bigger) but more accurate and varied than ever
That’s not my point lol. Wasn’t discussing Rafa. Obviously he is playing better than he has since 2013.
After watching my recording of Rafa’s match, I would not bet against him. He is feeling it right now. That was a clinic. His body language oozes confidence and thercus a clarity of thought and precision in his game. Rafa is just on his game.
I am wondering if maybe he should keep playing. He is in such great form. Donaldson cane in playing well himself. But Rafa just destroyed him.
Fog has no chance against this Rafa. I don’t think Dimi does either, if he gets past Querrey. Rafa is a mental beast right now, a man on a mission.
What about fed vs rafa nny if it happens ?
I know you asked NNY, Sanju, but I’d like to join the conversation. 🙂 Historically, the safe bet when they play each other post-US Open has been to pick Federer. However, aside from 2013 when Fed was a pathetic shadow of himself, I think this could be Rafa’s best shot at getting a post-US Open win over Fed. I can’t say that I would be ready to put money on it just yet, as Fed has historically played himself into very good form in Shanghai if he makes it through the early rounds. However, if Fed manages to nake the final by scraping by his opponents and struggling along the way, and Rafa continues blowing everyone away who he faces, then I would probably end up picking Rafa to beat Fed for his maiden Shanghai title. On the other hand, if Fed ends up getting into really good form on his favorite type of surface and manages to blow guys like Zverev off the court, then I would say it would have to be a 50/50 odds for both of them. So for me, making a prediction should they meet in the final depends a lot of how they each look heading into a potential showdown. They need to get there first, and they both have some potentially tough matches on the way there.
Sanju,
Sorry I did not answer you sooner, but I just gave t back on here and saw your question. I see that Kevin gave his answer to you.
I am keeping in mind that both Fed and Rafa have to get to the final. I know that conventional wisdom says that these courts give Fed the advantage. But Rafa is in exceptional form and is showing that he is comfortable on tgee courts. Rafa is brimming with confidence. You see it in his eyes, his body language. He knows what he wants to do.
Confidence is everything to Rafa. Winning breeds winning and for Rafa it has all come together beautifully. I am enjoying watching Rafa feeling good and playing outstanding tennis.
I like Rafa’s chances. This Rafa can beat Fed. I don’t see Rafa letting Fed beat him again on hard courts. This is a different Rafa than the one who played Fed in the AO final, I/W and Miami.
Agree with you NNY. For Rafa it’s not about the court surfaces but his confidence in his game. When he’s playing well he can win on fast HCs and also on grass.
He said it himself (when he was asked how he managed to win at Montreal fast HCs when he’s only 19 yo in 2005, when most people viewed his tennis was at that time suited for clay), that he was playing with confidence and so it didn’t matter how the surface was. In that year, he even won on fast indoor HC at Madrid against big serving Ljuby, after coming back from two sets down in a BO5 final.
I think if Fedal meet in the final, Rafa will get his win over Fed.
Thanks nny, Kevin , lucky for your views. Hope it comes true.
Worried about dimitrov tomorrow.
Gasquet and simon are at it for so long now that fed will sweep the floor with either.
I get the feeling that Fognini is in for a thorough ass-whooping tomorrow….
Most likely lol
It’s tough to imagine Rafa being troubled by Fognini when he’s this confident and focused. But also Fognini has this possible Grand Slam suspension hanging over his head, and he knows that everyone think he’s a piece of shit asshole, so I can’t imagine that his head will really be in the match… Although is his head ever really in the match haha?
Talk about being his own worst enemy. It seems marriage and a new baby have done nothing to calm him down. He is such a Jekyll and Hyde character. Living under the cloud of the threatened suspension is bound to affect him – it will be intriguing to see how he copes with being fettered.
#Make or break looming
I did not know that Fog is under threat of suspension. I think maybe that might be what he needs.
I just can’t see Rafa having a problem with Fog. Rafa is just too focused right now,
benny g what’s your picks please ? 🙂
Nadal and Roger both in straights
Rafa to clear the Fog quite easily…
Haha, I like that, VR. 🙂 The Fog will have been lifted by Rafa tomorrow (today in China)!
Rafa and Roger, both in straights. I’d give the Dog a set but he’s probably tiring a bit, playing qualies.
To those who say Rafa shouldn’t have played the Asian swing:
Q. Roger yesterday said he thought maybe you would have withdrawn from Beijing because you had a lot to do after the US Open and then the Laver Cup, but that, as you are so professional, you went to Beijing and even won it. How did you feel coming into this Asian swing? As tired as Roger said, or…
RAFAEL NADAL: No, last week I was not tired. No, no, I was ready to play and I play. No, no, is an important part of the season, and if my body holds at important events, Beijing has been an event that I fighted to win for a while, so I was not able to make that happen. Finally I did this year.
Was important tournament for me, important moment, and am playing good tennis. And now here we are in Shanghai and is another important event for me. Is just another Masters 1000 that I gonna fight to be ready for compete the best way possible.
Let’s see if I am able to make that happen. We practice now and hope to have the positive feelings and be ready for tomorrow. That’s all. I go day by day, and my calendar always depends on my body feelings and my mental feelings. I felt ready to be here, and here I am. So what’s go later, I don’t know.
I’d like Roger to win Shanghai and equal Lendl’s record of 94 titles, but according to this post there seems to be too many obstacles in Roger’s way, with Raf being the biggest http://www.138mph.com/tennis-rafael-nadal-stands-between-roger-federer-and-ivan-lendls-record/
Kavita, please don’t worry, R. Federer will win shanghai and it doesn’t matter who he meets in the final.
This tournament has been over the moment R. Federer decided to play in it.
His biggest obstacle is not R. Nadal, he will take care business when the time comes.
Health is his problem and i know he is better than he was at the US OPEN.
If Rafa makes it to the final that would be a gift to RF not because Rafa hasn’t been amazing but because Roger is the best and the way he defeated Rafito this year even during tough situations has been classic, Rogerlicious, Incredible to the end.
#don’tworry
#shanghaiiscominghome
#thekingisback
#yeahbaby
Keep calm, remain focused, stay confident, be strong and show your fighting spirit, Rafa!
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DL7RAnAWAAIUSA4.jpg
Ace #2 to seal the 3rd game, Rafa 3-0.
Routine first set for Rafa 6-3.
You can eat dinner now Rafa. 6-3, 6-1.
Wow, Rafa looking scary good out there! Great serving, fantastic backhand, killer forehand, moving extremely well on this fast surface and makes only 4 UEs! Such a joy to watch!
Vamos Rafa!
An even more routine 2nd set. It was not like Foggy was playing poorly – Rafa just smothered him.
YEEESSSSS!!….WOOOOHOOOOO!!…Alhamdulillah!Victory once again!!…But,is it just me or i thought his perfomance against Donaldson was better than today??IMO,he’s also not aiming his FH DTL often against Fognini even tho that space was empty and is there for the taking..He seems happy to just engaged Fognini to his BH all the time…Why is that??Is it because the insecurity creeping back into his mind?Even for a tiny bit?..Any thought Lucky?Or VR??
Insecurity? It’s more like showing respect for Foggy. Can’t compare Jared to Foggy, Foggy is more experienced and strikes the ball much better than Jared.
When Foggy decides to play, even the top players find it hard to contain him and needs to work hard to do so. I’m just glad Rafa wasted no time and effort in containing him today.