Acapulco QF previews and predictions: Djokovic vs. Kyrgios, Nadal vs. Nishioka

Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal will continue their Acapulco campaigns during quarterfinal action on Thursday. Djokovic has an intriguing contest on his hands against Nick Kyrgios, while Nadal is a heavy favorite over Yoshihito Nishioka.

(1) Novak Djokovic vs. (6) Nick Kyrgios

Djokovic and Kyrgios will be going head-to-head for the first time in their careers when they battle for a place in the semifinals of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel on Thursday. For a moment it looked like this showdown would pit Kyrgios against Juan Martin Del Potro, but Djokovic recovered from a break down in the third set to outlast the Argentine 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 in an entertaining thriller that lasted two hours and 38 minutes on Wednesday night. The second-ranked Serb, who is bouncing back from a second-round Australian Open loss to Denis Istomin, preceded his victory over Del Potro by beating Martin Klizan 6-3, 7-6(4) on Tuesday.

Kyrgios’ trek to the last eight has been mostly straightforward, although he did drop his opening set of the week to Dudi Sela and managed to get into some controversy with Israeli fans. The 17th-ranked Australian ended up cruising past Sela 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 before defeating Donald Young 6-2, 6-4 in round two. Kyrgios will have to serve better than he did against Young (78 percent of first-serve points won, 55 percent of second-serve points one) if he has hopes of upsetting one of the best returners in the game.

Pick: Djokovic in 2

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(Q) Yoshihito Nishioka vs. (2) Rafael Nadal

Nadal is showing no signs of any hangover in the aftermath of a brutal five-set loss to Roger Federer in the Australian Open final, and that is putting it mildly. Not only has the sixth-ranked Spaniard won his first two matches in Acapulco, but he has also done so while dropping a total of nine games in four sets–including a 6-1, 6-1 beatdown of Paolo Lorenzi on Wednesday night. Nadal is now 12-0 lifetime at this tournament, although his first 10 victories (and two titles) came on clay courts.

Up next for the No. 2 seed on Thursday is a first-ever meeting with Nishioka, who has already picked up four victories this week. The world No. 86 from Japan earned a place in the main draw by beating Tobias Kamke and Ryan Harrison before getting the best of Jack Sock and Jordan Thompson. Nishioka has needed three sets in each of his last three wins, which will not help his chances given that he is a counter-puncher who will be scrambling all over the court against an opponent who has been playing encouragingly aggressive tennis in Acapulco.

Pick: Nadal in 2 losing 5-7 games

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66 Comments on Acapulco QF previews and predictions: Djokovic vs. Kyrgios, Nadal vs. Nishioka

  1. Happy it’s over but that was a mess.

    Move on and vamos.

    Gonna have to step it up vs Cilic.

    Nice to see ed and VR.

    #CaptainObvious

    • Is Ed here? I didn’t know that!

      I am expecting Rafa to play better against Cilic. I didn’t know that he never played Nishioka.

      I do think the earlier match time with more humid conditions may have played a part. I really believe that Rafa will get it together for Cilic.

  2. I think Rafa will be fine with Cilic as he knows his game. This Jap guy ( can’t spell his name) is a lefty and first time opponent for Rafa. Rafa used to take quite a while to figure out first time opponents, and I think he also needed to adjust playing a fellow lefty. He seemed to be bothered by the humidity too imo, perspiring profusely and looked a bit slow too.

    The good thing is he’s 13/13 at the net so he should move up to the net more often. The FH looked terrible, I was thinking was he trying to flatten it at times and then misfiring it into the net? He overhit or mushing his FH I guess due to poor timing as he was a bit slow in this match. Hopefully he will do better vs Cilic.

  3. kyrgios keeps on trying drop shots but the ball is bouncing high on this surface and it’s free points for novak everytime

  4. Its typical of Kyrgios, hes bound to have some strange shot selections, he’s playing like its an exhibition rather than an actual tennis match.

    • Wow! What a TB! Kyrgios gets the first set!

      This is what I hoped would happen, that Kyrgios would come out serious and going for his shots. This is when I can appreciate his tennis. No drama, no nonsense, just playing inspired tennis!

      • Agree Nny!!We all know,if nick is serious with his tennis,then he will be very dangerous to anyone indeed!Let’s see whether he can sustain his 1st set high level into the 2nd…if he be able to stay with Novak in this set than he’s got a very good chance to make another upsets today…

        • MA,

          Yes, the key is whether Kyrgios can keep it up. He is playing really outstanding tennis in this match.

          Sometimes he makes a bone headed shot that seems to come out if nowhere. He also has a tendency to over hit his shots. But his groundstrokes are so powerful and his serve!

          • Agree Nny…from the look of thing,there’s a possibility that nick will make a big upsets today!He still didn’t drop his level so far…

  5. Kyrgios better wins the first set at least; he choked while serving for it, making life more complicated for himself!

    Phew! He finally wins it and he looks so happy about it! Good, that means he cares enough to want to beat Djoko to win the match.

  6. Kyrgios is serving unbelievably well. This is why I picked him to take the title. He’s capable of this. I wish he could always produce this level. He’s really looked focus here and in Marseille. Come on Nick!!

    • Benny,

      I hope you see this comment, because I wanted to congratulate you on staying with your conviction and picking Nik. I kind of hemmed and hawed in my pick, but did not come out and pick him, although in my gut I thought he could win, So all due credit to you!
      ??

  7. This Kyrgios, if hes serious with his tennis, he just has to improve on his ROS, and shot selections and stops all those unnecessary crazy exho stuffs during his matches.

    He will then be perfect and the ultimate tennis player who’s closest to unbeatable that a tennis player can be. Not even Fed could match him imo.

    • Of course Luckystar….he can do and achieve many things IF he’s serious with his tennis!And that is a BIG IF!…If only he will listen to someone’s advice,if only he’s not too da@# hard headed and stubborn or if only he will train harder and spent as much time on court like his other rivals…and he achieved what we have witnessed without doing all those things!Unbelieveable!

  8. There it is Nny!!A BIG UPSETS for today!And credits to the The Great Novak for giving us a very exciting match…

    And congrats for Nick for his another big win…

  9. Wow! So Nick Kyrgios beats Djoko! He has now beaten all the big three guys, but strange enough he keeps losing to Murray! Murray will be his next target to beat.

  10. I always liked Nick’s tennis and knew he was capable of taking any of the big four! It’s his head which has always been the problem, his lack of commitment and his spoiled brat attitude. He needs a serious coach who will have the authority over him and then it’s a sure thing for Nick to win a GS title soon.

    As for Rafa, he was not on this planet in this match. He missed so many easy shots, he served 4 DFs, he was not positioned properly allowing the Japanese to push him back instead of vise versa…he must improve big for his next match! Rafa’s always in trouble with fast players tsking the ball early, maybe because he is no longer as fast as he used to be..,simply trying to outhit them without any change of plan is plain stupid thing to do as it takes too much energy from Rafa. In this match, almoust every time he approached the net Rafa was successful! He should do it more often! And it’s beautiful to watch those volleys…

    • Rafa is not stupid! Nishioka is not Kei, he hits very hard and prefers staying at the baseline and hitting the angles; Kei prefers taking the ball early and stepping forward, not unlike Goffin.

      Nishioka is also a lefty so Rafa has to make adjustments too when playing him. Also, not forgetting Rafa was playing against him for the first time and so needed time to get used to him.

      I also feel that the slightly earlier start had affected him a little bit, the windy conditions needed a bit of getting used to. Rafa was his usual old self when playing a player for the first time, i.e. tentative. He is a tactical player and can’t just jump out of that mold to suddenly be aggressive all the time and plays instinctively, which is something I wish he can change as he gets older and when his game has already reached such a level that it’s good enough for him to play without the need to think so hard all the time.

      • No, Rafa made way too many UEs for his standards! Nothing to do with weather conditions, that’s just lame excuse..,Rafa knows he was not playing well and allowed Nishioka to outhit him at times..,hope he’ resolves his issues for Cilic…Cilic is well rested and Rafa has already had a lot of running for his fragile knee…also, Rafa was sweating like crazy…the humidity does make it harder for him but it’s not the reason he mishit a lot…hope Rafa gets more consistent at IW and Miami, because that’s what really matters..,

        • Rafa talked about the wind in his PM interview and you have also mentioned the humidity, so weather conditions may have played a part.

          • Yeah, weather conditions did no favor to Rafa but he has always been good in adapting his game…being broken twice due to his own errors where Nishioka had to do nothing spectacular is not caused by weather…I hope it was just a hiccup…Rafa never underestimates his opponents so thinking that playing Nishioka for the first time caught him by surprise does not make much sense…let’s see how Rafa handles Cilic and then we will know better where his current game stands.,,

        • So what do you think was the reason? He simply played poorly for no reason??

          Do you know Cilic had to play two three setters to arrive at the QF? Talking about well rested!

          • So what?! In every GS one has to play three setters,the resting time is what matters and Cilic got a two day rest!

            The reason for Rafa playing poorly can be that he might be bothered with his knee in a way that he is worried about aggravating another injury.,,it’s enough of distraction and may cause stress…or it’s one of his 2015 inconsistency patterns to play one match brilliantly and in another his game falls apart…I just wish Rafa could come up with different tactics when having difficulties instead of engaging in long rallies.., Moya should help in this, at least everyone expects him to propose some improvements in this regard…we shall see..,hopefuly Rafa’s bad day in the office is behind him and he returns to his better and more consistent self for Cilic.,,

          • What are you talking about? So now Rafa is so unfit that after playing a two hours match, he would be at a disadvantage in his next match just because his next round opponent has one more day rest? This is a BO3 event, not a slam. It’s not like Rafa was playing five setters after five setters! He had easy matches vs Mischa and Lorenzi!

            If Rafa was worried about his knee, then why would he not taped it up before going on court? Don’t you think this is even more lame?

            As I mentioned earlier, Rafa is a tactical player, not an instinctive player, he won’t change overnight even though we wish he could and would. When playing against a player for the first time, he has the tendency of taking his time to figure things out. It happened that Nishioka came out all guns blazing, not allowing much chances for Rafa to impose his more aggressive game even if Rafa wished to.

            Just watch his matches vs Mischa and Lorenzi, both of whom he had played against before this event, and see how well Rafa could impose his game. This is not the 2015 Rafa, that Rafa might have lost this match; Rafa was trying the best he could out there despite losing serves and whatever (some bad line calls too), and he stayed calm and finally raised his game to weather the storm to win in the end.

            I really don’t see why the negativity; he at least won in straight sets. Fed despite playing reasonably well, having MPs, and was 5-1 up in the final set TB and yet still lost the match. Murray the no.1 player, struggled through his match, almost got knocked out facing 7 MPs. Djoko despite serving well and playing well, couldn’t counter Kygrios huge serve, played one bad service game and lost the match. Rafa at least won without losing a set.

            Yeah, we all hope he will raise his level when playing against Cilic. I think he will, he knows what to expect from Cilic.

          • Nats, I think you are making far too much of the fact that Rafa did not sail through winning 1:1 as expected. Rafa says he was going for winners too soon in the rally because he knows Nish is quick around the court so he played some very bad service games and made lots of errors but he righted the ship and won in the end.

            It’s always difficult to play someone with nothing to lose for the first time because they can just go for itand you have to work out your tactics as you go along. Federer said part of his problem against Donskoy was not knowing enough about his style of play.

      • You make a good point Lucky.

        Same reason Fed gave partly for his loss is that he hadn’t played Donskoy before and didn’t know his game.

        • @ lucky 11:12 am,
          No, you missed my point about Rafa engaging in the long rallies! It’s not his fitness I am worried about, he is probably the fittest guy on tour, but it’s his knee and something he felt which may have caused concerns. When he injured the wrist he continued playing hoping it would go away and we know what happened! I was only hopeful of Rafa finishing Nishioka’ s match easily to avoid putting too much pressure in his knees..,
          And one more thing, Nishioka is mediocre player and produced nothing special last might! If it were not for Rafa playing bellow his own standards he would have been destroyed out there…

    • As I said earlier, Kyrgios needs to improve his ROS, also his shot selection. I think these will improve over time as he matures and gets more serious with his tennis and gaining experiences along the way. He’s the new age tennis player in the making, an upgraded and even better version of those past or current legends. He has speed, power, skills, varieties, all he needs now is the right mindset, to become a tennis great. He doesn’t have weakness in his game, it’s his mentality that’s the major stumbling block.

      Delpo may have his raw power but not the speed of Kygrios. The big four have everything except that they can be overpowered by big hitters; and Kygrios is no ordinary big hitter. When he’s serious, he’s not missing anything and Djoko in this match was the victim despite playing well and serving well.

      • As I said after Kyrgios beat Rafa, he’s the real deal.

        But only if he gets his head fixed and finds consistency.

        He can blow at anytime. He was yelling and cursing at fans in his first round win over Sela.

      • Lucky is right IMO.

        I watched Fed’s loss last night and because he didn’t know Donskoy’s game, it unsettled him big time and he ended up making many unforced errors like Rafa did.

        Big difference is, Rafa improved throughout the match (not perfect by any stretch) and won in straight sets.

        Can’t see how it was the knee as he didn’t have the wrap.

        And Rafa is historically nervous about playing opponents for the first time.

        We’ll know tonight against Cilic with whom he’s familiar. Hoping he can impose his game the way he’s done many times this year (and last year before he was hurt).

          • Yeah I did at the time during the match. I hadn’t noticed at that point either that the wrap was gone either. But I’ve reconsidered after lucky wrote her post, it made a lot more sense to me. I do take others thoughts into consideration when they are thoughts that I hadn’t previously considered.

            Fed had the same issue against Donskoy and I think it played a part in Nole’s loss but in this case Kyrgios’ level of play was probably the biggest. Had Nole played him before, given the closeness of the match, he might have been in position to make better adjustments. Or not.

          • well, Fed leading 5:1 in the tiebreak and still managing to lose I say it is not only Donskoy playing lights out tennis, but rather Fed not playing at the right level…in case of Rafa, Nishioka played ok but nothing special and Rafa played poorly from the very beginning, it’s not as Japanese forced him to make errors…

            anyway, I hope it is all gone now and he will show up strong against Cilic…

          • Well I disagree. I think while neither Donskoy nor Nishioka played lights out, they played at a very high level for them and enough to pressure their respective opponents who both struggled with unfamiliar opponents.

            Rafa always gets nervous against new opponents so was probably on his mind from the get go.

            That’s why I said we should know when he plays Cilic of whom he is familiar.

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