Madrid SF preview and prediction: Lehecka vs. Auger-Aliassime

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The entire semifinal lineup at the Mutua Madrid Open is surprising–the most shocking part being a matchup between Jiri Lehecka and Felix Auger-Aliassime.

It’s safe to say that both players have been living right in Madrid. Auger-Aliassime benefited from a very favorable draw in the early rounds, beating Yoshihito Nishioka and clay-court novice Adrian Mannarino. The 23-year-old Canadian then went up against Jakub Mensik instead of Grigor Dimitrov and got a second-set retirement from the teenager. Auger-Aliassime’s best win of the season came in round four at the expense of Casper Ruud, as the world No. 35 pulled off a 6-4, 7-5 upset. Auger-Aliassime’s friendly draw should have ended in the quarterfinals, but his good fortune continued when top seed Jannik Sinner withdrew due to a hip injury.

The story has been similar for Lehecka. The 22-year-old ousted Hamad Medjedovic and Thiago Monteiro before taking advantage of a less than 100 percent Rafael Nadal with a 7-5, 6-4 victory. That propelled Lehecka into the quarterfinals, where he got a retirement from Daniil Medvedev because of an apparent hip issue.

Jiri Lehecka


Lehecka has not been required to showcase his best stuff so far this fortnight, but he has been very good in 2024 and really dating all the way back to the start of 2023. The Czech is up to No. 31 in the rankings and he is projected to reach a career high of 22nd even if he loses on Friday. He is 17-8 this year with a quarterfinal run in Indian Wells and a title in Adelaide.

Friday marks just the second-ever meeting between Auger-Aliassime and Lehecka. They previously squared off in round four of the 2023 Australian Open, with Lehecka surviving a 4-6, 6-3, 7-6(2), 7-6(3) thriller.

Auger-Aliassime is starting to find his game again on the heels of a slump that has lasted for the better part of two years, but Lehecka is the far more consistent and reliable of of the two players right now.

Pick: Lehecka in 3

[yop_poll id=”1088″]

10 Comments on Madrid SF preview and prediction: Lehecka vs. Auger-Aliassime

  1. FAA in 3 but that is more a vote of the heart.

    Ricky, is it possible to put an extra option on all Voting boxes to view results? The reason being, you can’t view results after you have voted

  2. Now that Lehecka is a favorite, he will find a way to tank. Now that FAA is an underdog, he will actually play tennis.

  3. Sorry, I did not explain myself well. Yesterday I was the first person to vote for the FAA vs LeHecka match. So when I voted, the results were 100% in favor of FAA. Today it would be nice to see how everyone else votes, but the poll does not let me vote again (which is good) but ther3 is no way for me to see the updated results.

    Having a “view results” op5ion on voting boxes would enable people who have already voted to see the updated results.

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