Australian Open R3 previews and picks: Djokovic vs. Istomin, Wawrinka vs. Pospisil

Novak Djokovic and Stanislas Wawrinka are two rounds away from a rematch of last year’s Australian Open epic. They first have to get past Denis Istomin and Vasek Pospisil, respectively, on Friday.

Denis Istomin vs. (2) Novak Djokovic

Djokovic and Istomin will be going head-to-head for the fourth time in their careers when they collide in the third round of the Australian Open on Friday. All three of their previous encounters have gone Djokovic’s way, but the most recent one was competitive; the Serb prevailed 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 last summer in Montreal. Djokovic, the three-time defending champion Down Under, is off to a solid start this fortnight and has extended his winning streak to 26 with routs of Lukas Lacko and Leonardo Mayer.

Istomin may not be a huge name on tour, but he is no stranger to the big stage. The 49th-ranked Uzbek is through to the last 32 of a Grand Slam for the sixth time in his career and he has been to the fourth round twice. Istomin lost a four-setter to Andy Murray in the fourth round of last summer’s U.S. Open and he battled Rafael Nadal in an extremely entertaining second-round U.S. Open showdown in 2010. The underdog will believe he can be competitive, but he won’t believe–nor should he–that he can actually win.

Pick: Djokovic in 3 losing 11-13 games

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(8) Stanislas Wawrinka vs. (28) Vasek Pospisil

Wawrinka does not need to be told that Pospisil is a serious question mark heading into this clash; the Swiss knows first-hand. They faced each other two weeks ago in the Chennai semifinals, when Pospisil’s back issues began. Trailing 6-4, 5-5, the 30th-ranked Canadian retired from that match and threw his Australian Open campaign in doubt. Pospisil recovered in time to dismiss both Samuel Groth and Matthew Ebden, but he struggled physically against Ebden.

Meanwhile, Wawrinka is riding high and in complete cruise-control. The eighth-seeded Swiss booked his spot in this stage of the event with routine scalps of Andrey Golubev (via second-set retirement) and Alejandro Falla. Wawrinka is now 6-0 in 2014, having captured the title in Chennai. Pospisil would be a considerable underdog in this one even at 100 percent, so an in-form Wawrinka has to be the pick.

Pick: Wawrinka in 3

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60 Comments on Australian Open R3 previews and picks: Djokovic vs. Istomin, Wawrinka vs. Pospisil

  1. Istomin will play aggressive tennis. He’l go down the line on both wings often enough to trouble djokovic. To win a set ,he would obviously require some lapse from djokovic …..possible though ! he gave djokovic trouble in montreal… can do it again !

    Istomin was ‘overaggressive’ at times in their last match…must try to strike a better balance… lets see if he can make this somewhat competitive

  2. vamosrafa,

    I like your observation that Istomin was “overaggressive” at times in their last match. I had the exact same impression of him. I remember watching him at last year’s USO and thinking that he doesn’t know when to hold back and use the aggressive play opportunistically. It’s just hit hard, harder, hardest.

    I also actually like Matt’s pick. It is bold. Good for him!

    I will watch with interest to see if Istomin can take a set off Djoker.

    • yea NNY.. hard, harder and hardest is indeed how he goes about his business against good players… lets see how he does today…

      • I caught the last half of the final set of the Anderson/ERV match. I was watching it on the ESPN3 stream. I don’t know who those announcers were but I was amused by the one commentator’s remark when ERV missed the volley on the first point when he was serving for the match. “What a gag.” He sure didn’t mince words.

      • I really like Ana, her professionalism, competitiveness and dedication to her craft. Gosh, she has the looks (a la Madame Sugarpova) to parlay for lucrative commercial deals but she has remained true to her craft. She revealed just recently she turned down a not so insignificant acting gig…….

        Unfortunately for her she is running into Serena next, tall order……………

  3. I think Coach BB is already earning his keep here, Djoko hit a smash with aplomb and showed some silky volleying skills there…………..

    • we will see,no? When he is able consistently able to hit good volleys in response to 4500 rpm forehands , we will talk about it 😉

  4. couldn’t be less atmosphere in this istomin djokovic match. Say what you will about djokovic being a great player but he has no power over the crowd whatsoever.

  5. RT @jon_wertheim: “Denis Istomin is the ultimate third-round-night-session-respectable-but-ultimately-unthreatening-opponent-to-the-stars”

    A good hitting partner then, Jon?

    That’s the thing with Istomin, like many journeymen before him, cannot pinpoint a part of his game which would trouble the big boys…………..

  6. RT @SI_BTBaseline: “Big win for Tommy Robredo, ousts No. 9 Gasquet 26 75 64 76 to set up a 4R vs. Wawrinka. #ausopen”

    To paraphrase @deucy: Crashquet………

  7. Djokovic is broken serving for the match……just doing it to save Ricky’s blushes, preserve Ricky’s prediction of games lost by Istoman.

  8. RT @NeilHarmanTimes: “Can’t recall Djoko often losing serve when serving for the match under previous management.”

    #Facepalm

  9. Very poor from Djokovic. Even the Commies are chiding him for it. Let out an almighty roar after breaking Istoman to serve again for the match.

    Istoman is a journeyman,he is injured and you are winning comfortably in spite of the last wobble, really necessary to do that?

    • ….and the camera pans to Coach BB who beaming and clapping. Commies say maybe that is the kind of ‘tude BB told Djoko he wants to see.

  10. there are a lot of boos and whistles for djokovic at the end of that match. Cant remember a number 1 that evoked such crowd dislike than djokovic.

    • Still do not understand what the fuss was all about from Djokovic. I would have thought he had learnt his lessons from that Madrid debacle.

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