Stuttgart and ‘s-Hertogenbosch previews and predictions

Not even the red dirt of Europe could turn Rafael Nadal’s season around. Now the beleaguered former world No. 1 will try his hand on grass as he tries to restore some confidence in his game prior to Wimbledon. The grass-court swing begins this week in Stuttgart and ‘s-Hertogenbosch, with Nadal headlining the former along with Marin Cilic and Gael Monfils. A less impressive field is on hand in ‘s-Hertogenbosch, where contenders include David Goffin and Ivo Karlovic.

Mercedes Cup

Where: Stuttgart, Germany
Surface: Grass
Prize money: 574,965 Euros
Points
: 250

Top seed: Rafael Nadal
2014 champion: Roberto Bautista Agut (on clay, not playing this year)

Draw analysis: The tournament’s two biggest attractions find themselves in the top quarter of the draw and are part of what is a positively loaded half of the bracket. Joining Nadal is Germany’s own Tommy Haas, who is attempting to make yet another comeback at 37 years old. Haas will be unranked at this event, as he has not played since the 2014 French Open. The crowd favorite appears to have a winnable opener against Mikhail Kukushkin, but he could run into Bernard Tomic in round two. Nadal could have a tantalizing first match against 2012 Wimbledon conqueror Lukas Rosol. Also on the same side are Gael Monfils, Philipp Kohlschreiber, and Alexandr Dolgopolov.

Cilic has to be content with his draw as the No. 2 seed. The 2014 U.S. Open champion is part of a bottom half that is nowhere near as strong but does have some dangerous performers. Feliciano Lopez and Sergiy Stakhovsky, for example, are extremely capable on the slick stuff. Those two veterans could collide in round two and neither one would get Cilic until the semifinals. At different ends of the career spectrum, both Dominic Thiem and Radek Stepanek are also ones to watch.

First-round upset alert:
Borna Coric over (8) Viktor Troicki. Their only previous encounter came earlier this season in first-round Davis Cup action. Coric, an 18-year-old Croat, stormed out of the gates and had a chance to pull off a statement-making win in his young career on the road in Serbia. Instead, the crowd helped Troicki to a comeback victory and his experienced proved too much in a 4-6, 1-6, 6-3, 6-2, 6-1 decision. Fast forward three months and both players are in solid form. This should be a high-quality encounter and one that Troicki knows will be a real danger.

Hot: Dominic Thiem, Andreas Haider-Maurer, Borna Coric

Cold: Rafael Nadal, Tommy Haas, Mikhail Kukushkin, Radek Stepanek, Andreas Seppi

Semifinal predictions: Bernard Tomic over Jerzy Janowicz and Marin Cilic over Sergiy Stakhovsky

Final: Cilic over Tomic

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Topshelf Open

Where: ‘s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands
Surface: Grass
Prize money: 537,050 Euros
Points
: 250

Top seed: David Goffin
Defending champion: Roberto Bautista Agut

Draw analysis: Jo-Wilfried Tsonga had been the No. 1 seed at the top of the bracket, but he withdrew after the draw ceremony had already been conducted. Thus Karlovic (seeded fifth) assumes Tsonga’s place and Vasek Pospisil (now seeded ninth) slides into where Karlovic had once resided in the field of 28. Pospisil was initially scheduled to face Jurgen Melzer in the opening round before possibly running into the second-seeded Goffin. The Canadian now begins his week against an ice-cold Marinko Matosevic and his nearest seed is Guillermo Garcia-Lopez.

Each tournament this week features a veteran on the comeback trail. In ‘s-Hertogenbosch it is two-time major champion and former world No. 1 Lleyton Hewitt. The 34-year-old Aussie skipped the European clay swing and is a mere 1-4 for his 2015 campaign. He has not won a match since the first round of the Australian Open. Hewitt starts things off with either a qualifier or lucky loser before potentially meeting defending champion Roberto Bautista Agut. Goffin, Pospisil, and Garcia-Lopez are part of a weaker, less intriguing bottom half.

First-round upset alert: Marinko Matosevic over (9) Vasek Pospisil. Pospisil continues to find success on the doubles court, but due to both injuries and general poor play he has struggled in singles. The Canadian has not won a match since Miami, where he got the best of Juan Martin Del Potro. Matosevic has been even worse—by far. He is 3-13 this season and has lost nine matches in a row. That being said, grass should give him more of a chance than clay to find the win column. Posipisil should get the job done, but nothing is coming easy for him these days (at least when he does not have Jack Sock on his side of the net).

Hot: None

Cold: Vasek Pospisil, Blaz Kavcic, Lleyton Hewitt, Denis Istomin, Mikhail Youzhny

Semifinal predictions: Ivo Karlovic over Roberto Bautista Agut and Gilles Muller over David Goffin

Final: Muller over Karlovic

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Comments and your own predictions are appreciated!

80 Comments on Stuttgart and ‘s-Hertogenbosch previews and predictions

    • lol.. you have him losing to Rosol? cannot blame you. First grass court tournament and he is very low on confidence. Any wins he gets are will be bonus. He must build momentum on this tournament and that is exactly what he intends to do by playing both singles and doubles.

      • ricky has rafa as ‘cold’ and is only predicting him no reaching the semi

        thus… we can expect rafa to somehow make the semi, no ? 🙂

  1. I hope Rafa can do decently well on grass this year.. at least reach Wimby’s QFs would already be good in my eyes but we can always hope for more..

  2. I really do not want Rafa to lose again to the likes of Rosol! That is not a good first round match on grass for him.

    I agree with vamosrafa. Any wins that Rafa gets will definitely be a bonus. He must get match play leading up to Wimbledon. I am glad that he is playing both singles and doubles. He needs all the matches he can get right now.

    Rafa needs to get some nice wins and build some confidence and momentum.

      • about time too! don’t know why anyone would want him to play Rosol of all people when his confidence is at such a low ebb and when he’s done zilch on grass since 2011!!
        Rosol plays like a maniac against rafa and if he did lose, and he might well given his recent form, that would be a horrible kick in the teeth….

    • amy,

      Amen! Well said! I have no problem with Rafa catching a break for his first singles match on grass! This is not the time for him to go up against Rosol!

      He has a lousy draw as it is, so I am pleased that he will play Baggy instead of Rosol.

  3. I also expect Rafa to do reasonably well here…semis would be great… 🙂

    I for one would have loved to see Rafa playing this idiot Rosol again…I don’t want Rafa to fear from this fellow and beating him right now would have been very productive…Marcos is a nice and humble guy but unpredictable when it comes to tennis…he might want to play the match of his life here and Rafa should be prepared for it…after all, don’t they all dream of beating Rafa and then disappear in the next round…my poor Spanish hero has to deal with all of these impediments…
    Vamos Rafa! The green stuff may be the key! 🙂

      • not the ideal man to face when you are trying to build some momentum and regain your form. Baghdatis is a much better opponent for that matter.

      • nadline10 says:

        yep, but still considered to be an “issue” for Rafa…I don’t share this opinion though…I only want Rafa to face those ghosts that have beaten him before in order to build confidence and belief…and that is the best way of doing it…

      • vamosrafa,

        Yes, Rafa needs to build his confidence and why should he meet a guy like Rosol right out of the gate? I want him to have it a bit easy as he gets accustomed to grass.

        Baggy will give Rafa more rhythm. Much better opponent for Rafa’s first match!

    • Thank God Rafa won’t play that show-boating idiot Rosol………..

      Baggy should give Rafa good rhythm..

      Vamos!

  4. vamosrafa,

    Thanks for the play by play with Rafa’s doubles match. They don’t televise doubles in the states. So at least I can get a sense from your updates as to how Rafa is doing in his first doubles match on grass!

  5. haha np NNY 🙂 I caught a live stream! Rafa was standing on the baseline when Feli was serving so he played fewer volleys than he normally would.

    Looked like he was serving well. I only watched set 2

    • vamosrafa,

      Thanks! It’s always good to hear how Rafa is doing. You are usually spot on in your impressions and thoughts about Rafa’s game, so I rely on your observations!

      • glad to state my observations 🙂

        Feli is a very good doubles player so these two can do really well here..

  6. It sounds as if Rafa has never won anything on grass… I’m still seeing him as a patient on his way to recovery this season.

    • vamosrafa,

      Thanks so much for the link! At least I got to see the last game and their reaction when they won! 🙂

  7. Obviously I’m completely clueless in doubles… there’s no deuce? Rafa won the match at 40 all… also, I like him playing with the cap since he’s hairline is not as it used to be (I can relate to that too alas)

    • ^^snap! I too was caught out by the “no deuce” rule in dubs yesterday. Blinked expecting to see an “advantage” point played only to “wake up” seeing the players shaking hands….

  8. Poor Inverdale, I’m sure Marion Bartoli WILL be commentating at Wimby. Sweet.

    RT @BackSwings: “Guys, Clare Balding instead of Inverdale for Wimbledon is huge. If you don’t know Balding already, rest assured she’s the best of the best.”

    • wow!!! is this true! no Invertwerp one of the most hated men in british broadcasting!
      please please let this be true…!
      Clare Balding is LOADS better as well as having the overwhelming advantage of not being a sexist asshole…..!

      • oh no. just looked it up and they are saying he will still be there just won’t have the anchor role for the evening shows. what a pity! was hoping to see the back of him for good…..this is a start i suppose….

  9. So bummed my TV feed not showing Stuttgart at all. Cancelled my Tennis Channel subscription ‘coz didn’t think I was getting value for money…..

    • Please Tenngranders, those lucky enough to catch any of Rafa’s Stuttgart singles matches, post your un-varnished takes on his play/level, thanks.

      I say singles because no way is he going to be stopped by Baggy…….*cough*

      • You can re-subscribe in a matter of seconds and being able to watch on catch up for a week is a big bonus. It’s a bore they can’t cover the ITF matches.

      • Thanks for reminding me what put me off Tennis Channel in the first place: the non coverage of ITF matches. I was working out of Tunisia last year during the USOpen, had trouble getting feed off TV and unsubscribed in a huff.

        Scar still to heal I’m afraid………

      • ^^^^@RITB
        Forgot to mention there is a channel which shows historic footage of Wimbledon down the years. Great stuff when nothing else of TV. Near the top of the list of channels you’ll see SPORTS CHANNEL. Click on that and up comes Tennis TV and take pot luck what you will see.

      • Angry’s a bit strong Gussie. More like latent resentment……….

        I’ll give it a little more time before re-considering…

      • ritb, there is an App – FilmOn Live TV which is free and gives you access to live programmes all over the world. it works on Apple devices not sure if it does on Windows.

      • I have a feeling FilmOn only gives Free-to-Air Channels. It’s certainly the case for English TV but like Nadine says it will give you Wimbledon main courts.

    • I figured as much @hawkeye63 but as mentioned above, I un-subscribed from Tennis TV last year. At the time, I felt I was not getting value for money. Still doing my “cost-benefit-analysis”……………

      • Let me know what you find!

        The problem in Canada is that there is no reliable source for the Slams.

        TennisTV is at least reliable for ATP and picture quality has finally improved in the last year.

      • Will do. I loved the TennisTV picture quality, that was not a problem. My TV feed in Mauritius pretty much covers all ATP 500 and above tournaments Plus the Slams. It’s the ATP 250s and DC matches I don’t get. I mean, how many 250s is Rafa gonna play to justify a subscription for me? That is the conundrum. I am just being greedy wanting to watch Rafa play Stuttgart………….

  10. Thursday, June 11, 2015
    Previous Day
    CENTER COURT Start 12:00
    [Q] Mischa Zverev (GER)
    v
    Andreas Seppi (ITA)

    Not Before 13:55
    [WC] Tommy Haas (GER)
    v
    [5] Bernard Tomic (AUS)

    [1] Rafael Nadal (ESP)
    v
    Marcos Baghdatis (CYP)

    [LL] Matthias Bachinger (GER)
    v
    [2] Marin Cilic (CRO)

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