The only thing shorter than the tennis offseason is the buildup to the Australian Open. Just two weeks into the year, the first Grand Slam of 2016 will be upon us. As such, almost everyone—even the very top players in the world—is eager to do some fine-tuning at smaller, 250-point events in preparation for Melbourne. The action begins with a bang this upcoming week in Doha, Brisbane, and Chennai.
Qatar ExxonMobil Open
Where: Doha, Qatar
Surface: Hard
Prize money: $1,189,605
Points: 250
Top seed: Novak Djokovic
Defending champion: David Ferrer
Draw analysis: This could end up being one of the most top-heavy draws of the entire year, in that the star power is huge but the depth is strikingly thin. Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, Tomas Berdych, and David Ferrer are all on hand in Doha. For those counting, that means four of the top seven players are in attendance. After that, however, there is a precipitous drop-off. You have to go down to No. 17 in the world to find the fifth seed (Feliciano Lopez) and to No. 29 to find the sixth (Andreas Seppi). Fernando Verdasco is the highest-ranked unseeded floater at No. 49.
Djokovic, Nadal, Berdych, and Ferrer should all cruise into the semifinals. Berdych may have the toughest road, with Sergiy Stakjovsky in round one and possibly Lopez in the quarters. Should the Czech navigate those waters, his reward would almost certainly be a date with Djokovic in the last four. In the other half, Nadal and Ferrer should be feeling good about themselves following the Abu Dhabi exhibition. Nadal captured the title on Saturday over Milos Raonic, while Ferrer beat Stan Wawrinka for third place.
First-round upset alert: Ricardas Berankis over (6) Andreas Seppi. The two previous head-to-head meetings could not have been much closer. Seppi prevailed 7-6(4), 7-6(2) at the 2011 Mons Challenger and 3-6, 6-2, 7-6(6) last season on the indoor hard courts of Zagreb. The Italian is coming off a typical year in which he finished 29th in the world. Berankis is a considerable underdog on paper at No. 85 in the rankings, but the Lithuanian heated up last summer and wrapped up his season with a Challenger title.
Hot: Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, David Ferrer
Cold: Fernando Verdasco, Paul-Henri Mathieu, Andrey Kuznetsov
Semifinal predictions: Novak Djokovic over Tomas Berdych and Rafael Nadal over David Ferrer
Final: Djokovic over Nadal
[polldaddy poll=9254277]
Brisbane International
Where: Brisbane, Australia
Surface: Hard
Prize money: $404,780
Points: 250
Top seed: Roger Federer
Defending champion: Roger Federer
Draw analysis: Not unlike at many Grand Slams, Federer should be able to sleepwalk through his draw prior to the quarterfinals. It helps, of course, that the 34-year-old Swiss has an opening-round bye as the first of the top four seeds. He awaits either Australian wild card Benjamin Mitchell or a qualifier. But then things could get tricky. In the last eight, Federer will likely face the winner of a first-round showdown between Gilles Simon and Grigor Dimitrov. The top half of the bracket is also home to Marin Cilic, Dominic Thiem, and Korean teenager Hyeon Chung. Cilic and Chung are on a second-round collision course for a rematch of a 2015 Washington, D.C. encounter that ended at 2:27 in the morning.
The other side of the draw is alarmingly weaker, riddled with qualifiers. It would not be surprising to see the four seeded entrants coast into the quarters. Bernard Tomic has Nicolas Mahut and Dusan Lajovic in his path to a potential date with Kei Nishikori in the last eight. Raonic, the runner-up to Federer last season, and David Goffin should have no trouble setting up a quarterfinal tussle in their section.
First-round upset alert: Grigor Dimitrov over (5) Gilles Simon. Simon vs. Dimitrov is the marquee first-round matchup of the entire week. This is what happens when Dimitrov has stooped so low in the rankings that he is unseeded at a 250-point tournament. In fairness to the Bulgarian, though, he would be a seed at just about any other 250-pointer this season—including in Doha or Chennai. Simon leads the head-to-head series 4-0, but they have not faced each other since 2012. As bad as Dimitrov was in 2015, he remains dangerous.
Hot: Roger Federer, Marin Cilic, David Goffin, Steve Johnson, Hyeon Chung, Lucas Pouille
Cold: Grigor Dimitrov, Nicolas Mahut, Radek Stepanek
Semifinals: Roger Federer over Dominic Thiem and Milos Raonic over Kei Nishikori
Final: Federer over Raonic
[polldaddy poll=9254279]
Aircel Chennai Open
Where: Chennai, India
Surface: Hard
Prize money: $425,535
Points: 250
Top seed: Stan Wawrinka
Defending champion: Stan Wawrinka
Draw analysis: The Stan Wawrinka Invitational may be in for more of the same this time around after Wawrinka triumphed in both 2014 and 2015. That is not to say, however, that Wawrinka has an easy draw. The top-seeded Swiss finds himself in the same quarter as familiar foe Guillermo Garcia-Lopez and he could go up against good friend Benoit Paire in the semifinals. Wawrinka might first have to survive an intriguing second-round date with up-and-coming Russian Andrey Rublev.
Speaking of youngsters, Borna Coric has a nice opportunity to make a real run in Chennai. The Croat opens with Marcel Granollers before possibly facing either Rajeev Ram or Austin Krajicek in the quarters and Roberto Bautista Agut in the semis. Second-seeded Kevin Anderson, meanwhile, will likely run into either Vasek Pospisil or Aljaz Bedene in the last eight.
First-round upset alert: Aljaz Bedene over (7) Vasek Pospisil. Bedene may be known mostly as the guy who has been unable to get an all-clear for British Davis Cup participation, but he started to make a name for himself on the court at this Chennai event in 2015. The Slovenian-turned-Brit finished runner-up to Wawrinka as a qualifier. This head-to-head series is tied 1-1; Bedene scored a 6-7(5), 7-5, 6-3 victory at the 2014 Miami Masters before Pospisil got the job done 6-3, 6-4 this past fall in Valencia. The proverbial rubber match could be a good one.
Hot: Benoit Paire, Andrey Rublev, Evgeny Donskoy
Cold: Nicolas Almagro, Santiago Giraldo, Marcel Granollers
Semifinals: Stan Wawrinka over Benoit Paire and Borna Coric over Vasek Pospisil
Final: Wawrinka over Coric
[polldaddy poll=9254283]
Comments and your own predictions are appreciated!
who ya got?
Stan and Roger
Doha probably Novak
Roger, then going out on a limb. Paire and Rafa
i love it
Nishioka defeats Gulbis 6-3, 6-4
What? Gulbis loses in qualies? No way…
how is that surprising? Nishioka was the clear favorite.
Haha I know. Just sarcasm lol
Hey, Rafa is in the hot column! Yay! I fully expect to see Rafa and Novak meet in the final at Doha. I can’t see anyone getting in their way. As far as the final prediction, I wish that Rafa would beat Novak. That’s all I can say about that.
I think Fed is the odds on favorite to win Brisbane. He may well meet Raonic, but it could be Nishi.
I like Stan to win in Chennai. Coric could well be in the final, but I am not positive about that.
I dont think Rafa is going to beat Novak should they meet. Rafa is fond of messing up and makes life difficult for himself. Even in an exho he could tense up during crucial moments, what more during an atp final and vs the no.1 player?
I agree with Ricky, Novak over Rafa in the Doha final.
This^^
Agreed for now.
#Missouri
I guess so. All I said was that I hoped Rafa would beat Novak, not that I thought he would do it. I think it’s too soon, but one can always hope. It will be interesting to see how it will play out.
Why is it too soon?
https://tenngrand.com/2016/01/03/doha-brisbane-and-chennai-previews-and-predictions-2/comment-page-1/#comment-71618
#YoureWelcome
OOP in Doha for Monday:
http://www.protennislive.com/posting/2016/451/op.pdf
Rafa’s doubles match is scheduled to start at 3:30 pm (local time).
Live tomorrow on TennisTV: Novak Djokovic and Rafa Nadal both in action from Doha (geoblocked in Europe)
https://twitter.com/TennisTV/status/683647897339064320
when is Nadal’s first singles match?
Ricky,
According to VB, Rafa’s first match will be on Tuesday against Pablo Carrena Busta.
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Novak will have to drop in level at some point…Rafa is on the raise…I refuse to write him off just like that! Rafa has huge chance to win Doha! He has played matches in December while Novak was on the beach…time for Rafa to make it difficult for the Serb not the other way around…
Vamos Rafa!
Brisbane:
Fed def Cilic
Raonic def Nishikori
Fed def Raonic
Chennai:
Wawrinka def. Muller
RBA def. Pospisil
Wawrinka def. RBA
very pospisil that this happens
Doha:
Djokovic beats Berdych
Nadal beats Ferrer
Djokovic beats Nadal
havent seen anyone else predict anything else
Doha is too obvious
Yeah the only thing I would expect maybe to change is possibly Lopez beating berdych or even less likely but possible upset for Chardy over Ferrer.
happened at the US Open….but Ferrer was a shadow of his real self there.
fill out tournament brackets here if you like – http://www.tennisdrawchallenge.com
BennyG probably loves stuff like this
Haha u know me
full tournament picks https://tenngrand.com/fantasy-tennis/
Novak Djokovic admits concerns after friend becomes Roger Federer coach
http://sport360.com/article/international/47160/novak-djokovic-admits-concerns-after-friend-becomes-roger-federer-coach
Rafa’s doubles match is being shown live in Dubai! Wow! I’m just about to watch it.
Rafa’s doubles match is live on BeIN Sport.
Carlos Bernardes is calling Rafa’s doubles match.
New Year
RT Ricky Dimon: “the only thing faster than Gabashvili’s forehand winner on match point was Nadal’s handshake with Bernardes”
I don’t think that Nando’s handshake with Bernardes lasted longer:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z9AOnFQMzWA
#EmptySeats
To: AT 6:45 PM,
Empty seats:
https://twitter.com/QatarTennis/status/684027440591704065/photo/1
Doubles is the new exho.
#DoesntCount
Andreas Seppi, who defeated Fed at the 2015 Australian Open, fell to Richardas Berankis. Wow!