Barcelona QF previews and predictions: Rublev vs. Sinner, Schwartzman vs. Carreno Busta

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Seven of the eight Barcelona quarterfinalists are seeded players, making for a blockbuster schedule of action on Friday. Andrey Rublev is going up against fellow rising star Jannik Sinner, while Diego Schwartzman faces Pablo Carreno Busta.

(11) Jannik Sinner vs. (3) Andrey Rublev


Something is up with Rublev this week. Mentally he has been a foul mood, and his level has predictably suffered as a result. The seventh-ranked Russian managed to get past Federico Gaio 6-4, 6-3 before outlasting Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-4, 6-7(4), 6-4, but neither performance was impressive. Perhaps it’s understandable. Rublev has been playing tons of tennis, as win after win week in and week out means little time off. He is coming off a solid but frustrating runner-up result last week in Monte-Carlo and just hasn’t been able to get back in gear at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell.

Things will have to improve in a hurry if Rublev wants to be around for the weekend, because the competition level ratchets up dramatically in the form of Sinner on Friday afternoon. The 19-year-old Italian is also one of the hottest players on tour, with one title this season, a run to the Miami final, and two other quarterfinal appearances. So far this week Sinner has erased Egor Gerasimov and Roberto Bautista Agut in straight sets. Rublev should wake up with such a marquee matchup in front of him, but Sinner is undoubtedly the better player in Barcelona.

Pick: Sinner in 3

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WWW: Rublev vs. Sinner?


(4) Diego Schwartzman vs. (6) Pablo Carreno Busta

Schwartzman and Carreno Busta will surprisingly be going head-to-head for the first time in four years when the finally meet again on Friday. They have not faced each other since 2017, when Carreno Busta cruised 6-4, 6-4, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the U.S. Open and Schwartzman prevailed 5-7, 6-1, 6-1 on the indoor hard courts of Vienna.

It has to be said that Schwartzman is lucky just to be in the quarterfinals. Frances Tiafoe served for a straight-set win against him on Wednesday, but the ninth-ranked Argentine battle back to score a 3-6, 7-5, 6-1 victory. Schwartzman followed that up with a 6-4, 6-2 defeat of Corentin Moutet. A tougher test awaits with Carreno Busta on the other side of the net. The 13th-ranked Spaniard is 12-4 this year with recent title on the red clay of Marbella and routine wins in Barcelona at the expense of Jordan Thompson and Bernabe Zapata Miralles. Carreno Busta is simply in superior form at the moment, both on clay and overall.

Pick: Carreno Busta in 3

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WWW: Schwartzman vs. Carreno Busta?

51 Comments on Barcelona QF previews and predictions: Rublev vs. Sinner, Schwartzman vs. Carreno Busta

  1. Sinner in 3
    PCB IN 3

    Sinner is probably just as strong from the back and has a few more options.

    Schwartzman seems to be improving but doubt he’s back to his best, which he would need to be to win this.

  2. Plus Rublev is probably feeling like he’s running out of options after his MC final loss.

    Sinner has beaten Tsitsopas on clay and will like his chances. Sinner got exposure to Djokovic and wouldve gone to another level. There’s not as much upside for Rublev.

  3. Sinner winning is not a surprise. He has a lot of top 10 wins. Beaten Zverev, Tsitsi and Rublev.
    No one is going to want to play him at RG.

    • I must say that I would be pretty pleased to see him beat Tsitsi again assuming they meet.
      I feel Tsitsi is becoming overly conceited again.

        • Have been searching for peacock emojis!
          It’s true he is one. I don’t dislike him but I wouldn’t mind seeing his feathers ruffled a bit.

          • 🐦🐦🐦🐦🐦🐦🐦🐦🐦🐦🐦
            I found these while looking for peacock emojis.
            They are so nice I thought I would post them…

          • 🦚 This is the emoji for Peacock on my new HP laptop. I am struggling with the laptop but making headway. Got the frog Gravatar off. But can’t upload the picture I want, which is of Tsitsi Bird 🦚in all his glory.

            Feeling I must embrace him in all his cockiness. He will be around winning a long time. Might as well get used to it is my motto.

          • Those Birdies are too cute! Cardinals maybe. I need my glasses on and a magnifying glass to see them properly.

          • Ah that’s better!😁 A peacock emoji is a splendid sight!
            Thinking Sinner may beat the peacock actually…

          • LOL! Well said, Amy!

            I don’t dislike Tsitsi either, but he is rather full of himself. Ain’t nobody like our dear Rafa!

          • Hello Marilyn!
            Very nice to see a new poster here..😀
            And yes there’s no one like Rafa despite all the ways he drives us insane with his complexes and crises of confidence..😀

  4. Tsitsipas is too cocky. I appreciate his talent and his game, but I do not appreciate a player with grandiosity. Zverev started to get full of himself, too.

    That’s one reason that I appreciate Rafa. I love his humility. Every player has to have a certain amount of ego. You need that belief for confidence to perform well. Sometimes I think maybe Rafa has a bit too much respect for his opponents. But he is a well grounded person who has a great outlook on sport and life.

    • Tsitsi is nowhere near as bad as Zverev. But he is annoyingly cocky at times.
      Rafa, Dom, Diego are all humble and practically devoid of personal vanity.
      Talking of Dom where is he??

      • Domi is having a bit of struggle between injuries (toe and knee, I think, haven’t kept up that much) and a sort of hangover after finally winning a slam. Kind of questioning whether it’s worth all the dedication, thinking there’s other things in life. Maybe he’s having the sort of reaction Carlos Moya had after winning RG “I won a slam, now my tennis life is complete.”

        • Agree. Difficult to win GS in big 3 era. Too much tennis played from Thiem the last few years to climb the mountain. Hard to stay up there as he is figuring it out.

          • I read recently that Dom said RG is h
            is top goal for this year along with beating Rafa there.
            That doesn’t sound like someone lacking in motivation and self-belief. He also posted photos of being back training so presumably he is on track.

  5. Sinner- Tstisi are 1-1 on head to head.
    Tsitsi win in 2019 on clay and Sinner won last year on clay.
    So Sinner definitely has a shot to win.

    • Thiem is injured I believe.

      Rafa was just broken. Now the second set is tied. This is frustrating to watch. Rafahas a chance to break to go up two breaks, but didn’t get it done.

      Now Rafa has three break points. He is playing well in this match, but Norrie really can’t hurt Rafa. Serving stats are good for first and second serves. Rsfa has also come out with some insane shots. A forehand DTL that was pure vintage Rafa.

      Rafa is getting there. He needs the match play.

  6. Agree. Difficult to win GS in big 3 era. Too much tennis played from Thiem the last few years to climb the mountain. Hard to stay up there as he is figuring it out.

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