Australian Open Day 8 picks, including Wawrinka vs. Raonic and Isner vs. Ferrer

Ricky Dimon of The Grandstand and Joey Hanf of The Tennis Nerds preview and pick three of the men’s singles matches on Monday at the Australian Open. Stan Wawrinka and David Ferrer are among those aiming for spots in the quarterfinals.

(13) Milos Raonic vs. (4) Stan Wawrinka

RickyThere have not been too many absolute thrillers at the Australian Open. This should be one. Wawrinka won the whole thing in 2014 and has not lost to anyone except Novak Djokovic in Melbourne since 2012. Quite simply he is at his best Down Under. Raonic, meanwhile, is in amazing form to begin 2015. He beat Roger Federer for the Brisbane title and so far this fortnight has not dropped a set in wins over Lucas Pouille, Tommy Robredo, and Viktor Troicki. Something has to give in this one, because Wawrinka has been similarly dominant. The Swiss is sweeping the head-to-head series 4-0, but two contests have been extremely competitive. A high-quality five-setter is likely in store, with a slight edge going to Wawrinka given his history of Melbourne success. Wawrinka 7-6(6), 5-7, 6-4, 6-7(4), 9-7.

JoeyRaonic is playing very well, and he would be the first person to tell you that. On the court AND in interviews the last two weeks, the Canadian has been incredibly confident. He even seems to be returning well, which has always been the big man’s struggle. Wawrinka cruised through the first few rounds and hasn’t even gotten to his best level yet. He’ll need to shift up a gear or two to beat Raonic, which i believe he’ll do. Tiebreakers are imminent, and I still don’t trust the Sleeve’s backhand return in big moments. An epic ‘breaker to finish? Why not? Wawrinka 7-6(5), 6-7(3), 6-4, 7-6(10).

[polldaddy poll=9283823]

(8) David Ferrer vs. (10) John Isner

RickyOne of Isner’s goals in 2015 was to finish the year in the top 10. The man who prevented him from doing so was Ferrer. Isner came within one set of accomplishing the feat but lost to the Spaniard 6-3, 6-7(6), 6-2 at the Paris Masters, thus keeping Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in the 10th spot. This is, for obvious reasons, a bad matchup for the big man. One of the best returners in the game, Ferrer is dominating the head-to-head series 6-1. When he gets Isner’s huge serve back in play, the 33-year-old obviously has a massive edge from the baseline. But Ferrer has underwhelmed so far this season and Isner is arguably playing the best tennis of his career. Expect something similar to Paris, with the underdog putting forth a spartan effort before Ferrer grinds him down. Ferrer 7-6(6), 6-7(5), 6-7(4), 6-3, 6-3.
Ferrer wins
JoeyBig John did incredibly well to come back and beat Lopez in the third round. Midway through the second set, that one looked like it was going to be another Isner slam loss. But he stayed tough and even broke with some regularity against a great server. Ferrer has also been playing extremely well, and his new racket (Babolat Pure Drive) is one of the easiest rackets to generate pace with. He’s used that to good effect, and it’s really helping his forehand. Isner has yet to face a break point in the entire tournament, and he could realistically continue that streak and still lose this match. However, I’m taking the American in a slight upset. Isner 7-6(5), 7-6(4), 7-6(6).

[polldaddy poll=9283515]

(16) Bernard Tomic vs. (2) Andy Murray

Ricky
Tomic has done well to reach the fourth round and finish as the last Australian man remaining in the draw. He went on a brief mental vacation in a four-set win over Simone Bolelli on Thursday but turned in a no-nonsense performance against John Millman two days later. The competition, however, gets better–by a heck of a lot. Murray has mostly cruised through three matches and he is almost always at his best in this event. Unless extracurricular factors get in the way (Murray’s wife is due to give birth soon and his wife’s father collapsed while coaching Ana Ivanovic on Saturday), the second-ranked Scot should roll. Murray 6-3, 7-6(5), 6-2.
AndyGroup
Joey: Tomic made headlines when he essentially tanked a match in Sydney because he heard that he had a good draw in Melbourne. Well, he did! He has gotten to the fourth round fairly smoothly but hasn’t played much competition in the process. Murray has been extremely efficient in his matches and I think he’s a little better in every aspect in the game, except for the serve. I’ll be generous and give Bernie a set, but if he loses the first this could be one-way traffic. Murray 6-7(3), 6-4, 6-3, 6-0.

[polldaddy poll=9283518]

161 Comments on Australian Open Day 8 picks, including Wawrinka vs. Raonic and Isner vs. Ferrer

  1. Milos is ready to face Stan in terms of the level of his game, but most likely not in terms of his mental strength. I think Milos will come close but won’t be able to win. Still do not think this one will go to 5. Although I would love to see Milos wining this one

    Stanimal in 4

    Ferry in 4

    Andy in 3

  2. Giving a Bernie a set and saying Murray wins in four and in taking Stan to take a tough four set contest and I’m picking a tough four set win for Ferrer though I do think john has a good chance as well but I give Ferrer a slight edge due to head to head and matchup in general. It is Isner though so he has a pretty good chance against everyone especially when he’s playing well which he is.

  3. I think Stan will get it done in 4 sets against Raonic.

    I am picking Ferrer in 4 sets over Isner.

    I am expecting Murray to come out strong against Tomic and win in 3 sets.

  4. just written 2 posts which disappeared so hope i am not going to be reduplicating their meaning…
    milos will be a tough test for stan as everyone says he is playing very good tennis..i hope stanimal shows up, if he does, then he wins..
    want to see a nole-stan final..could be awesome…

  5. I saw some of Raonic and he is looking very good right now. So I expect this to be a competitive match. Stan will have to be ready. I picked Stan to win in my bracket and still believe that he will get it done.

    I would like to see either a Novak/Stan final or Novak/Murray. But Stan has the better chance until Murray proves me wrong.

  6. Raonic is completely outplaying Stan so far. He’s been volleying a lot and going to the net aggressively. Stan doesn’t have the answers. He had a good start to the second set with a break, then broken back and now broken again.

    There goes my prediction.

  7. Oh dear, Stsn in trouble now. This Raonic is for real? He said he’s ready to make a push at the slams, maybe this AO for a start?

    • Raonic had that decisive 64 64 win over Fed in Brisbane. The thought did cross my mind that this was his year to win a GS, he might be hard to beat, ect…
      But I picked Stan.

  8. Yes, Stan in big trouble. Raonic seems to know exactly what he wants to do here. Stan has been scrambling on defense so much and that seems so out of character.

    What is going on here?

    Maybe Raonic is ready to made a real run for it here.

  9. Raonic friggin destroying stan. That stupid mental lapse from Stan at start of second when he was up 2-0 and played his worst game of the match. He didn’t even play that bad when he got broken at 2-2 besides his horrible last miss when Raonic got the killer break. This’ll be huge for Raonic. Stan isn’t done yet I’m not counting him out. I saw him come back from two sets to love down against gasquet at the French once so he has it in him. C’mon Stan don’t give up. ALLEZ!!

  10. Tomic might surprise us at this rate, but you have to say Raonic has been playing very well of late. And Stan really needs good days to keep winning against in form opponents. Winning ugly isn’t his thing.

  11. In order for Stan to win he needs to start serving better and making short work of his service games to put pressure on Milos and hope the big guy starts to drop his level a little or have one break in concentration to allow Stan just one break also Stan needs to clean up his forehand a lot. Also if he does find a way to break then he needs to keep it up not lose the lead like last set if he hadn’t done that he prob would be at one set all right now.

  12. Supremely confident Milos doesn’t miss. Nothing he can’t do! All Stan can do is hold serve and get this to a TB, if possible. Even then…not looking good for Stan.

  13. Wait they just said Stan had a break in the first set too? Cmon man!! On the bright side Stanimal looks better right now. I want him to come back but won’t be able to see it cuz I have school tomorrow so I’ll record it most likely. Stan up 15-40 at 5-5. Cmon lets go Stanislas!!

  14. Stan finally woke up. He has found his game. Raonic made a big mistake in letting that shot go past him. Stan at least won the third set. Now can he come back and win another?

  15. Unless he has another lapse Stan is winning this match in five. He should’ve kept up this level from the start of the match. This is the Stan I thought would show up today. Not to take credit from Milos though because he has played super well today. But Stan seems primed for the comeback now imo.

  16. Stanimal points to his head. Raonic is done. ALLEZ STANISLAS!! Now I gotta go to bed. This sux. I’m recording but when I get up tomorrow I’ll probably be too excited to wait to watch it when I get home from school or something or even watch it during lunch at school. I’ll probably get up and just check to see who won. I feel bad for Milos if Stan completes the comeback but I love Stan so ALLEZ. Goodnight everyone and may Stan the Man continue and complete the comeback.

  17. Stan is hitting harder now and pushing Raonic back. Now he gets the break in the fourth set. Can he hold on and win it to tie it up?

  18. I am not going to be able to stay up for the end of this one. I have to be up early tomorrow.

    I may record it, but still won’t have time to watch it in the morning.

    • I hope you hear the news that stan won it comfortably in the 5th 😉

      I really hope we don’t have a 9-7 or 10-8 type marathon. A 6-3 or 6-4 would be decent.hehe

  19. As I expected Milos was ready with his game to deal with Wawa but would fold mentally! Too bad though, he was much better player for the most of the match and now spreading errors all over the place.

    But this Stan isn’t gonna beat Andy let alone Novak…

    • Agree with you VR. Stan has awesome power just like Delpo but he has better fitness and stamina and that’s why he can stay with Novak for five sets and even beat him.

  20. Off topic, rafa is on course for the wooden spoon. Monfils d kuznetsov d sela d verdasco d rafa. Pretty safe bet that monfils would be defeated by winner of this match

  21. Love Stans BHDTL, he should hit it more often when Raonic expects the CC BH that Stan hit so often.

    Two sets all now, great for Stan.

      • Milos having mental lapses due to lack of experience in these kind of matches.,,otherwise it would have been over in 3 if Milos converted one of those numerous break points!

        This will shake Wawa’s confidence and so be it! It’s not like he is getting any younger! I still think he never deserved to beat Rafa in that AO final especially the way he behaved when Rafa got injured! Justice is served!

        • Players do have lapses, ask Rafa. Its their problem and Stan did play well in set 3 and 4.

          Stan was outstanding at FO2015 and he did play well during AO2014 whole tournament. Its Rafa’s bad luck that he had his back injury in the final, cant blame Stan.

          Stan was nasty in his behavior in that final because he’s anxious to win. The spectators were even worse! I think Stan has since reconciled with Rafa and all’s well between them.

          After they booed Rafa, I’ll never like the AO crowd anymore, same with the FO. Poor Rafa, only the USO crowd loves him, at the other slams they’re so keen to see players beat him. Even at Wimbledon, they cheered when Rosol or Kygrios beat him.

          • luckystar (AT 8:48 AM),
            —After they booed Rafa, I’ll never like the AO crowd anymore, same with the FO. Even at Wimbledon…—
            ===
            .
            These were Fedfans in the crowd. Fedfans behave nastily and make a loud noise everywhere.
            As for the FO, Fedfans have booed Rafa once – when he played against Sod in 2009. But Fedfans (including journos) keep creating the (false) impression that the French crowd isn’t nice towards Rafa. Every year, before or during the FO, the articles have been published about this!

    • Well I just hope that you not comparing exhos and practise with tournaments. Don’t you? or do you.

      Great exho and practise results are everywhere.

      #Iverson

  22. Glad Milos proved everyone wrong! This Stan would stand no chance against Andy anyway! I can’t believe people kept saying he had power, etc. Stan was a shadow of his RG self today and had no answers for this Milios! The guy serving this bad as Stan today deserves to be sent packing!
    At the beginning of the AO I said this could happen and changed my mind mainly because of the hope that Stan could beat Novak..
    This makes me even more depressed over Rafa who is the only one so far who was able to take Milos down.,,

    • Rafa playing like that wont stand a chance against Raonic today – poor serve, poor ROS, no power FH. The Rafa at Abu Dhabi went MIA this AO.

      • I think Rafa suffered from firstrounditis. He was just cold for a 1st round match against someone like Verdasco. First round matches are usually against easy opponents.

        • Agree with nadine.

          Rafa has to get past the round one first which he couldnt. The Abu Dhabi Rafa would beat Verdasco in straight sets and comfortably. Too bad that Rafa didnt appear to play.

        • I re-watch Rafa vs Raonic Abu Dhabi match. My goodness, that Rafa and the Rafa at this AO, how can Rafa’s level vary so much? Its really bizarre!

          Rafa at Abu Dhabi was serving well, returning well, hitting his FH with authority. He was hitting flat FHs (with follow through across his body) and they were penetrating shots too. The commies said that at 3-3 first set Rafa only lost one point during his service game. He even won a service game in 1 min 34 secs.

          He varied his return positions and put Raonic under pressure when serving and so Rafa beat Raonic in straight sets. Raonic wasnt playing poorly there; that Rafa would be able to deal with this Raonic at the AO.

          Rafa truly missed a good opportunity to go far this AO, maybe the difference was an exho vs a slam and Rafa was nervous at a slam and hence couldnt play his best tennis.

          • @ lucky, 3:40 PM,

            To some degree Rafa was always vulnerable in the first rounds…I guess having Verdasco who was determined to go for broke was the worst draw Rafa could get in the first round…I remember people around me who follow tennis saying how Rafa was unlucky to get Verdasco in the first round and all of them foreseeing a tough match…I must admit was so thrilled about Rafa’s draw (and Verdasco’s lousy game as of late) that I completely neglected the fact that Verdasco could and would be motivated to play his best against Nadal…

            I completely agree with your take on the match vs Milos in Abu Dhabi…

            Yeah, Rafa missed a great opportunity in this AO…

      • I disagree! Rafa in quarters is different than Rafa in early rounds! He already beat Milos in the BO3 final, he would be mentally ready to do so in BO5!

  23. I think Fed has the best chance to win here as long as Kei takes care of Novak.

    I’m not very impressed with Murray so far, esp when a guy playing aggressive tennis could get a set from him. Unless Murray raise his aggression, he’ll be wasting energy doing all the running and retrieving.

      • Yeah too bad Tomic is such a laid back fella. If not for the rise of Kygrios, Tomic would still be wandering in the wilderness.

        I happen to think Tomic is an intelligent player, his game is very much like Murray’s but his attitude is very much like Fognini.

  24. This performance against Raonic says nothing about how he would have fared againsnt Murray. He was punishing the ball well enough to blow Murray off the court . The only question would have been how aggressive Murray would turn up.

    Anyway, he is out which is a pity.

    I agree with Luckystar that stan did extremely well at FO2015 and was a worth GS winner. He beat djokovic in AO 2014 so in that sense he deserved that title but yeah we know rafa was not there in the final so there was a question mark but he proved himself in FO 2015. He is a phenomenal ball striker has the belief to beat anyone out there.

    Milos will have a tough time against Monfils and then Murray will be too much for him. Now rooting for Murray of course, lol!

  25. Murray playing like this is no match for Fed should they meet in the final. I really think only Novak and a top form Rafa could beat the Fed here.

    • Ferrer looking very good out there but also Isner was no challenge in this match. Lousy performance from American but all the credit to Ferry for his devoted and focused game! Well done!

      It really depends on Murray and whether he would be determined to fight through, as I do expect Ferry to put up a fight. However Andy is tougher mentally and should win it…

    • Kei has the chance of his life! I hope his injury is no longer an issue. It’s hard to see Novak raising his level that much considering he struggled in both matches…Seppi could have taken a set if he was mentally stronger…

    • Thank you in advance VR.

      It may happen, I’m hoping Berdych gets his slam when Rafa is not there. Its time for Berdych to win one before the likes of Kei and Raonic make their moves to win one. Berdych is not young, may not have many chances left.

  26. Andy is having to work for the win. Rusedski was so dismissive about Tomic before the match saying Murray would be licking his lips at the prospect of playing Tomic because he would walk all over him.

    I love the auto-correct version of some names:

    Rosol – Aerosol
    Stanimal – St Animal
    Tomic – Atomic

    🙂 🙂 🙂

  27. Good job, Andy! Playing well on key points!

    I got this one right predictin Andy in 3!

    Funny though when I was typing my predictions yesterday I had to correct it two times because although I predicted Wawa to win my fingers kept typing Milos in 5 ?

  28. Sad to see Stan lost. Big win for Raonic though. I will be rooting for Monfils in the quarters lol. Not because Raonic beat Wawrinka but because monfils is awesome. If Raonic loses though that’ll be pretty stupid from him lol. Just after beating Stan and all.

  29. so stan is out. and apparently, if your comments are to be believed, because stan not stanimal, turned up for the first 2 sets. murray must be feeling happy….another nolandy final doesn’t fill me with joy. i really don’t enjoy that mirror image match up.
    that’s assuming nole gets through…he will have to up his game a lot…bet fed is feeling perky…

  30. Glad Murray won, Shocked Stan lost, hope Monfils takes out Raonic, and really sad Isner lost. Just couldn’t get it together. Hopefully next time!

  31. I had another minor surgical procedure on lower back so won’t be posting that much today. But I did want to check out the results.

    I finally went to sleep after Stan was broken. I figured that was the end. No excuses for him. He came back from two sets down to even it up. But raonic was too good in the end. Now I am not rooting for monfils to win.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.




Skip to toolbar