First round
Murray over Marchenko in 3, Lu over Rublev in 4
G. Melzer over De Minaur in 4, Querrey over Halys in 4
Isner over Kravchuk in 4, M. Zverev over Garcia-Lopez in 3
Jaziri over Soeda in 3, Pouille over Bublik in 3
Berdych over Vanni in 3, Harrison over Mahut in 5
Fratangelo over Rubin in 5, Federer over J. Melzer in 3
Ramos-Vinolas over Lack in 4, Sela over Granollers in 5
Almagro over Chardy in 4, Nishikori over Kuznetsov in 3
Wawrinka over Klizan in 3, Johnson over Delbonis in 4
Lorenzi over Duckworth in 5, Troicki over Dzumhur in 3
Cuevas over Schwartzman in 4, Darcis over Groth in 4
Seppi over Mathieu in 4, Kyrgios over Elias in 3
Tsonga over Monteiro in 3, Lajovic over Robert in 4
Khachanov over Mannarino in 4, Sock over Herbert in 3
Tomic over Bellucci in 5, Bedene over Estrella Burgos in 4
Evans over Bagnis in 4, Cilic over Janowicz in 3
Monfils over Vesely in 4, Coric over Dolgopolov in 5
Young over Fabbiano in 4, Kohlschreiber over Basilashvili in 4
A. Zverev over Haase in 3, Tiafoe over Kukushkin in 3
Baghdatis over Youzhny in 5, Nadal over Mayer in 3
Bautista Agut over Pella in 3, Nishioka over Bolt in 4
Medvedev over Escobedo in 4, Ferrer over Jasika in 3
Simon over Mmoh in 3, Donaldson over Dutra Silva in 3
Muller over Fritz in 4, Raonic over Brown in 3
Thiem over Struff in 4, Sousa over Thompson in 4
Paire over Haas in 4, Lopez over Fognini in 4
Karlovic over Zeballos in 4, Pavlasek over Whittington in 3
Stepanek over Tursunov in 3, Goffin over Opelka in 3
Dimitrov over O’Connell in 3, Olivo over Chung in 5
Albot over Berlocq in 4, Gasquet over Mott in 3
Carreno Busta over Polansky in 3, Edmund over Giraldo in 4
Dodig over Istomin in 3, Djokovic over Verdasco in 3
Second round
Murray over Lu in 3
Querrey over G. Melzer in 4
M. Zverev over Isner in 4
Pouille over Jaziri in 4
Berdych over Harrison in 5
Federer over Fratangelo in 3
Sela over Ramos-Vinolas in 5
Nishikori over Almagro in 4
Wawrinka over Johnson in 4
Troicki over Lorenzi in 4
Cuevas over Darcis in 5
Kyrgios over Seppi in 3
Tsonga over Lajovic in 3
Sock over Khachanov in 4
Tomic over Bedene in 5
Cilic over Evans in 4
Monfils over Coric in 3
Young over Kohlschreiber in 4
A. Zverev over Tiafoe in 3
Nadal over Baghdatis in 4
Bautista Agut over Nishioka in 3
Ferrer over Medvedev in 3
Donaldson over Simon in 5
Raonic over Muller in 3
Thiem over Sousa in 5
Lopez over Paire in 5
Karlovic over Pavlasek in 3
Goffin over Stepanek in 4
Dimitrov over Olivo in 3
Gasquet over Albot in 3
Carreno Busta over Edmund in 4
Djokovic over Dodig in 3
Third round
Murray over Querrey in 3
Pouille over M. Zverev in 4
Federer over Berdych in 4
Nishikori over Sela in 3
Wawrinka over Troicki in 4
Kyrgios over Cuevas in 3
Sock over Tsonga in 4
Cilic over Tomic in 3
Monfils over Young in 4
A. Zverev over Nadal in 4
Bautista Agut over Ferrer in 4
Raonic over Donaldson in 3
Thiem over Lopez in 4
Goffin over Karlovic in 4
Dimitrov over Gasquet in 5
Djokovic over Carreno Busta in 3
Fourth round
Murray over Pouille in 3
Federer over Nishikori in 4
Wawrinka over Kyrgios in 3
Sock over Cilic in 3
A. Zverev over Monfils in 4
Raonic over Bautista Agut in 4
Goffin over Thiem in 4
Djokovic over Dimitrov in 3
Quarterfinals
Murray over Federer in 4
Wawrinka over Sock in 4
Raonic over A. Zverev in 5
Djokovic over Goffin in 3
Semifinals
Murray over Wawrinka in 4
Djokovic over Raonic in 4
Final
Djokovic over Murray in 4
[polldaddy poll=9635230]
[polldaddy poll=9635231]
[polldaddy poll=9635235]
[polldaddy poll=9635238]
[polldaddy poll=9634250]
who ya got?
You forget to put Roger in the poll of Murray’s quarter :p
Oops
Sock making quarters beating Tsonga and Cilic on the way is such a homer pick lol.
But we do see eye-to-eye with Raonic and Zverev battling it out for that quarter.
Hawkstradamus’ analyes the draw here…
https://tenngrand.com/2017/01/14/2017-australian-open-open-draw-analysis/comment-page-1/#comment-245681
QF:
Fed over Murray
Kyrgios over Tsonga
Raonic over Zverev
Nole over Goffin
SF
Nole over Milos
Fed over Kyrgios
F
Fed over Nole
#RiggedDraws
#BEL18VE
The draws are done in front of a panel full of people, i doubt they would rig them just for one particular player, the whole thing gets brought up before every GS even starts the whole thing is complete nonsense ….
That’s your (likely uninformed) opinion.
Then why do the players who make the draw not see the name on the card they have drawn? Only one tournament rep sees it and reads it out.
Have you ever watched a draw alison? I have.
And I never said it was just for one person.
Please do some homework and read more carefully before you draw incorrect inferences and call someone’s opinion “complete nonsense”.
Tennis is big business as much if not more than it is a sport.
Why leave something as critical as a draw up to chance when ratings and advertising revenue are riding on it.
I’d call that naive nonsense.
To each his (or her) own.
In addition, only the 32 seeds are manually drawn. The remaining 96 are done by computer so most of the draw is in fact NOT in front of a panel.
It’s easy to fool a tennis panel.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/donald-trump-press-conference-folders-business-plan-empire-blank-fake-handover-donald-jr-eric-a7523426.html
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C161j2fXAAAZLwO.jpg
But this doesn’t surprise Hawkstradamus from someone who thinks “17 is all that matters “.
I noticed you predicted Dudi Sela defeating Granollers. I hope that happens. Sela looks primed for a good year in Canberra after his 21st challenger title.
Yup
Sela is a marathon man. First round – no problem (I don’t think)
Yeah Sela is in red hot form. That’s a good pick.
HE I Never said your opinion was nonsense, i just think the whole idea is nonsense, if thats the case then the whole tennis landscape has lost all integrity as a sport ….
Who says it hasn’t?
As a sport maybe, but not as a business.
It’s entertainment after all.
In the grand scheme of things the GS are not all that matters, but lets just say they are what matters the most ….
HE / Elina i have nothing against you personally, and i think your a good egg, i just struggle understanding some of the things you say in your posts sometimes ….
haha alison is that an intentional pun ie ‘good egg’ based on hawks’s avatar?
This is one of the most interesting slams I have ever seen actually. And those predictions are going to be BOLD as ****
QFs:
In Murray’s quarter, i’m ultra-confident that Andy will play the quarters. I’m gonna say it is going to be in fact Federer who will try to take down the world no.1 in the qfs. The result? Depending on how much energy Fed loses playing against Berdy and the Japanese Samurai. If Nishikori had any real opponents in his quarter, I would have said Kei bails out even before 4R but his route to the Fed match is probably going to be something like Kuznetsov, Almagro/Chardy, Sela/Ramos I guess it’s gonna be against Kuznetsov or not gonna happen. Also, another boldie pick, Melzer takes a set off Fed.
Geez, i’m such a FedTard
Federer over Murray in 4
The 2nd quarter is hella open. Kyrgios has such an easy route to the 4R, his fitness is in question, but if he’s 100 percent he’s gonna beat the Crybaby Stan. Second quarterfinalist should be out of Cilic/Sock less likely a somehow reborn Bernie Tomic, gonna say Sock as he was amazing in the Hopman Cup and Auckland and actually after the Kovalik loss I think even Jerzy Janowicz has a chance against Marin Cilic (I’m such a PolishTard too)
Kyrgios over Sock in 4
I do not think Nadal comes out of the second quarter. I don’t think we know much about Raonic’s form just after Brisbane but in a BO5 he should be able to beat Rafa. And I don’t even think Rafa gets through Zverev. It’s high time for a major breakthrough of another nextgen player.
Zverev (Alexander obv) over Raonic in 5
This quarter has Djokovic written all over the way. Verdasco is not going to beat him in a best of 5, Djokovic is going to be ready this time. But, as I said in the beginning my predictions here are super bold. As you know, I’m a DimiTard too, been picking him far the whole last year, sometimes it worked like in Cincy where some of you guys laughed when I picked him to the semis before the tournament, sometimes it failed like when I thought he was going to beat Djoko in Paris. But, holy cow, It’s just what my hunch is. Djokovic gets taken out in r4, and Thiem loses to Sousa in R2.
Dimitrov over Goffin in 4
SFs
Federer over Kyrgios in 4
If Murray beats Fed, he wins this as well
Dimitrov over Zverev in 3
Same goes for Djokovic if he’s through to the semis.
Final
Federer over Dimitrov in 4
This won’t happen. But it would be a great tournament with a great story.
solid post
This would be epic. We can only hope bro??
I was tempted to pick Dimitrov over Djokovic too manwerty. I think it’s very possible given Dimitrov’s red hot form and Djoker’s vulnerability in recent months. Still, I went with Djoker in that one because of his past success at Melbourne.
must say that i too fear that rafa will lose to zverev. said as much yesterday. am hoping that carlos gets him through this match. still think carlos has a kind of inner strength and calm which will be good for rafa. think he can make rafa believe in himself more. hope so anyway…
I don’t know what to think about Rafa/Zverev. I would like to think that Rafa can step up for this match and make it through to the fourth round. It would be good for him to fight through against one of the young guys and come through with a win. I hope he can find a way.
amy is back with her troll comments. Did you not promise on tennisx that you won’t be back?
Do you honestly think Carlos can have a huge impact on Rafa just because he joined the team? Rafa has known him for ages, hit with him umpteen times, he is Rafa’s neighbor and he has been Rafa’s mentor. Why would Carlos just joining the team change Rafa’s mental status dramatically?
If Rafa wins, it will be because he is Rafa, not because somebody else has inner strength and calm!
Amy it never ocured to me TBH, i just feel confused with all the jokes, cliches and riddles, which dont make much sense, im out sorry 🙁 ….
QF’s
Murray over Fed in 5
Kyrgios over Sock in 4
Raonic over Zverev in 5
Nole over Goffin in 3
SF’s
Murray over Kyrgios in 4
Nole over Raonic in 4
Final
Nole over Murray in 4.
Go Rafa go. Hardly anyone trusts you these days to do anything , go prove them all wrong and make them eat their words.
Semi to me for rafa will be good result
That’s because Rafa hasn’t trusted himself so why would we?
He can but not before he trusts himself.
Hawkstradamus will when Rafa does.
#NothingNew
Agree with you here Sanju, SF will be good result. I do think the aggressive Rafa can do damage here, not the defensive one though; hopefully the aggressive one comes to play.
I wonder if a zverev who just beat Federer in Hopman would have been chosen or picked to beat Federer had he faced him in 3rd round
i’d have picked Fed
That’s what I am saying. Rafa seldom gets the respect he deserves .
I hope he proves every single person wrong this year.
Hope he does too sanju.
I’d have picked Fed too because fed still believes in himself and has played at a high level consistently.
Rafa is finally starting to talk the talk. I’m hoping he can back it up soon if not in Australia.
Based on form (little data) and respective perceived confidence, plus draws and schedule, I see fed going deeper than Rafa.
Fed will at least make quarters IMO but I think quarters is as far as Rafa will get.
Zverev, Monfils and Raonic in succession is a tough ask for Rafa ATM. Doubt Fed would be able to do it either. But Fed has an easier path to quarters IMO.
I don’t think it’s question of respect at all. I think it’s not knowing what to expect. I already made the point that I picked Rafa to get to the final last year at the AO. We all know what happened. That was my heart over my head.
I am not prepared to do it again. I am hoping for the best result for Rafa as always. But I am being realistic, given that he has not been able to get past the early rounds in slams for the last year or two. I don’t think he is ready to make a run at the AO. That is just my opinion based on recent history with Rafa. It has precisely nothing whatsoever to do with any lack of respect.
I think Rafa can beat Zverev, for what it’s worth. I would like to see it happen. But I do not think with the opponents in his section of the draw, that he will get to the semis.
Nothing would make me happier than if Rafa proves me wrong.
It is clear nobody thinks Rafa is a serious contender for the title. It makes me sad but I understand. Rafa hasn’t been in contention for two years. At this stage, that is before the tournament begins, I think, like Sanju, I would be happy if Rafa gets to the semis. But if he does get to that stage, I am sure my expectations are going to rise!
Agreed. ? %.
First round:
Murray over Marchenko in 3
Lu over Rublev in 4
De Minaur over G. Melzer in 5
Querrey over Halys in 4
Isner over Kravchuk in 3
M. Zverev over Garcia-Lopez in 3
Jaziri over Soeda in 4
Pouille over Bublik in 3
Berdych over Vanni in 3
Harrison over Mahut in 4
Rubin over Fratangelo in 5
Federer over J. Melzer in 3
Lacko over Ramos-Vinolas in 4
Sela over Granollers in 4
Almagro over Chardy in 5
Nishikori over Kuznetsov in 3
Wawrinka over Klizan in 3
Johnson over Delbonis in 4
Duckworth over Lorenzi in 5
Troicki over Dzumhur in 3
Schwartzman over Cuevas in 5
Darcis over Groth in 4
Seppi over Mathieu in 4
Kyrgios over Elias in 3
Tsonga over Monteiro in 3
Lajovic over Robert in 4
Khachanov over Mannarino in 5
Sock over Herbert in 4
Tomic over Bellucci in 5
Bedene over Estrella Burgos in 4
Evans over Bagnis in 4
Cilic over Janowicz in 3
Monfils over Vesely in 4
Dolgopolov over Coric in 4
Young over Fabbiano in 5
Kohlschreiber over Basilashvili in 3
A. Zverev over Haase in 4
Tiafoe over Kukushkin in 4
Baghdatis over Youzhny in 5
Nadal over Mayer in 3
Bautista Agut over Pella in 4
Bolt over Nishioka in 5
Escobedo over Medvedev in 4
Ferrer over Jasika in 4
Simon over Mmoh in 4
Donaldson over Dutra Silva in 3
Muller over Fritz in 4
Raonic over Brown in 3
Thiem over Struff in 4
Thompson over Sousa in 5
Haas over Paire in 5
Lopez over Fognini in 4
Karlovic over Zeballos in 3
Pavlasek over Whittington in 4
Stepanek over Tursunov in 3
Goffin over Opelka in 4
Dimitrov over O’Connell in 3
Chung over Olivo in 4
Berlocq over Albot in 5
Gasquet over Mott in 3
Carreno Busta over Polansky in 4
Edmund over Giraldo in 4
Istomin over Dodig in 4
Djokovic over Verdasco in 4
Second round:
Murray over Lu in 3
Querrey over De Minaur in 4
Isner over M. Zverev in 3
Pouille over Jaziri in 4
Harrison over Berdych in 5
Federer over Rubin in 3
Sela over Lacko in 5
Nishikori over Almagro in 4
Wawrinka over Johnson in 4
Troicki over Duckworth in 4
Darcis over Schwartzman in 5
Kyrgios over Seppi in 3
Tsonga over Lajovic in 3
Sock over Khachanov in 4
Tomic over Bedene in 4
Cilic over Evans in 4
Monfils over Dolgopolov in 5
Kohlschreiber over Young in 4
A. Zverev over Tiafoe in 4
Nadal over Baghdatis in 4
Bautista Agut over Bolt in 4
Ferrer over Escobedo in 5
Donaldson over Simon in 4
Muller over Raonic in 5
Thiem over Thompson in 5
Lopez over Haas in 4
Karlovic over Pavlasek in 3
Goffin over Stepanek in 4
Dimitrov over Chung in 3
Gasquet over Berlocq in 3
Edmund over Carreno Busta in 4
Djokovic over Istomin in 3
Third round:
Murray over Querrey in 3
Isner over Pouille in 4
Federer over Harrison in 3
Nishikori over Sela in 4
Wawrinka over Troicki in 3
Kyrgios over Darcis in 3
Tsonga over Sock in 4
Cilic over Tomic in 4
Monfils over Kohlschreiber in 4
Nadal over A. Zverev in 5
Ferrer over Bautista Agut in 4
Muller over Donaldson in 4
Thiem over Lopez in 4
Goffin over Karlovic in 4
Dimitrov over Gasquet in 4
Djokovic over Edmund in 3
Fourth round:
Murray over Isner in 4
Federer over Nishikori in 4
Wawrinka over Kyrgios in 4
Tsonga over Cilic in 5
Nadal over Monfils in 4
Muller over Ferrer in 5
Goffin over Thiem in 4
Djokovic over Dimitrov in 5
QF:
Federer over Murray in 5
Wawrinka over Tsonga in 4
Nadal over Muller in 4
Djokovic over Goffin in 4
SF:
Federer over Wawrinka in 4
Djokovic over Nadal in 5
Final:
Federer over Djokovic in 4
Muller gonna be tired Benny no?
Don’t see it.
That’s true. I guess I’m looking at it from a confidence stand point because Muller is coming off of the best week of his career by finally capturing the maiden title. I have a feeling this propels him to keep that high level here and upset the big serving Canadian and keep it going until Rafa takes him down in the final eight.
Fed fans really think Fed can win this tournament? Like Ricky sometimes does, I would like to make a one word response:
No
Fed’s draw is godly. This is why I’m actually fairly confident Roger can do some real damage here and if he gets far enough and still has energy that’s trouble for his opponents.
Rafa has a really tough draw but I don’t think he will be beaten by either Zverev or Monfils. Raonic is a big threat though.
Especially given that Rafa would likely not be that fresh if he’s able to take down Zverev and Lamonf in succession. Then to beat Raonic just to get to Murray?
Much tougher draw than Fed.
If Rafa had Feds path to quarters, I’d give him a good chance against Murray. Rafa does pretty good as the decided underdog especially in slams.
Perversely the opposite is true unfortunately.
Forgot to add…
#RiggedDrawsAreEverywhere
I do not think Fed can win the AO. Even a favorable draw is not going to be enough. Murray is a different player than the one Fed faced in the past.
I must confess to being surprised at this idea that Fed can make a serious run here. Rafa does have a tougher path and that may be too much for him in the first slam of the year. I hope that Rafa can get some wins here Ns still think that fourth round of at best, or quarterfinals would be a good result that he can build on as he moves forward.
Rafa has to get past Nole to get to Murray. If he beats Raonic, do you think beating Nole is a given? Unless Rafa is able to play his forehand and backhand dtl to take time away from speedy Nole, I would give Nole the edge as this is Nole’s favorite surface. But of course as a fan I would be hoping and praying that Rafa gets to the final, beats Muzz or whoever is the other finalist and completes a double career slam! I would like Fed to be the other finalist but frankly I do not see Fed getting past his quarter.
Mary (AT 4:21 PM),
216 voters have the same hope. 🙂
Nole in QF yes my mistake. Goes to show I haven’t seriously considered Rafa making it that far.
Nole is also not at 100%. Showed good signs in Dubai but that was one match against Murray.
Murray is not used to being No 1 top dog and we are yet to see how he responds to that target on his head.
It’s generally easier to get there than to stay there.
Quarterfinals
Murray over Nishikori
Wawrinka over Cilic
Raonic over Nadal
Djokovic over Thiem
Semifinals
Djokovic over Raonic
Murray over Wawrinka
Final
Djokovic over Murray
Thiem? You think?
Well, I don’t suggest anyone believe me! Not after my mistakes picking US Open. But I’m not convinced of Goffin making it from that quarter with his draw. Almost picked F-lo to come through.
Who do you have Hawkie. For reals…not your Fed bracket 😉
For reals reals?
I think it’s more wide open than it’s been since The Big Four began. Murray has never won it so he’s not a given. Nole’s been in space for the last seven months. Rafa’s Rafa. CB is CB. Raonic has a chance. And Fed is in the running because of that, his confidence, draw and preferred scheduling. Plus the courts are playing faster.
For what it’s worth, my preferred order of who I’s like to win of realistic contenders?
Rafa
Nole
Milos
Murray
Nishi
Anyone but Fed
Anyone but CB
Well, thanks for replying. I’ll have to see it to believe it about Fed, Hawk. Can’t see him making past Berdych in a Bo5.
Agree that it does feel more open than it has in the past but REALLY OPEN = WTA! 😀
Berdy over Fed?
No way no how.
Can’t WAIT to tell Alison “I told you so.”
Muwahahahahahaha!!!
It’s distressing that Goffin has Reilly Opalka first roun. That kid is massive and maybe the best 7 foot giant yet. Then Goffin has Stepanek and Karlovic before he meets presumably Thiem. If Thiem makes it that far I think Thiem will be in better shape. If Goffin had Thiem’s draw, I’d pick him. I could be overestimating the stress of playing both match hardened qualifier Opalka and old Dr Ivo.
I Dont think i take take another Murray defeat in the final, ill likely skip the AO next year, if he loses another one, its really becoming my least favorite GS ….
We all reach a limit and I understand yours because I know you. ?
I’ve felt the same way about other match-ups. But I do think Andy has a real shot at winning. And then, how Happy I hope you are!
Thanks RC, and also for the chat this morning on FB 😉
Dont know how and why I woke up like that at 3 am, but you are welcome, Alison.
FB has turned out to be a good thing right now.
Although I try to keep my expectations low on Rafa, I count on several things to contribute to Rafa surprising us all and doing better than we might think:
1. Rafa likes playing underdog role! He will be under little pressure given that nobody expects him to do well here coming back from a lay off time and thus with insufficient match play, following yet another loss of the match he should have won in Brisbane!
2. Toni’s take on Rafa’s practice sessions is more than encouraging! I trust Uncle T and hope Rafa is ready as far as his game is concerned!
3. Rafa has no points to defend and he can gain a lot with every win! He will be hungry!
4. Rafa likes heat in Australia whereas Zverev (his major third round threat) will not enjoy that much sweating under Melbourne sun. I trust Rafa is physically fit and healthy and it remains that way!
Vamos Rafa!
Agree with first three points but Rafa hasn’t dealt with the heat like he used to.
Nice summary Natashao 😉
RC Its opened up a whole new world for me, making new friends, although we have friends all over the country already due to the life style we lead, ive also made contact again with old fiends, and friended people from these forums, glad you, Oke and AndyMira are there too CHEERS 😉
If fed doesn’t win rc, it’s Nole’s to lose.
HE I Couldve said i told you so a million times to various people, but i dont believe in it, because these things have a nasty habit of coming back to bite you on the backside, the thing is with know alls they obviously dont know it all as they dont know how annoying they sound ….
about what
That’s the whole point LOL!!!
Ricky i thought it was pretty self explanatory ….
HE Just to say i dont actually care who wins between Federer and Berdych, it doesnt matter to me one way or the other, im not a fan of either, just thought Federer might be rusty ….