Rogers Cup QF previews and picks: Nadal vs. Matosevic, Raonic vs. Gulbis

A relatively depleted Montreal draw is not without Rafael Nadal, who is still alive and going up against surprising quarterfinalist Marinko Matosevic on Friday. Milos Raonic and Ernests Gulbis are also bidding for a spot in the last four.

(4) Rafael Nadal vs. Marinko Matosevic

Nadal and Matosevic will be facing each other for the second time in their careers and for the second time this season when they clash in the quarterfinals of the Rogers Cup on Friday. They just met on Nadal’s clay-court stomping grounds of Monte-Carlo, where the Spaniard dominated 6-1, 6-2. Less than four months later, Nadal’s 2013 record stands at 45-3 with its only real blemish a stunning first-round Wimbledon loss to Steve Darcis. The world No. 4 is back on track in Montreal with straight-set scalps of Jesse Levine and Jerzy Janowicz.

Matosevic’s sudden hot streak has come out of nowhere. Prior to last week in Washington, D.C. he had not won a match since the Queen’s Club first round–a span of five straight losses. The 74th-ranked Australian, though, reached the quarterfinals of that event and he finds himself at the same stage this week thanks to victories over Benjamin Becker, Tommy Haas (via first-set retirement), and Benoit Paire. Matosevic needed two hours and 30 minutes to hold off Paire 7-6(7), 6-7(10), 6-3, so that will not help his already-slim chances. The underdog will have a better shot on hard courts, but Nadal should dominate from the back of the court early and often.

Pick: Nadal 7-5, 6-2

[polldaddy poll=7309344]

(11) Milos Raonic vs. Ernests Gulbis

Raonic and Gulbis will be squaring off for the fourth time in their careers during quarterfinal action on Friday. All three of their previous encounters have gone in Raonic’s favor and he has never even lost a single set to Gulbis. The Canadian prevailed 6-4, 7-5 at the 2011 Monte-Carlo Masters, 6-2, 7-6(3) on the indoor hard courts of Memphis in 2012, and 6-2, 7-6(6) earlier this season in Barcelona. Gulbis, however, has not only displayed flashes of brilliance in 2013 but he has also been surprisingly consistent. The 38th-ranked Latvian’s 27-12 record features a title in Delray Beach, a fourth-round showing at the Indian Wells Masters, and a 6-4, 6-3 upset of Andy Murray on Thursday.

Raonic’s third-round triumph was also a straight-set ousting of a higher-ranked opponent (Juan Martin Del Potro), but it was not without controversy. With Del Potro serving at 4-3 in the second, Raonic hit a winner but touched the net with his foot. It went uncalled, Raonic broke one point later, and he also won the next two games to end it in abrupt fashion. The world No. 13 improved to 24-13 for the year, which includes a title in San Jose and a semifinal finish in Barcelona. Raonic had cooled off considerably since Barcelona prior to his arrival in Montreal, but his past history against Gulbis and home-court advantage in Canada should give him a slight edge.

Pick: Raonic in 3

[polldaddy poll=7309341]

59 Comments on Rogers Cup QF previews and picks: Nadal vs. Matosevic, Raonic vs. Gulbis

  1. Well, I am rooting for Gulbis. After the blatant CHEATING display by Raonic yesterday against Delpo, I hope Gulbis humiliates him. Disgusting man. But then again, didn’t we see the #1 player protest being rightly denied a point after he touched the net at RG in his semi against Rafa this year? Tsk, tsk, and I thought this was a gentleman’s sport.

      • Please don’t say, ed251137. I want to keep my illusions about the sport.

        By the way, someone else who is not amused by Novak’s new post win antics:

        RT @ITakeTheeTennis: @juanjo_sports I know. It’s kind of a slap in the face to lose and 20 seconds later have the #1 player in the world dancing in a wig.

        RT @SecondServeHack: @juanjo_sports In Spain, they kill the bull. In Serbia they mortally wound the bull then dance around it until it dies.

        Disgusting behaviour, especially from a #1. But then again, maybe one for the cultural differences column…..

  2. Glad I am not alone! I thought perhaps I was just being curmudgeonly.

    People pay serious money to attend a tennis tournament not to watch banal entertainment. It may have its place at exhibition matches which are played for laughs (cant bear those affairs myself) but are inappropriate at a masters tournament.

    I’m not a fan of any of the ritual post win performances by players e.g. Tsonga’s jig: at least Stepanek finally killed off that cringe-making ‘worm’ routine!

    Do you remember the embarrassing display by Roger and Stan when they won gold at Beijing – I bet they both bitterly regretted that afterwards when it was shown on TV.

    • I don’t know ed251137, maybe I am displaying my antipathy towards Novak because he has given Rafa a hard time lately but I am not offended by Tsonga’s jig, Step’s worm or Roger ‘n Stan’s Olympic celebrations. Tsonga’s jig came after a single spontaneous jig which he discovered went down well with the crowd and he decided to keep it. Steps has always been, well……Steps. Roger and Stan, that REALLY meant so much to them, you could tell it was genuine.

      The thing about Novak’s latest antics is: they appear so damn contrived! It’s or so obvious this was planned, just like those player imitation sketches. To be honest, while I did not like the primal screams, I understood them because they came from the heart, they were instinctive, they were genuine. They were rude but there was no pretense there!

      Someone needs to tell him to drop it fast….

      And here I was thinking manners were universal……………..

  3. Desperate d-joker is an embarrassment. He looked the clown that he is. I hope people stop giving him credit for being a ‘good loser’ because he is a bad winner. I wasn’t there, but it appears that the crowd wasn’t too entertained judging by the muted applause.

  4. Rafa’s water bottles will be in danger today. In Monte Carlo, Matosevic knocked over the bottles.
    SI.com: —With Nadal leading 5-2 in the second set, Matosevic walked over to his opponent’s bench on the changeover and intentionally knocked over his water bottles. How would Nadal, who is famous for his meticulous and delicate treatment of his water bottles, react to such insolence? By shrugging and laughing with his box.—

    http://tennis.si.com/2013/04/17/rafael-nadal-monte-carlo-masters-water-bottles/

  5. I don’t get this. Sometimes my posts just don’t show up, at other times they do. It’s so hit or miss. If you don’t see m here often, that’s why.

  6. I saw the Raonic/Delpo match and that was really something! So Raonic is a cheater! The tennis channel commentators were just shocked because Raonic knew that he touched the net with his foot. Layhani is such a good umpire, but the replays showed that his eyes were on Djoker. So he never saw it. What a mess! I really am surprised at Raonic. Just disgusting!

    I don’t know that I can bring myself to root for Gulbis. I despise him. So I won’t cheer for either of them. This has been one crazy tournament.

    I don’t want to get too carried away, but I think that Rafa should be able to handle this guy Matosevic. He will be feeling good about his win over JJ.

    I didn’t see Djoker’s antics with the Afro wig. But I am hearing about it! Unbelievable! He was lucky to get out of that match with a win. I lost count of how many UE’s he had. Not good!

  7. Oh and tomorrow will be an early dinner with Rafa! The match starts at 5:00 pm my time.

    Now I am beginning to wonder about a possible semifinal between Rafa and Djoker. Hmmm….

  8. Given Djokovic’s disgraceful level of play against Istomin, he should perhaps spend a little less time on his newly choreographed post match dance moves, and a little more time actually practising tennis. Still think he is the slight favourite to win Montreal though.

  9. Rafa yesterday: “I was able to play without limitations these two matches; hopefully I can continue like this. That’s my goal. I will try to forget this injury with my knee.”

    Be confident, be brave, be strong, Rafa!

  10. I agree with tj600, djoker is still the slight favourite to win montreal… he’l probably beat gasquet in 2 sets but this could be an interesting match

    • Well, I hope the Djoker turns up for the semis, I know Rafa will. I am sick and tired of this, “Rafa has not beaten Novak on HC in 3 years” song. This is it, the Ok Coral……….

  11. Saw Andy play Matosavic at Queens. Honestly dunno how he’s got this far. Another huge server with a limited game. Rafa in 2.
    You guys are always scoffing…;)

  12. PS Oops, Gulbis in 3.Feel like NNY on this one though, don’t like G. nothing to do with Andy BTW, just seems so spoilt and full of himself. And as for Raonic, never liked his game and not only did he cheat, but justified it *eye roll.*

  13. Looking at relative forms of Rafa and Nole, if Rafa’s knee does not act up, Rafa is the favorite in their SF match ( if both get there)..

  14. I agree with Ricky here..the favourite is not entirely based on current form… but holdserve is right about rafa being in slightly better form..but to be honest I cannot say much about rafa’s form taking into account only the JJ match..waiting for today’s match! GO RAFA

  15. Rafa will not go all out against Nole in a slugfest on hard courts this close to the US Open. Nole sud win in 2 relatively close sets I believe

  16. Rafa will not go all out against Nole in a slugfest on hard courts

    Atul? Why not? It doesn’t make sense if he wants to prove his mettle on HC against Novak.

    • agreed with MC. Rafa has never been one to sand-bag tournaments. When he doesn’t want to play, he withdraws before it starts.

      A win over Djokovic on a hard court would be a MASSIVE confidence boost heading into the US Open.

  17. This has really been one crazy tournament. I don’t know how a guy like Matosevic got to the quarterfinals, but hopefully Rafa will be able to deal with him in straight sets. Rafa never takes anyone for granted and that’s a good thing.

    As far as what will happen should Rafa and Djoker meet in the semis, there is no way that Rafa won’t go all out to win. He’s been off for a while and hasn’t played much. So he won’t kill himself if it’s a tough match. He needs match play right now. Rafa doesn’t like to lose. Period. He won’t want to give up a win to Djoker on hard court before the USO, if at all possible.

    Djoker’s performance against Istomin was dreadful. I assume it will be a wakeup call to let him know that he actually does have to show up for these matches. I still think he is the slight favorite over Rafa in the semis.. But I not writing Rafa off by any means.

  18. I just wanted to clarify the sentence – he won’t kill himself if it’s a tough match. That sounds like he won’t go all out, which is precisely what I was NOT saying. I mean that it won’t kill him physically.

    • Now that IS an interesting theory. And it wont be obvious because most people will assume he is merely conserving energy.

      #WhatAreTheBettingOdds

      • ……..or that he is playing badly, laid the foundation for that line of thinking by dropping a set against……..whatshisname, Istomin?

        *wink, wink*

  19. I’m not so sure it’s a foregone conclusion. I think there may be a carryover effect from the ‘net’ affair last night which could be praying on Raonic’s mind. He has a tendency to overplay at times and is clocking up the UFs. Gulbis is playing conservatively and waiting for Raonic to tighten up.

  20. Three double faults from Gulbis in the first game of 3rd set. Unbelievable. And an ugly exchange with the umpire to boot.

  21. Rafa has done some serious homework on his ROS ..he has vowed not to be get blown away by djoker in the semi….good aggression so far… the mindset is surely to be more aggressive than usual

  22. dreadful? LOL…not at all..he is playing great…the errors he has made have been caused by more-than-usual aggressiveness …ROS is far more aggressive than it usually is and forehand is also quite aggressive… just cut down the errors rafa…

  23. you are judging his game solely on how many errors on how many U.E he is making ….U.E are NOT the best of indicators at the moment because rafa is playing quite aggressive, he made some silly errors in the beginning but had he adopted his conservative play, you would have said rafa has been ‘decent’ but nothing special

    ….ahh 71% 2nd serve pnts won, 10/14 that is… good job rafa…

    I am now hoping he can cut down the errors because aggression alone cant help him against djoker

  24. rafa just getting used to playing this aggressive brand of tennis..he has not played much tennis lately but he has been getting better and better….I hope this match and tomorrow’s training session make him sharp enough 🙂

  25. Yes, Rafa’s playing super aggressive but his placement needs to be sharper than this. I think this is a combination of the fast court and his opponent taking the ball on the rise which is “dimming” Rafa’s anticipation. He needs to adjust fast to the fast courts, cut down on the errors.

  26. NNY, i agree with you ! remember when we agreed on emphasizing on HOW rafa plays in montreal…for me, he is absolutely on the right track ! With more practise, he’l get more comfortable..boy he was beating the hell out of the ball…best thing is that I hardly say any short balls.. yes he made some bad errors but I can understand where they are coming from…..

    rafa should just bring out this super aggressive version out there against novak and hope for some luck .. this mindset of his has now given me more hope so I give rafa a decent chance of winning the semi BUT, djoker is the favourite for me…wont be surprised if he wins in 2 sets…. rafa is doing things right though….by the time of USO, he will be in really dangerous form 🙂

    So 8 pm local time it is !

  27. I don’t agree with Ricky’s thoughts. Although he did say that Rafa was playing pretty well later in the match. I think that Rafa might have been testing out his aggressive game and also standing on or inside the baseline when receiving serve. There’s a reason why he is doing this. I wonder if he will do it against Djoker. He is making a lot of errors, but this is the way it always is when he’s been off for a while. Also he is trying to go for more.

    I thought that Rafa came out wanting to smother Matosevic and not let him get into the match. I think Rafa realized he didn’t have any real weapons to trouble him, so he just wanted to get that first set easily and then get the early break in that second set and get the easy win. I think Rafa did just enough to win in that second set. He didn’t want to waste any more energy than necessary on this match.

    vamosrafa,

    I think Rafa is looking better than expected. I also think that he may have some surprises in store for the USO. Rafa said in his post match on court interview with Pam Shriver that this may be too soon to play Djoker and it’s his best surface and how he takes the ball early and returns well. But Rafa never talks himself up before a match. He said that he knows he has to be aggressive and play well.

    I think ideally it is too soon for Rafa to meet Djoker. That’s the only reason I am making Djoker the slight favorite. But I have this feeling that Rafa is not going out there to lose tomorrow night. The thing is, no matter what Rafa can come away feeling good. If he wins, then it’s a big boost before the USO. If he loses, then he will know what he needs to work on for the USO.

    • In his post match interview Rafa himself said it was too soon for a meeting with Novak and remember, Rafa doesn’t sand-bag so this is how he truly feels. Interestingly, he also said the same on the eve of his finals match with Djokovic in Monte Carlo. Not suggesting a repeat of the MC result but I think Rafa is spot on, given that this is his first tournament after a long break, much like it was at MC. But let’s not forget, Rafa pushed Djokovic at MC and I thought Rafa’s attitude in that final sucked! Here, he looks hungry and motivated so I expect him to push Novak. If the Novak who turned up in the Istoman match turns up in the semi, Rafa will win.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.




Skip to toolbar