Miami final preview and prediction: Sabalenka vs. Gauff

Aryna Sabalenka is one win away from completing the Sunshine Double, but she has to get through one more blockbuster battle to accomplish the feat.

After defeating world No. 2 Elena Rybakina in the semifinals, the top-ranked Sabalenka will go up against Coco Gauff in the Miami Open championship match on Saturday. World No. 1 vs. world No. 4; 1000-point title on the line; a 6-6 tie in the head-to-head series. Outside of Grand Slams, it really does not get much bigger than this.

Sabalenka has held a slight upper hand in the matchup of late. She has won five of their last eight meetings and most recently defeated Gauff 7-6(5), 6-2 at the 2025 WTA Finals. She has also gotten the best of the American in each of their last two outdoor hard-court contests.

Aryna Sabalenka
Photo credit: Courtesy of The Atlanta Cup/Jared Wickerham


Nobody is playing better than Sabalenka at the moment — not even close. The Belarusian fell to Rybakina in the Australian Open final, but that is her only loss of the entire season. Sabalenka comes into this match with a 22-1 record following Miami victories over Ann Li, Caty McNally, Qinwen Zheng, Hailey Baptiste, and Rybakina. Li forced an opening tiebreaker, but no other set has been more competitive than 6-4.

Gauff went arrived in Miami on the heels of an arm injury in Indian Wells and she has already been tested in four three-set matches. The 22-year-old erased Karolina Muchova 6-1, 6-1 on Thursday, but that matchup is so bad for Muchova that the result can almost be thrown out the window.

Based on current form and recent head-to-head history, Sabalenka can be expected to win a second consecutive WTA Premier 1000 title.

Pick: Sabalenka in 2

255
WWW: Sabalenka vs. Gauff?

1 Comment on Miami final preview and prediction: Sabalenka vs. Gauff

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.