Rogers Cup QF previews and picks: Nadal vs. Matosevic, Raonic vs. Gulbis

A relatively depleted Montreal draw is not without Rafael Nadal, who is still alive and going up against surprising quarterfinalist Marinko Matosevic on Friday. Milos Raonic and Ernests Gulbis are also bidding for a spot in the last four.

(4) Rafael Nadal vs. Marinko Matosevic

Nadal and Matosevic will be facing each other for the second time in their careers and for the second time this season when they clash in the quarterfinals of the Rogers Cup on Friday. They just met on Nadal’s clay-court stomping grounds of Monte-Carlo, where the Spaniard dominated 6-1, 6-2. Less than four months later, Nadal’s 2013 record stands at 45-3 with its only real blemish a stunning first-round Wimbledon loss to Steve Darcis. The world No. 4 is back on track in Montreal with straight-set scalps of Jesse Levine and Jerzy Janowicz.

Matosevic’s sudden hot streak has come out of nowhere. Prior to last week in Washington, D.C. he had not won a match since the Queen’s Club first round–a span of five straight losses. The 74th-ranked Australian, though, reached the quarterfinals of that event and he finds himself at the same stage this week thanks to victories over Benjamin Becker, Tommy Haas (via first-set retirement), and Benoit Paire. Matosevic needed two hours and 30 minutes to hold off Paire 7-6(7), 6-7(10), 6-3, so that will not help his already-slim chances. The underdog will have a better shot on hard courts, but Nadal should dominate from the back of the court early and often.

Pick: Nadal 7-5, 6-2

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(11) Milos Raonic vs. Ernests Gulbis

Raonic and Gulbis will be squaring off for the fourth time in their careers during quarterfinal action on Friday. All three of their previous encounters have gone in Raonic’s favor and he has never even lost a single set to Gulbis. The Canadian prevailed 6-4, 7-5 at the 2011 Monte-Carlo Masters, 6-2, 7-6(3) on the indoor hard courts of Memphis in 2012, and 6-2, 7-6(6) earlier this season in Barcelona. Gulbis, however, has not only displayed flashes of brilliance in 2013 but he has also been surprisingly consistent. The 38th-ranked Latvian’s 27-12 record features a title in Delray Beach, a fourth-round showing at the Indian Wells Masters, and a 6-4, 6-3 upset of Andy Murray on Thursday.

Raonic’s third-round triumph was also a straight-set ousting of a higher-ranked opponent (Juan Martin Del Potro), but it was not without controversy. With Del Potro serving at 4-3 in the second, Raonic hit a winner but touched the net with his foot. It went uncalled, Raonic broke one point later, and he also won the next two games to end it in abrupt fashion. The world No. 13 improved to 24-13 for the year, which includes a title in San Jose and a semifinal finish in Barcelona. Raonic had cooled off considerably since Barcelona prior to his arrival in Montreal, but his past history against Gulbis and home-court advantage in Canada should give him a slight edge.

Pick: Raonic in 3

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32 Comments on Rogers Cup QF previews and picks: Nadal vs. Matosevic, Raonic vs. Gulbis

  1. Well, I am rooting for Gulbis. After the blatant CHEATING display by Raonic yesterday against Delpo, I hope Gulbis humiliates him. Disgusting man. But then again, didn’t we see the #1 player protest being rightly denied a point after he touched the net at RG in his semi against Rafa this year? Tsk, tsk, and I thought this was a gentleman’s sport.

      • Please don’t say, ed251137. I want to keep my illusions about the sport.

        By the way, someone else who is not amused by Novak’s new post win antics:

        RT @ITakeTheeTennis: @juanjo_sports I know. It’s kind of a slap in the face to lose and 20 seconds later have the #1 player in the world dancing in a wig.

        RT @SecondServeHack: @juanjo_sports In Spain, they kill the bull. In Serbia they mortally wound the bull then dance around it until it dies.

        Disgusting behaviour, especially from a #1. But then again, maybe one for the cultural differences column…..

  2. Glad I am not alone! I thought perhaps I was just being curmudgeonly.

    People pay serious money to attend a tennis tournament not to watch banal entertainment. It may have its place at exhibition matches which are played for laughs (cant bear those affairs myself) but are inappropriate at a masters tournament.

    I’m not a fan of any of the ritual post win performances by players e.g. Tsonga’s jig: at least Stepanek finally killed off that cringe-making ‘worm’ routine!

    Do you remember the embarrassing display by Roger and Stan when they won gold at Beijing – I bet they both bitterly regretted that afterwards when it was shown on TV.

    • I don’t know ed251137, maybe I am displaying my antipathy towards Novak because he has given Rafa a hard time lately but I am not offended by Tsonga’s jig, Step’s worm or Roger ‘n Stan’s Olympic celebrations. Tsonga’s jig came after a single spontaneous jig which he discovered went down well with the crowd and he decided to keep it. Steps has always been, well……Steps. Roger and Stan, that REALLY meant so much to them, you could tell it was genuine.

      The thing about Novak’s latest antics is: they appear so damn contrived! It’s or so obvious this was planned, just like those player imitation sketches. To be honest, while I did not like the primal screams, I understood them because they came from the heart, they were instinctive, they were genuine. They were rude but there was no pretense there!

      Someone needs to tell him to drop it fast….

      And here I was thinking manners were universal……………..

  3. Desperate d-joker is an embarrassment. He looked the clown that he is. I hope people stop giving him credit for being a ‘good loser’ because he is a bad winner. I wasn’t there, but it appears that the crowd wasn’t too entertained judging by the muted applause.

  4. Rafa’s water bottles will be in danger today. In Monte Carlo, Matosevic knocked over the bottles.
    SI.com: —With Nadal leading 5-2 in the second set, Matosevic walked over to his opponent’s bench on the changeover and intentionally knocked over his water bottles. How would Nadal, who is famous for his meticulous and delicate treatment of his water bottles, react to such insolence? By shrugging and laughing with his box.—

    http://tennis.si.com/2013/04/17/rafael-nadal-monte-carlo-masters-water-bottles/

  5. I don’t get this. Sometimes my posts just don’t show up, at other times they do. It’s so hit or miss. If you don’t see m here often, that’s why.

  6. I saw the Raonic/Delpo match and that was really something! So Raonic is a cheater! The tennis channel commentators were just shocked because Raonic knew that he touched the net with his foot. Layhani is such a good umpire, but the replays showed that his eyes were on Djoker. So he never saw it. What a mess! I really am surprised at Raonic. Just disgusting!

    I don’t know that I can bring myself to root for Gulbis. I despise him. So I won’t cheer for either of them. This has been one crazy tournament.

    I don’t want to get too carried away, but I think that Rafa should be able to handle this guy Matosevic. He will be feeling good about his win over JJ.

    I didn’t see Djoker’s antics with the Afro wig. But I am hearing about it! Unbelievable! He was lucky to get out of that match with a win. I lost count of how many UE’s he had. Not good!

  7. Oh and tomorrow will be an early dinner with Rafa! The match starts at 5:00 pm my time.

    Now I am beginning to wonder about a possible semifinal between Rafa and Djoker. Hmmm….

  8. Given Djokovic’s disgraceful level of play against Istomin, he should perhaps spend a little less time on his newly choreographed post match dance moves, and a little more time actually practising tennis. Still think he is the slight favourite to win Montreal though.

  9. Rafa yesterday: “I was able to play without limitations these two matches; hopefully I can continue like this. That’s my goal. I will try to forget this injury with my knee.”

    Be confident, be brave, be strong, Rafa!

  10. I agree with tj600, djoker is still the slight favourite to win montreal… he’l probably beat gasquet in 2 sets but this could be an interesting match

    • Well, I hope the Djoker turns up for the semis, I know Rafa will. I am sick and tired of this, “Rafa has not beaten Novak on HC in 3 years” song. This is it, the Ok Coral……….

  11. Saw Andy play Matosavic at Queens. Honestly dunno how he’s got this far. Another huge server with a limited game. Rafa in 2.
    You guys are always scoffing…;)

  12. PS Oops, Gulbis in 3.Feel like NNY on this one though, don’t like G. nothing to do with Andy BTW, just seems so spoilt and full of himself. And as for Raonic, never liked his game and not only did he cheat, but justified it *eye roll.*

  13. Looking at relative forms of Rafa and Nole, if Rafa’s knee does not act up, Rafa is the favorite in their SF match ( if both get there)..

  14. I agree with Ricky here..the favourite is not entirely based on current form… but holdserve is right about rafa being in slightly better form..but to be honest I cannot say much about rafa’s form taking into account only the JJ match..waiting for today’s match! GO RAFA

  15. Rafa will not go all out against Nole in a slugfest on hard courts this close to the US Open. Nole sud win in 2 relatively close sets I believe

  16. Rafa will not go all out against Nole in a slugfest on hard courts

    Atul? Why not? It doesn’t make sense if he wants to prove his mettle on HC against Novak.

    • agreed with MC. Rafa has never been one to sand-bag tournaments. When he doesn’t want to play, he withdraws before it starts.

      A win over Djokovic on a hard court would be a MASSIVE confidence boost heading into the US Open.

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