Australian Open Day 2 picks, including Hewitt vs. Seppi and Paire vs. Dancevic

The Grandstand’s Ricky Dimon and Jared Pine of The Second Serb preview and pick the best men’s singles matchups on Day 2 of the Australian Open. This is the second of 13 installments of expert picks during the season’s first Grand Slam.

(24) Andreas Seppi vs. Lleyton Hewitt

Ricky: A potential fourth-rounder against Rafael Nadal is not great news for Hewitt, but the 32-year-old Aussie could not have asked for much more than Seppi being his nearest seed and Kei Nishikori (whom Hewitt just beat in Brisbane) being his second nearest seed. It’s clear the former world No. 1 still has gas left in the tank, as he reached the fourth round of the 2013 U.S. Open and won Brisbane earlier this month. This isn’t a great matchup for Seppi, who thrives on beating far more erratic opponents than Hewitt by simply keeping balls in play. Hewitt 6-3, 3-6, 6-4, 7-5.

Jared: This one has five sets written all over it. Of Hewitt’s last 11 Grand Slam matches, four went five sets and five of them were four sets. Seppi has played 11 five-setters in his last 19 completed slam matches. Also last year he had a five-set match in Davis Cup. The two players’ head-to-head record is tied at three, so this won’t be a blowout either way. Although they have never played a best-of-five match, each of their first three encounters were determined in a deciding set. I give Hewitt the slight edge because he always brings his best tennis when he plays in front of his home crowd. Hewitt 7-5, 4-6, 3-6, 7-6, 8-6.

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(27) Benoit Paire vs. (Q) Frank Dancevic

Ricky: The mercurial Paire used to intersperse his uninterested performances with bouts of invigoration. Now he just seems consistently blasé. Dating back to last year, the Frenchman has suffered four bad losses in his last four tournaments–three of those have unquestionably featured borderline tanking. Dancevic, on the other hand, is a pure fighter through and through. The Canadian owns a big serve and one-handed backhand and he has to be confident having come through qualifying. Dancevic 7-6(3), 4-6, 7-5, 6-1.

Jared: This will be the first meeting between the two players. Dancevic did a great job getting through qualifying to earn a spot in the main draw, but he is running into a very talented player in Paire. However, Paire’s talent hasn’t always translated into wins. He has already lost two matches to lower-ranked players this year, including a crazy three-set loss to Marcel Granollers in Chennai. Paire has the ability to dig deep and beat opponents he should in the majors. I think he will cool off Dancevic and advance to the second round. Paire 6-2, 6-3, 1-6, 6-4.

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(1) Rafael Nadal vs. Bernard Tomic

Ricky: Tomic has posted some decent results in the relative early stages of his career, including a run to the 2011 Wimbledon quarterfinals. That being said, it’s obvious he is not ready for the elite. Tomic is 0-10 lifetime against Nadal, Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, and Andy Murray and he is 2-25 in total sets against those four players. Nadal generally takes a while to reach peak form in tournaments, so the underdog may win his fair share of games. But if this one is being massively hyped, it’s not because it’s going to be competitive. Nadal 6-2, 7-5, 6-3.

Jared: The only other meeting between this pair was in Melbourne in 2011, which Nadal won in straight sets. It will be interesting to see how far Tomic has come along in the last three years. History has shown that Nadal is most vulnerable early in the slams. He dropped a few sets in early matches at Roland Garros last year and lost in the first round at Wimbledon. However, I still think Nadal is just too good for the young Australian. Nadal 7-6, 6-2, 6-4.

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Tobias Kamke vs. Jack Sock

Ricky: Kamke and Sock just faced each other last fall in Basel qualifying, with Kamke destroying the American 6-0, 6-4. Sock should be in line to fare much better this time around, as he is coming off a quarterfinal performance in Auckland. However, it’s hard to see him completely turning the tables after such a comprehensive beatdown. Kamke advanced one round in Doha and then took a set off Nadal. The 78th-ranked German has reached the second round in three of the last four Grand Slams, so he knows what he is doing in three-out-of-five matches. Kamke 6-7(5), 6-2, 3-6, 6-3, 6-3.

Jared: This is a big match for the 21-year old Sock. The Australian Open is the only remaining slam in which he hasn’t won a match. In fact, he hasn’t even won a qualifying match. Against Kamke, the American has an opportunity to turn around his struggles in Melbourne. He had a big win over Tommy Haas last week, so he has plenty of momentum going into this one. Sock has a big serve and forehand, so if he can keep the points short, he will get the win. Sock 7-6, 7-5, 2-6, 6-4.

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98 Comments on Australian Open Day 2 picks, including Hewitt vs. Seppi and Paire vs. Dancevic

  1. I have Hewitt to beat Seppi in four sets. I have no idea about Paire and Dancevic. I think Kamke will beat Sock in four or five sets. I am trying to remember what I voted for in the polls!

    Obviously, Rafa in three sets over Tomic. 🙂

  2. Hewitt in three, Paire in three, Kamke in five, Rafa in four (only because it’s his first round match and it’s being played on a ridiculously fast court – which means low bounce BTW).

    #YoureWelcome
    #Humb1e

      • Hells yeah.

        Frank’s a good guy but I’ve followed my fellow Canuck for some time and I just think, as flaky as Paire is,he’s outta his league.

        Hope I’m wrong.

        I hope you don’t compare Dancevic to Raonic, do YOU???

        As always, we will see, no?

      • Paire has only won a grand slam match in straight sets four times. He’s not much of a fighter, so if he falls behind in a set, he will just tank it.

        Nobody is giving Seppi any love. Only three votes? He did beat Hewitt in straight sets just a couple months ago in Shanghai. Seppi didn’t look so good last week, but I didn’t expect Hewitt to be such a heavy favorite. This is going to be a battle for him.

    • I am with Ricky regarding Hewitt. It’s not about disrespecting Seppi. It’s just about calling it as we see it. Hewitt just beat Fed to win a title and seems to be playing some solid tennis. We know that he seems to thrive on playing in front of his countrymen.

      I know Paire, but don’t know Dancevic. I just know that Paire can be flaky. That’s why I didn’t make a pick. I really have no idea.

      Cute tweet about Tomic vs. Rafa!

  3. RT @TennisChannel: “Stepanek retires from his match against Kavcic after being up 7-6, 6-4, 1-6, 0-2”

    #SpendTimeWithPetra

  4. RT @Mike_Dickson_DM: “The heat starts to take its toll on players. On men’s side Dancevic goes down for a minute, on women’s Peng is battling thru getting sick.”

    #Brutal

  5. RT @alex_willis: “Fifth (I think) retirement/withdrawal of the day as Julian Reister calls time against Thomaz Bellucci. #ausopen”

  6. Hewitt is down two sets to Seppi. There goes that prediction. Players are dropping like flies.

    I checked in at one point to see Delpo lose the first set to Williams! Wow!

  7. RT @SteveTignor: “Bernard Tomic says the heat “goes to my advantage” against Nadal. #AusOpen”

    Someone please tell this upstart they do not award points for pre-match trash-talking……

    #DoItOnCourt

  8. Hewitt won the third set. Now 1-1 in the fourth set.

    Murray is now on the court. They started showing his match, but then switched back to Hewitt.

    I can’t wait for Rafa!

  9. Courts may be fast but Muzza’s constructing some beautiful points with some long-ish rally build-up against Soeda. Looks like he has already settled.

  10. RT @juanjosetennis: “Rhyne Williams just got screwed by Carlos Bernardes. That was a pretty blatant double bounce on Delpo. Rhyne is not happy with Bernardes or with Delpo – the player who hits the double bounce usually calls that on himself.”

    Sooooo, that was hypothetically William’s point but technically Delpo’s? Got it.

    #Soundsfamiliar?

  11. Thanks so much for the reminder. Since the Hewitt/Seppi match is going the distance, the commentators said that will delay the start of Rafa’s match because it takes 45 minutes to move the day crowd out and the night crowd in.

  12. I was thinking the same thing. The way he played tonight won’t get him a win against Rafa. He seemed to be really bothered by the heat.

  13. RT @NeilHarmanTimes: “We’re all going to have to walk home tonight. MC Craig Willis informs that the tram lines have buckled in heat. And it’s uphill :((“

  14. Monfils won the first set against Harrison 6-4.

    They didn’t show much of Murray’s match because it wasn’t that competitive and the Hewitt/Seppi match was such a thriller. I did see a little of it in the beginning and at the end and Murray looked good.

  15. I watched a bit of it on ESPN3 but watched others that were more interesting. It was such a rout that the only other part of it I watched was when ESPN2 switched to it.

  16. @NNY
    Can u not get “Livehunter”? Not that I feel u should be obliged to watch Andy of course lol, but it gives u the choice of all the matches.

    • deucy,

      As Jpacnw reminded me earlier, we do have the option of watching the live matches online at ESPN3. I could have watched it online, but I was focused on the Hewitt/Seppi match. I will try to check out his second round match and hopefully get a better look at him. From the little I did see, it was really no contest.

      I enjoy watching Andy. I am really looking forward to catching some of his matches. I don’t know how it is with you overseas, but we have ESPN2 and also the tennis channel with repeats during the day and sometimes taking over the way they did earlier tonight when ESPN2 had commitments to other sports. Then there is ESPN3 online. It’s not my favorite way to watch a match, but for the early rounds when they jump around all over the place, it’s the best option.

  17. Isn’t this the point haters scream, “he is taking an MTO to disrupt Rafa’s rhythm!”

    Sorry forgot……….shoe’s on the other foot.

  18. I can’t even believe what I am seeing! It’s not bad enough that the match was delayed an hour and forty minutes because of the length of the Hewitt/Seppi match and now this!

  19. @NNY
    We’ve got Eurosport but u have to pay, not worth it just for tennis, though I think u can just go for a month. Don’t have/want Sky, which again u have to pay for and it’s all sport, so for me Livehunter is fine.
    OMG Tomic off court with an injury! A gr8 start…not!

    • deucy,

      Sorry for the long, involved answer. But if livehunter is one of those livestreams, I am just very nervous about using any of them. I have had a few viruses on my computer when I used them in the past. I know that some are very reliable, but if I can get the live match on ESPN3, then I would just as soon use that.

      Yes, Tomic has an injury to start the match. Unbelievable! Meanwhile, he has been blasting aces and big serves.

  20. Mats rather rudely suggesting injury is due to lack of conditioning! How would he know lol. Tomic is surely gonna lose in 3 though, injury or not, but such a gr8 talent, hope he doesn’t waste it.

      • great win for Muzz ! backing this up in the next rnd against tougher opponents would obv be tough… positive signs from him nonetheless 🙂

      • LOl! That’s too funny! Yes, by all means we should not take Mats Wilander seriously! I don’t know where he got the idea that the injury was due to lack of conditioning. I don’t get that at all.

  21. Such a shame. Hats off to Tomic for waiting until Rafa won the 1st set. He could easily have retired when the games were on serve and as he was serving first he was leading.

  22. Poor Tomic, but he has to look at the big picture. He has a long season ahead of him. Good luck Bernie, obviously hurt himself in the first game of the match.

    Rafa got a set’s play under his belt, good nice short work-out. One down, six to go!

    Vamos Rafa!

  23. Oh my…did not think the injury was that bad…i guess he was scared not to aggravate it..hard luck…he apologized to the crowd …

    i would have liked for match practice for rafa but it was not to be…. On to Rnd of 64 now

    • I didn’t know what to think. But Darren Cahill said that he had this right thigh injury before the tournament. So he said that it was legitimate. I have never warmed up to this guy, so I didn’t know what to think.

      Some in the crowd were booing. I thought Rafa was very gracious about it all. It’s a win, but not much match play. That’s the one thing that concerns me.

      He has this Aussie guy next, Kokkinakis. The commentators on ESPN said that he’s a very tall, big serving guy. Oh well.

    • I hope he gives Rafa a full match work out. While I would have liked Rafa to get a full match work-out today, I am rather glad it did not work out that way because of the atrocious heat. Exertions in this heat are bound to catch up with one later on……..

  24. ^^^^

    Well, that’s good news. At least Rafa knows his game. Hopefully this time he will get a full match. Now I don’t have to face staying up until all hours to watch the end of the match. So it’s off to bed!

  25. RT @SteveTignor: “Nadal doing things faster. This match 5 hours and 12 minutes shorter than his last one in Melbourne. #AusOpen”

    #Cheeky

  26. http://www.thetennisspace.com/five-things-from-day-two-at-australian-open-2014/

    “Ever since the draw took place on Friday, people have been punditing about Rafael Nadal v Bernard Tomic as the match of the first round. But it was not to be, the Australian retiring from the match after dropping the first set 6-4. He later revealed that he had been struggling with a upper leg injury. ”I felt it yesterday. Took a day off after Sydney, started hitting, went for one ball & felt a pain in my left leg. I thought ‘am I really going to spend a few more hours out on court hurting my body’ & I felt sorry for crowd & for me.””

  27. RT @alex_willis: “#comic RT @dougrobson: In press, Nadal jokes that he’s ready to hire John McEnroe now. #ausopen”

    Cheeky!

    Or the Rickster, why not?

  28. Tiggy’s Racquet Reaction. Interestingly, he was impressed by Rafa’s serving display:

    http://www.tennis.com/pro-game/2014/01/australian-open-nadal-d-tomic/50246/#.UtUd0XiM7FI

    “The most interesting aspect of these 10 games was Nadal’s serve. He hit it crisply and smacked five aces, but he also used more slice than he normally does. It was effective, and pushed Tomic wider than he expected to go on his backhand side—Bernie won just six of 26 return points. We’ll see if Rafa keeps it up in the next round, when he faces an even younger Aussie, 17-year-old Thanasi Kokkinakis.”

    I wouldn’t read too much into Bernie’s return points won though even if he is a notoriously poor returner, his movement was hampered.

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