Cincinnati R2 previews and picks: Murray vs. Youzhny, Nadal vs. Becker

Andy Murray and Rafael Nadal will kick off their Cincinnati campaigns on Wednesday. They are set for respective second-round meetings with Mikhail Youzhny and Benjamin Becker.

Mikhail Youzhny vs. (2) Andy Murray

Youzhny and Murray will be going head-to-head for the fourth time in their careers and for the second time this summer when they clash in round two of the Western & Southern Open on Wednesday. Murray has won all three of their previous encounters, including a 6-4, 7-6(5), 6-1 victory just a few weeks ago in the Wimbledon fourth round. The Scot is 7-1 lifetime in sets against Youzhny, having survived once in a third-set tiebreaker (2007 St. Petersburg).

Murray’s form is somewhat in question because his only matches since his triumph at the All-England Club have come in Montreal, where he beat Marcel Granollers then lost to Ernests Gulbis in straight sets. Youzhny denied a rematch by taking care of Gulbis 7-5, 6-3 in his Cincinnati opener on Tuesday. The 25th-ranked Russian is 27-17 for the season, which includes a recent clay-court title in Gstaad. Murray may not be back completely in peak form, but he is a two-time champion in Cincinnati and that should help him regain some confidence.

Pick: Murray in 2

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(Q) Benjamin Becker vs. (4) Rafael Nadal

Nadal and Becker will be squaring off for the second time in their careers and for the first time in more than five years when they do battle on Wednesday night. Their only previous meeting came at the 2008 Miami Masters, where Nadal cruised 7-5, 6-2. The third-ranked Spaniard is contesting his Cincinnati opener three days after triumphing at the Rogers Cup. That improved Nadal’s 2013 record to an incredible 48-3 with eight titles.

Becker is most famous for ending Andre Agassi’s career at the 2006 U.S. Open. The 32-year-old German has never done anything else particularly of note, but he has sustained a nice career for himself. Becker registers right at 100th in the world and he qualified for the main draws in both Montreal and now in Cincinnati. After beating Lukasz Kubot and Michael Russell over the weekend, he ousted fellow qualifier Pablo Andujar 6-1, 6-4 on Tuesday. Still, Becker is a mere 6-14 at the ATP level this season. While Cincinnati is far from Nadal’s favorite tournament and a quick turnaround won’t help, all other signs point to this being a straightforward opening match.

Pick: Nadal 7-5, 6-2

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35 Comments on Cincinnati R2 previews and picks: Murray vs. Youzhny, Nadal vs. Becker

  1. Murray is not going to be a happy bunny playing the first match of the day 🙁

    Expecting a slow start from him against a resurgent Youzhny.

    Murray in 3

  2. Talking of which, how come Gulbis put in SUCH a mediocre performance?

    I’ve never been an Ernie fan but I’m becoming more and more irritated by his petulant arrogance. Time he started letting his racquet do the talking instead of shooting off his mouth – he merely makes himself look stupid.

  3. ed,

    Gulbis will never change. He is not going to make a serious effort to play consistently well. He will never reach his potential. He is a spoiled, entitled brat who has squandered his considerable talent.

    I didn’t see Murray, but the score says it all. I expected him to come out strong after getting bounced out of Montreal in his first match.

  4. rafa is absolutely on the right track, ABSOLUTELY…he is returning serve from a little deeper position in the court but getting good strikes nonetheless…the balls move quicker here so rafa is probably getting used to that..

  5. WOW..THAT backhand winner DTL for 3-1 was signs of scary confidence ! Rafa is oozing with confidence…and woww now this return winner off the backhand…

    rafa has looked the most comfortable of the big 4, by far

  6. LOL…very very little hope for dimitrov and ricky if rafa plays like this..he’l beat anyone if he plays like that…rafa’s aggressive best is THE BEST among the big 4, its just that rafa is not that consistent on hard courts with this brand of tennis but for now he is just getting better and better !!!

    my hot favourite for USO

  7. Fine performance by Rafa. He was oozing confidence out there. The only shot I thought needs fine-tuning is his forehand on the run, DTL. That shot was floating long, needs to put a little more spin on it…..

    Tomorrow, Baby Fed………..

    Who ya got, @sana?

  8. Gosh, that performance was clinic!!!! i said to my mom that I was sure everyone would be saying the same thing about how confident and comfortable Rafa looked on stage tonite!!………and true to form I was right!! I must say, Rafa is playing so well, I have never seen him play so well on hc like this. He is painting the lines, his cc bh is a beaut!!!!!! Rafa, Rafa, Rafa………what a womderful era of tennis we’re in!!!!

    Cant wait to see both his and Fed’s matches tomorrow nite…………..it will be a hoot!!!!! Good luck Rafa, and stay in good health, always!!!

    VAMOS!!!

  9. I found rafa’s comments very very interesting :O

    When you change cities, change a little bit of weather, the feelings on the ball is different,” said Nadal. “The speed of the court is not exactly the same. It’s a little bit slower here than in Montreal. And when you have these kind of tournaments back to back it’s not easy, but I’m very happy with the way I played this afternoon and the way that I adapted the game.”

    He’s a great player,” said Nadal. “He’s a young player. He’s really destined to be in the top positions in not a very long period of time. He’s doing well, and I had a tough match against him in Monte Carlo this year. He had already tough matches against Murray, Djokovic. He’s a player that has great potential. Tomorrow will be a tough match for me, so I have to keep playing this way and play very well.

    *CINCY IS PLAYING SLOWER THAN MONTREAL!! DID YOU HEAR THIS GUYS? ESP MR.DIMON !!! LOLL

  10. were you at the presser??OH MY !! give me updatesssss plz:D what was the laughter thing all about?? and how confident did rafa seem to you and what are your thoughts on him saying montreal played quicker

  11. vamosrafa,

    I was thinking about luckystar tonight as I watched Rafa’s match. If she was watching, then she must be over the moon! He is cracking that cc backhand! I haven’t seen him hit that backhand this good in the last few years. He is creating that wicked angle and more speed. Also the dtl backhand is starting to show up.

    Rafa seemed a bit impatient when some of his shots went long. But I think he is just adjusting to this court. Surprising that he says it’s playing slower than Montreal! His serving wasn’t great tonight, but again I think he was just getting his feet under him. Actually I thought that Becker played some decent tennis. But Rafa was just too good.

    I am telling you, I get the chills watching Rafa now. His movement on the court is just outstanding, he is moving into the court to close out points with great volleys and just seems to be feeling it right now.

    Lucky, where are you? Rafa is doing what we wanted him to do for so long!

    Ricky,

    Yes, let’s hear some more details. What did you say to get a laugh out of Rafa? Did you tell him that you picked Dimi to beat him? 🙂

  12. hahaha that was a great post NNY 😀 and your analysis is SPOT ON ! I also thought rafa’s serving was not that great and rafa himself has said after the match that his serving down in some moments of the match so he’l be working on it !

    yes, luckystar MUST join us ! I am also having awesome feelings about rafa’s game ! Like you, I am really confident about that backhand…the backhand DTL is going to appear more frequently now (signs of an utmost confident rafa)…. have you also noticed the high quality of rafa’s backhand slice? even in montreal, his slice was so vicious ! normally, his slices have a tendency to float a little and sit up, he is consistently achieving good depth and bite off the court with it now ! wow what a complete package he is turning into while heading into USO….I just hope he just keeps doing things this way ! VAMOSSSS

  13. vamosrafa,

    Thanks for pointing out the backhand slice. You notice things that I don’t. Excellent observation! I remember in the past that this shot was not effective especially on hard courts. So he has worked on that shot, too! I see him slicing but there is something different about it. Is it the speed or the way he’s hitting it?

    You are right that in the past Rafa’s slices would float up and sit up as an easy mark for his opponents. That’s why I didn’t like him using that shot. But it’s different now. I recorded the match and will go back and watch it again. I also want to check the speed on Rafa’s first and second serves.

    BTW, I went to the atp website and Rafa’s first serves in for the match was only 52%! So I was right that he wasn’t getting enough of those in, but it didn’t hurt him against Becker. However, he won 91% of his first serves and 67% of his second serves. Those stats were even better than Fed’s serving stats in his first match. I think Rafa took something off his first serve when he wasn’t getting it in tonight. When I could see the scoreboard I saw that the speeds were slower. He started out in the 115 – 119 range. But then he dialed it back a little. I think he’s hitting his second serves faster now. I saw some in the 90’s. It’s hard to check the speed while you are watching the match.

    Rafa will need to have his serve going for the match with Dimitrov. I wonder if Dimitrov will be ready for this Rafa. I am glad that Rafa played Cincy. He is looking good and the more matches, the better.

  14. he was in a decent mood. seemed like he gave longer answers than usual. he came in IMMEDIATELY after his TV interview so maybe he wasn’t in a hurry to get out since it was going to be an early night no matter what.

    I said another night match tomorrow and asked him if he had a preference. He said “It’s a seven so that’s my preference because there is no other option.” then lots of laughter from both Rafa and the rest of the room.

  15. once again some great observations about the rafa service NNY! he is definitely serving the 2nd serves faster and with more spin… toni pointed out rafa’s 2nd serve as the major area of development in rafa’s game some time ago so they are surely working hard to improve it…. I agree with your comments about the 1st serve too…

    about the slice, well I think it has also to do with rafa being more offensive minded right now …in the past he usually might be content to to throw in the slices to just mix up the pattern of play but now he is using the slices as an offensive weapon.. not saying he has not done it in the past but he is doing it more now…

    Oz 2012 final , I observed rafa using a tactic against novak…he sliced deep to novak’s backhand and when novak’s backhand is attacked by that shot, he often responds with a relatively short CC backhand and rafa is waiting to punish it with a deadly forehand DTL ! He also used this pattern in montreal so he likes using it against novak on hard courts..best thing is that even if novak directs his backhand to rafa’s backhand, rafa is ready to pounce on it with his backhand too ! I think rafa has developed some winning patterns against novak..

  16. another observation is about rafa’s return of first serves..he is definitely taking bigger and flatter swipes at the ball now ! In the past, his first serve returns were relatively safe but sinc montreal has begun, he has been more offensive with the returns..2nd serve ROS, i dont need to mention, we all know how well he is doing it

    @Ricky, hahaahha thanks 😀

    • ritb,

      You had me laughing out loud with your comment! 🙂

      Actually the first set was very interesting when Djoker was up 4-1 and then Monaco broke back and evened it up at 4-4 and then broke again to lead 5-4. Unfortunately, when he was serving for the set, Djoker must have had a wakeup call or a reality check. He upped his level and Monaco didn’t have the goods. So Djoker managed to win the first set and it was business as usual for him in that second set.

      You know, I don’t know if he danced or not. I didn’t bother to watch him after the match or his interview on the tennis channel. All day they had the winning player come to their little booth for interviews. But I made sure to watch Rafa’s interview after his match!

  17. No thank goodness. In fact, for Nole, he looked almost sheepish! I’m giving him the benefit of the doubt and assuming he is pacing himself. He was mediocre against Monaco, who he virtually owns, in the lst set but played a better second set.

    Rafa on the other hand was in scintillating form. A joy to behold!

    I’m not as concerned as some people about his lst serve percentage because he was able to serve himself out of trouble on the few occasions he faced BPs and that’s what matters.

    • ed,

      Someone on vb said that they think Rafa wasn’t pushing it with his serve because he didn’t have to against Becker. That is a possibility. All I know is that Rafa took off some speed from his first serve to get a higher percentage. He wasn’t serving as big as he did against Djoker because he just didn’t have to do it.

      His body language is quite extraordinary on the court. I can’t remember when I have seen him like this. Some of it must be about not having to defend any points. So he’s not under that kind of pressure. Every match he wins means more rankings points. But he has such purpose and focus in his face. He seems incredibly confident and sure about what he wants to do in his matches.

      Luckystar must be loving this if she is watching. This is what she has wanted to see from Rafa for some time. Well, we all wanted to see it!

      There is so much more pop on Rafa’s shots. I love hearing the commentators praising how he is playing!

      You are correct that Rafa has been able to serve himself out of trouble. What a joy it is to see him holding his serve even when he is down like 0-30 or 0-40!

      I get the chills when I watch him now. He is looking fierce!

  18. Everything in his body language exudes his confidence and sense of purpose. It takes me back to 2005 when he prowled around the court like a hungry cat waiting to pounce on his hapless victim.

    I was struck too by his concentration and the grimaces of annoyance when he missed a shot he knew he should have pulled off. But I’m not sure about the praise from the commies last night – I would say it was more like grudging admiration!

    Oh happy days again 🙂

  19. i had reached the same conclusion about his serve last night. I’m sure he is intent on not overdoing things and risking any unnecessary injuries before the USO – at least in the early rounds: why use a sledgehammer if it’s not needed?

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