Auckland R1 previews and picks: Thiem vs. Struff, Johnson vs. Sousa

Thiem 1Dominic Thiem will kick off his 2015 campaign on Monday in Auckland against U.S. Open doubles partner Jan-Lennard Struff. Steve Johnson and Joao Sousa are also in first-round action.

Dominic Thiem vs. Jan-Lennard Struff

Thiem will be taking the court for the first time in 2015 on Monday at the Heineken Open. The 21-year-old is hoping to build on a breakout season that has him up to No. 39 in the world (as of Sunday). Highlights included too many successful qualifications to name, third-round showings in Indian Wells, Barcelona, and Madrid, a runner-up finish in Kitzbuhel, and a run to the last 16 of the U.S. Open.

Up first for Thiem in Auckland is Struff, with whom the Austrian played doubles last summer in New York. Struff already has two matches under his belt this year following a decent week in Doha, where he upset fellow German Philipp Kohlschreiber before falling to another countryman, Dustin Brown. Thiem may be a little bit rusty after an offseason that included required military service for his nation, but he should be able to dictate the outcome of this one with superior firepower to his opponent.

Pick: Thiem in 3

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(8) Steve Johnson vs. Joao Sousa

Johnson and Sousa will also be going head-to-head for the first time in their careers at the ATP main-draw level on Monday. They have, however, faced each other on one previous occasion. Johnson prevailed 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 two seasons ago in the final round of Winston-Salem qualifying. The 37th-ranked American enjoyed his best year on tour in 2014 and he got off to a solid start in 2015 by advancing one round in Sydney and bowing out to Kei Nishikori in a competitive two-setter.

Sousa’s breakout came in 2014, but he endured a relative “sophomore slump” last season. The same age as Johnson 25 years old, Sousa endured an especially tough closing stretch. The world No. 51 went 1-7 in his last eight matches dating back to the Metz final. In his first match of the year on a surface that should favor Johnson, this is a tough proposition for Sousa.

Pick: Johnson in 2

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4 Comments on Auckland R1 previews and picks: Thiem vs. Struff, Johnson vs. Sousa

    • http://www.tennis.com/pro-game/2015/01/atp-burning-question-no-2-have-we-reached-end-big-4-era/53536/#.VLPBVk39nIU

      Here’s what Nina Pantic, Associate Editor, pantingly says:
      “To me, the era ended last year. Murray struggled badly against his fellow Big 4 members, piling up an 0–9 record in 2014. Federer’s dominance has been dissipating, and Nadal’s injuries have resulted in longer and longer layoffs. Now, it’s left in the capable hands of Djokovic to run what’s left of the Big 4 show. ”

      With a name like that, no prizes for guessing where Ms Antic is from or who her favourite player is. Kudos to her for not insulting our intelligence by pretending to be impartial or trotting out the “I am a tennis fan” disclaimer.

      I found a poster in the comments section who articulated my thoughts perfectly. I will let him/her speak for me:

      @Dick Sentner says:
      “What are they putting in Nina Pantic’s food? If Federer had won the fifth set in the Wimbledon final, he would have finished at number 1. Nadal’s injury was appendicitis. It is unfortunate that he has to begin his comeback on hard courts. The last time, he was able to go to South America and begin to put his game back together on his beloved clay. After the Aussy Open, he should head back their pronto. The only real question is Murray. If he makes it back, the big four are in tact. If not, it is still the big three. Every time Nadal takes a break due to injuries, his demise is quickly predicted, and every time he surges back to number one. Don’t be surprised if it happens again.”

      For serious analyses, I would suggest reading Tiggy’s, Bodo’s and McGrogan’s takes.

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