French Open R3 preview and prediction: Federer vs. Koepfer

Roger Federer will try to play his way into the second week of the French Open when he goes up against Dominik Koepfer on Saturday night.

It’s hard to find anyone on tour these days who has not played a match behind closed doors since the coronavirus began, but that is the case with Federer. This night-session match on Court Philippe-Chatrier will be without fans because of the 9:00 pm curfew in France, making it a unique situation for the 39-year-old. He played in 2020 only before the Covid-19 pandemic began, and prior to Roland Garros his only 2021 tournaments–Doha and Geneva–welcomed a limited-capacity crowd.

As a result this will be a rare “first” for Federer, but there is no reason to think he will have any trouble adapting to a new situation. The 20-time Grand Slam champion certainly hasn’t had any problem finding his French Open footing in his first appearance at this event since 2019. Federer lost right away in Geneva to Pablo Andujar, but so far this fortnight he has cruised past Denis Istomin and Marin Cilic–dropping just one set to Cilic in the process.

This will be a first for Koepfer, too, as he has never faced Federer (he has also never faced Rafael Nadal, while being 0-1 lifetime against Novak Djokovic). The 59th-ranked German earned his place in this matchup by beating Mathias Bourge in straight sets and Taylor Fritz in four. Prior to upsetting Fritz, Koepfer had defeated only one Top 45 player since Acapulco in March–and that one player was a slumping Benoit Paire via a 6-7(8), 7-6(5), 6-4 decision in Geneva.

The 27-year-old is making just his second appearance in the third round of a Grand Slam and even without fans this will be a big occasion for him. Meanwhile, with two matches under his belt Federer should only be getting better and better as he progresses in Paris.

As a result, a relatively comfortable win for the Swiss great can be expected.

Pick: Federer in 3