French Open Day 5 picks, including Tomic vs. Kokkinakis and Robredo vs. Coric

May 27, 2015 Ricky Predictions 53

Ricky Dimon of The Grandstand and Joey Hanf of The Tennis Nerds preview and pick the four best men’s singles matches on Thursday at the French Open. Bernard Tomic, Thanasi Kokkinakis, Tommy Robredo, and Borna Coric are among those in action.

Thanasi Kokkinakis vs. (27) Bernard Tomic

Ricky: It might as well be Australia Day at the French Open (at least on Court 7) because Kokkinakis is going up against Tomic whenever Nick Kyrgios gets done with Kyle Edmund. These two Aussies have already faced each other twice this season and Tomic is 2-0. But both of those came on a hard court and one went to 6-4 in the third. Tomic is at his well-documented worst on clay, whereas Kokkinakis is coming off a Challenger title on the red dirt of Bordeaux. Kokkinakis has established himself as a mental giant in long, competitive matches–which is what this one will likely become. Kokkinakis 7-6(2), 2-6, 3-6, 7-5, 8-6.

Joey: Quite simply, Bernard Tomic is not a good clay-court tennis player. Kokkinakis is not exactly a specialist himself, but his game translates well to the clay. His heavy forehand has a lot of margin, something Tomic does not possess in his game. Kokkinakis took out a very underrated player in Nikoloz Basilashvili in the first round, and he’s shown the ability to play with tour level players consistently this year. On clay, Tomic is nothing more than an average tour-level player, and Kokkikanis will take advantage of that. Kokkinakis 6-4, 7-5, 6-2.

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Borna Coric vs. (18) Tommy Robredo

Ricky: This is a tough one to call. Robredo is the obvious favorite on paper, at least on clay. But he is just 9-8 this season and played only two clay-court warmup events because of a foot injury. Fifteen years the Spaniard’s younger at 18, Coric is firmly on the rise and has plenty of momentum after disposing of Sam Querrey in round one. Robredo did well to win his opener against Andrey Golubev, but he will need to do more than beat Golubev to prove he is 100 percent. He’ll have to be 100 percent to survive Coric, who is one of the fastest players on tour and will force the veteran to play a ton of long points. Coric 4-6, 6-3, 7-6(3), 6-2.

Joey: Well, Coric proved me completely wrong in the first round, but I think that had more to do with Querrey’s lackluster play than anything else. Robredo got off to a slow start before rebounding quickly against Golubev in his first-round match. At 33, Robredo is certainly still a force on clay even though he’s had a mediocre year so far. The Spaniard will be too solid in best of five and he will win the crucial forehand-to-forehand battle. Coric can push him, but Robredo has shown that he is pretty good against rising 18-year-olds in Grand Slams (see: Kyrgios, U.S. Open ’14). Robredo 6-4, 6-7(4), 6-3, 7-5.

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Jeremy Chardy vs. (18) John Isner

Ricky: Chardy is 2-0 lifetime against Isner, but one win came via retirement and the other came on an indoor hard court in Spain. Although the Frenchman is no slouch on clay, the red stuff will favor Isner in a big way. Isner was broken only by Rafael Nadal, Steve Johnson, and Dominic Thiem throughout the European clay-court swing prior to Roland Garros. Chardy’s return of serve is hardly impressive and he has been borderline atrocious this spring in Europe. This should be a straightforward scoreline–at least straightforward by Isner standards. Isner 7-6(5), 7-6(4), 6-3.

Joey: When I first saw the draw, I felt like this was a real trap match for Isner. However, after watching the first round, I think the American has a clear edge here. Big John has been playing some of the best tennis of his career in the last few months, and he’s certainly had his best clay-court season. The surface at Roland Garros helps Isner because it gives a truer bounce and allows him to take the ball early. Chardy’s serve will get him to a couple tiebreaks, but I don’t see him breaking Isner’s serve. Court 1 does not have as much room behind the baseline as the two show courts, and that will help Isner. His return game has improved slightly this year and I think he’ll break at least once. Isner 7-6(5), 6-4, 6-7(6), 7-6(3).

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(17) David Goffin vs. Santiago Giraldo

Ricky: The ball-striking in this one is going to be awesome. Clay really doesn’t favor either player, even though common perception is that it would help Giraldo. Goffin announced himself on tour by reaching the fourth round at RG in 2012 before pushing Roger Federer to four sets. Fast forward three years and the Belgian is into he top 20 of the world rankings. He is not as on fire as he was last summer, but Goffin has a little bit more margin on his shots than Giraldo and that will be the difference in the hard-hitting rallies that are sure to ensue. Goffin 6-3, 3-6, 7-5, 6-4.

Joey: This could be a truly great match…if Giraldo shows up to play. He’s been up and down this year, and his ranking has suffered. Goffin is starting to find a nice home in the top 20 and he has taken Kei Nishikori and David Ferrer to three sets in his last two clay-court tournaments. The shot-making should be excellent, but I don’t see Giraldo sustaining a high enough level of play over more than two sets. Expect long rallies and second-serve return winners galore. Goffin 6-3, 4-6, 6-2, 6-4.

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42 Comments on French Open Day 5 picks, including Tomic vs. Kokkinakis and Robredo vs. Coric

  3. great views on all 4 matches…should be another fun day at RG. I really like Isner on Court 1, and Rdo has surprised me many times in the past few years…he’ll win again.

    Reply

  6. great prediction for Tomic to lose…I actually wished Tomic to be sent packing…at least Novak will have to play his next match and won’t receive a walkover…if it was Tomic he wouldn’t even care to show up in his next match…

    Reply

    • natashao,

      Great point! Unfortunately, quite true!

      Yes, Novak will have to actually play the match and not get blessed with another walkover courtesy of Tomic.

      I saw the score and was shocked to see that Tomic was up two sets and then Kokkinakis came back and won the next three!

      This guy gets a day off, so hopefully he will something left for the match with Novak.

      Reply

  11. Am pushing my luck now on a certain “other” web site. A certain poster may not be there much longer.

    Expecting a fedbot barrage soon. We will see, no?

    Reply

  18. Good for Rafa for giving it to that reporter! Rafa has been standing up for himself! Bravo! It’s about time!:)

    I was surprised to see Isner lose to Chardy. They showed the end of the match with the French crowd going crazy for Chardy. There goes another American man!

    Sock managed to save the day by beating Carreno Busta. I believe he is the last American man standing at RG.

    Reply

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