Basel QF previews and picks: Federer vs. Goffin, Gasquet vs. Karlovic

Fed 2Roger Federer will resume his Basel campaign during quarterfinal action on Friday, when he faces David Goffin. Richard Gasquet and Ivo Karlovic are also aiming for a spot in the last four.

(1) Roger Federer vs. (8) David Goffin

After dominating his first match of this week’s Swiss Indoors Basel 6-1, 6-2 at the expense of Mikhail Kukushkin, Federer endured a minor score against Philipp Kohlschreiber on Thursday. But the six-time champion improved to 58-9 lifetime at this event by holding off the German 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 in one hour and 38 minutes. Federer, who is 55-9 for the year, is two wins away from a 10th consecutive appearance in the Basel title match.

Up next for the No. 1 seed on Friday is a third career meeting with Goffin and a rematch of last season’s Basel final. Federer triumphed with a 6-2, 6-2 victory as he improved to 2-0 in his career against the Belgian (previously prevailed 5-7, 7-5, 6-2, 6-4 at the 2012 French Open). Goffin punched his ticket to the quarterfinals by taking out Andreas Seppi in three sets and Adrian Mannarino in straights. The world No. 17 is 36-22 this year, but this is first quarterfinal since finishing runner-up on the clay courts of Gstaad in early August. Goffin’s second go-around in Basel against Federer should be more competitive, but the crowd favorite is unlikely to have any serious trouble.

Pick: Federer in 2 losing 8-10 games

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(5) Richard Gasquet vs. Ivo Karlovic

Gasquet and Karlovic will be squaring off for the sixth time in their careers and for the second time this season on Friday. The Frenchman improved to 4-1 in the head-to-head series by cruising 6-3, 6-4 a few months ago on the clay courts of Madrid. He has won three in a row since Karlovic pocketed his lone victory via a 6-4, 6-2, 2-6, 7-6(4) scoreline at the 2011 U.S. Open. Gasquet is 2-0 against the current world No. 23 on hard courts, including 1-0 indoors.

Karlovic is essentially on his second life in Basel. The 36-year-old Croat trailed Stan Wawrinka by a set and a break in round one before storming back for a 3-6, 7-6(2), 6-4 upset. He is 38-23 for his 2015 campaign after earning a more routine 7-6(4), 7-5 win over Dusan Lajovic on Thursday. Gasquet is through to the last eight after getting the best of Jiri Vesely and Dominic Thiem. The fifth-seeded Frenchman raised his level considerably to win a high-quality showdown with Thiem 7-6(1), 6-4. Gasquet’s current form and past success against Karlovic point to another one going in the world No. 11’s favor.

Pick: Gasquet in 3

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67 Comments on Basel QF previews and picks: Federer vs. Goffin, Gasquet vs. Karlovic

  1. I already made my prediction for Gasquet/Karlovic on daily picks. I went with Gasquet in 3 sets.

    As for Fed, I will go with him winning losing 8-10 games. I think Ricky’s right about that.

  2. Took a heavy hit from isner last night. Made a hail Mary $200 parlay with pospisil, mug kitova over 22, gasquet, bautista, sock, nadal, fed, and Johnson. This parlay looks realistic. Most worried about gasquet, Johnson, and nadal.

  3. Cant remember how long it is since Gasquet has played consistently well for such a long stretch.He badly wants to get to London, Mind you, Dr,Ivo is helping with all those UEs

      • I guessed you needed Gasquet to win but I’m not familiar with the parlance of betting so had to google it. It’s bad enough wanting your favourites to win without having money riding on the results.

  4. I need bautista, nadal, and federer to complete a +1200 parlay. Lot of people saying bautista might be tired because he played too much tennis lately but why people say this when zverev played even more days than bautista.

  5. How is Rafa doing? I was trying to follow the score on my iPhone, but raced home like a crazy woman. I thought for sure I would miss it.

    Come on Rafa!

  6. Fed should be full flow not the way he is playing now, if he plays like this even Fognini could defeat him. He should be playing like in cincinnati if he meets nadal as they may meet after a long time.

  7. Now he is up a break the commies have reverted, with relief in their voices, to using superlatives to describe his play. Make that two breaks.

  8. I watched some of Fed’s match, but felt that he would win in the end. He didn’t look good in that second set. If Goffin can take a set off him, then he’s not invincible.

    Things have really worked out well for Rafa. He should beat Gasquet without much trouble and that may set up a Fedal final! 🙂

  9. I would like to see the replay of Sock and Young. Hopefully the tennis channel will show that one again.

    So it’s going to be Sock and Fed, Gasquet and Rafa.

    This should be good! 🙂

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