Rolex Shanghai Masters preview and predictions 

Alex de Minaur Demon

The Asian swing concludes with the Rolex Shanghai Masters, where Jannik Sinner is a massive favorite now that Carlos Alcaraz is out of the tournament following the ankle injury that he sustained en route to the Tokyo title. Still, the field is stacked with 19 of the top 22 players in the world taking the court–including four-time Shanghai champion Novak Djokovic.

What’s in store for the penultimate Masters 1000 event of 2025? 

Rolex Shanghai Masters

Where: Shanghai, China  
Surface: Hard  
Prize money: $9,193,540
Points: 1000  

Top seed: Jannik Sinner 
Defending champion: Jannik Sinner

Draw analysis: With Alcaraz out of the tournament, the top half of the draw is wide open. That is the case to an even greater extent given that Alexander Zverev, Lorenzo Musetti, Daniil Medvedev, and Jakub Mensik have all been dealing with physical problems on this Asian swing. U.S. Open semifinalist Felix Auger-Aliassime could be one to take advantage, but it remains to be seen what kind of state his tennis game is in after getting married a few days ago.

Felix Auger-Aliassime FAA


Djokovic has not played anything other than Grand Slams since making a Geneva appearance in May, but the 38-year-old Serb is back to bid for a fifth Shanghai title. He is on a collision course for the quarterfinals with Ben Shelton, although the American has not played since the U.S. Open because of a shoulder injury.

The draw sets up nicely for Djokovic–at least until a potential semifinal date with Sinner, his recent nemesis. It’s not an entirely simple road for the world No. 2. On the heels of a possible opening match against Daniel Altmaier, Sinner could face Tallon Griekspoor in round three and either Alexander Bublik or Tomas Machac in the last 16. Tokyo runner-up Taylor Fritz is a likely quarterfinal foe for the four-time major winner.

Hot: Jannik Sinner, Taylor Fritz, Alex de Minaur, Lorenzo Musetti, Alexander Bublik, Jiri Lehecka, Luciano Darderi, Ugo Blanchet, Alejando Tabilo, Valentin Royer, Terence Atmane, Learner Tien, Jenson Brooksby

Cold: Andrey Rublev, Daniil Medvedev, Ugo Humbert, Frances Tiafoe, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Stan Wawrinka, Mariano Navone, Jerry Shang, David Goffin, Matteo Berrettini, Zhizhen Zhang, Laslo Djere

Quarterfinal predictions: Alex de Minaur vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Jiri Lehecka over Felix Auger-Aliassime, Casper Ruud over Novak Djokovic, and Jannik Sinner over Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Semifinals: De Minaur over Lehecka and Sinner over Ruud

Final: Sinner over De Minaur

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Who will win Shanghai?
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11 Comments on Rolex Shanghai Masters preview and predictions 

  1. We will watch as Ricky’s draw picks collapse faster than a house of cards, but for a change no Fritz even in the quarters, even though Ricky rides that bandwagon hard, what happened there?

  2. Quarterfinals: De Minaur over Medvedev, Felix over Zverev, Djokovic over Ruud, Sinner over Fritz
    Semifinals: Felix over De Minaur, Sinner over Djokovic
    Final: Sinner over Felix

    This is starting to feel like the top half of the US Open…

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