Rio de Janeiro R1 previews and picks: Nadal vs. Bellucci, Cuevas vs. Almagro

NadalSignRafael Nadal will kick off his Rio de Janeiro campaign when he takes the court on Tuesday against Thomaz Bellucci. Meanwhile, Sao Paulo champion Pablo Cuevas is making a quick turnaround to face Nicolas Almagro.

(1) Rafael Nadal vs. Thomaz Bellucci

Something will have to give when Nadal contests his first-round match at the Rio Open against Bellucci on Tuesday. The third-ranked Spaniard is 0-3 against his last three left-handed opponents, but he is 3-0 lifetime at Bellucci’s expense. They have faced each other twice at the French Open (2008 and 2010) and once at Wimbledon (2012). Never has Bellucci taken a set from his heavily-favored opponent and the Brazilian has forced a tiebreaker on just once occasion.

Nadal’s three recent losses to lefties, of course, all came on hard courts (to Martin Klizan, Feliciano Lopez, and Michael Berrer). Now he is on his clay-court stomping grounds at a tournament he won last season. Nadal is looking to bounce back from an Australian Open quarterfinal loss to Tomas Berdych, while Bellucci was bounced out from an event in his home country last week (by Klizan in the Sao Paulo first round). The 63rd-ranked Brazilian reached the Rio quarterfinals in 2014 before succumbing to David Ferrer. This could be competitive for a while as Nadal gets back into a groove, but for the most part it should straightforward.

Pick: Nadal in 2 losing 8-10 games

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Nicolas Almagro vs. (6) Pablo Cuevas

Cuevas will be back in action just two days after capturing the Sao Paulo title. The 23-ranked Uruguayan lifted a winner’s trophy for the third time in his career on Sunday after outlasting Italian qualifier Luca Vanni 6-4, 3-6, 7-6(4). Cuevas’ week also included wins over Almagro, Jiri Vesely, Facundo Bagnis, and Santiago Giraldo.

This will already be the third meeting in 2015 between the two 29-year-olds. Cuevas leads the head-to-head series over Almagro 3-0, with victories in Sao Paulo (7-6(6), 3-6, 6-2), Sydney (7-6(5), 6-4) and six seasons ago on the clay courts of Hamburg (6-2, 6-4). Coming back from a 2014 foot injury, Almagro registers at 91st in the rankings. The former world No. 9, however, showed encouraging signs by advancing two rounds last week. He should be able to take advantage of a fatigued opponent and seize some revenge on Cuevas.

Pick: Almagro in 2

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60 Comments on Rio de Janeiro R1 previews and picks: Nadal vs. Bellucci, Cuevas vs. Almagro

  1. I agree with Hawkeye. I think Rafa will win in two close sets.

    Almagro beating Cuevas in three sets.

    Finally a tournament close to my own time zone. Rio is only three hours ahead of me.

    I can’t wait to see Rafa!

    I saw Robredo tonight against some guy I never heard of. Robredo won in two sets. Even though it was 10:00 at night, the two players were still sweating buckets.

      • Well I just hope that you not comparing sleepwalking easy with 8-10 games lost easy.

        Don’t you? Or do you. No you did. You just said there was Rafa sleepwalking to the final and Rafa would lose 8-10 games in just two sets and then you mentioned two easy sets.

        Okay… good.

        So first of all I don’t think we are in same position. Alright, you say that and, ah, pfft well I don’t know what else to say. I mean is there something wrong with Rafa winning not so easy first tournament on clay? No. Good okay.

  2. I am watching it now on the tennis channel. If you think this is bad, you should have seen the stadium last night for Robredo and the guy who I don’t know.

    Why do I have this feeling that the stands will fill up dramatically once Rafa takes the court? 🙂

  3. my live stream freezes all the time so I can hardly see any of this match…maybe it’s for better…what type of match is this, anyway?? what is Rafa doing out there? it looks like it’s awfully hot out there, but still…Gosh…

  4. Rafa is playing better in the second set, but honestly he had nowhere to go but up. Bellucci has really been just awful. His serving is horrendous and the game is just not there. Rafa got lucky bumping up against someone who couldn’t get out of his own head long enough to play some decent tennis. Otherwise, things might have been a lot worse!

  5. thanks Rafa for playing some decent tennis in the second…I have an important meeting early tomorrow and good that I can go to sleep now…the way it started I thought I would spend most of the night up watching something that was supposed to be tennis…

    Vamos Rafa!

  6. Rafa definitely played better in that second set. Bellucci pretty much gave up at that point. But at least Rafa looked much more like himself.

    Rafa has a lot more work to do, but a win is a win!

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