French Open R4 previews and predictions: Zverev vs. Rune, Medvedev vs. De Minaur

Alex de Minaur
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Alexander Zverev, who might as well be on his second life at Roland Garros, is set for a fourth-round showdown against Holger Rune on Monday. The winner will face either Daniil Medvedev or Alex de Minaur in the quarterfinals.

(4) Alexander Zverev vs. (13) Holger Rune

Nobody made more headlines during the first week of the French Open than Zverev. The fourth-ranked German, one of the top contenders for a relatively up-for-grabs-title, drew Rafael Nadal in the first round and took down the 14-time champion in straight sets. After easing past David Goffin, Zverev came back from a double-break down in the fifth set to outlast Tallon Griekspoor 6-4, 6-2, 3-6, 7-6(10-3) on Saturday. The 27-year-old is now 31-9 this season and riding a nine-match winning streak, which includes a title in Rome.

Up next for Zverev in the fourth round on Monday is a second meeting with Rune, who won their only previous encounter 6-3, 6-2 at the 2022 Munich tournament. Things will probably be a lot different in this one with Zverev in spectacular form and Rune looking vulnerable. The 21-year-old Dane was a modest 6-6 in his last 12 matches heading into Roland Garros, with four losses to lower-ranked opponents (between No. 19 and No. 57). Like Zverev, Rune also made one great escape during the first week–coming back from 5-0 down in the fifth-set tiebreaker to beat Flavio Cobolli 6-4, 6-3, 3-6, 3-6, 7-6(7) in the second round. The world No. 13 is playing better than he was earlier this spring, but Zverev appears to be on a different level and should settle down following his scare against Griekspoor.

Pick: Zverev in 3

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(11) Alex de Minaur vs. (5) Daniil Medvedev

Medvedev and De Minaur will be squaring off for the ninth time in their careers on Monday. The head-to-head series stands at 6-2 in favor of Medvedev, who lost 7-6(7), 7-5 at the Toronto Masters but then reeled off two consecutive victories–2-6, 6-4, 6-1, 6-2 at the U.S. Open and 7-6(3), 6-3 a few weeks later in Beijing. They have never faced each other on any surface other than a hard court.


Grueling rallies are the norm in a Medvedev vs. De Minaur matchup and that should especially be the case on this surface. This could be the most entertaining match of the day and–with both players in stellar form–also the most competitive. Medvedev has dropped only two sets through three rounds and played particularly well in a high-quality contest against an in-form Tomas Machac on Saturday. De Minaur crushed Alex Michelsen and Jaume Munar in straight sets before getting past Munich champion Jan-Lennard Struff in four. As past history suggests, it’s a better matchup for Medvedev. De Minaur would rather be facing a more one-dimensional opponent whom he can break down from the back of the court and Medvedev obviously has much more experience at the business end of Grand Slams, too.

Pick: Medvedev in 5

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20 Comments on French Open R4 previews and predictions: Zverev vs. Rune, Medvedev vs. De Minaur

  1. If Zverev takes this in 3 I’ll be surpriced. I dont see him as a huge favorit at all in this match up.
    Rune is always stepping up on the big stage

    • Holger is a “small guy?” He’s 6’2 and has a massive physique. Have you seen his legs!? In person he’s very imposing. Zverev has stork legs despite being 6’6.

    • Zverev win.. rune gets too nervous will never come close to winning anything big, over 3.5 sets for medvedev vs de minaur.. medvedev wins..

  2. I’ve been at RG live and saw Holger beat Cobolli and had excellent seats. People are underestimating the Dane who is hitting an absolutely massive FH and moving like a dream on the clay. I’m going with Holger in five sets. His fitness and mentality has improved, he is on the cusp of finally realizing his enormous potential.

    • I’m partial to Rune. He is the guy I picked to take out Zverev. I agree with you, Thomas, in 5 sets, if necessary.

  3. Have to agree w/Thomas (above)….and the Zv-Rune match up should be THE most entertaining match of the day….expect fireworks….and Rune in 4. ….and Demon in 4.

  4. Just tried to watch Eurosport via my Amazon prime account and none of the videos are available.
    Anyone else got a problem? It’s very irritating.

  5. Meddie lost. C’mon Rune!
    Was unavailable very briefly, Amy. But annoying none the less. Just watched Andreeva win. What a talent and so young.

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