Thanksgiving football is here. It’s simply a great day — in both the professional and college ranks. A three-game NFL slate is headlined by an absolutely massive matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Dallas. Both teams have to have it for their respective playoff hopes. Kansas City is 6-5; Dallas is 5-5-1.
Let’s dive into my Chiefs vs. Cowboys predictions.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys odds
Money line: Chiefs -185 / Cowboys +154
Spread: Chiefs -3.5 (-105) / Cowboys +3.5 (-115)
Total: Over 52.5 (-110) / Under 52.5 (-110)
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys best bet #1: Cowboys +3.5 (-110)
It’s only Week 13, but the Cowboys still simply being in realistic playoff contention at this point of the season is a relative success — certainly compared to where this team was earlier in the year, and even as recently as the trade deadline. A crucial two-game winning streak features a humongous 24-21 upset of Philadelphia this past weekend, a showdown that saw Dallas erase a 21-0 deficit. The Eagles did not score a single point in the last 41 minutes of the afternoon, a clear indication of the strides that the Cowboys’ defense has made. Trade-deadline acquisitions of tackle Quinnen Williams and linebacker Logan Wilson have certainly been a factor. As for the offense, it has never been a problem. Dak Prescott is third in the league in passing yards and second in passing TDs. George Pickens has made 18 receptions on 20 targets for 290 yards and two scores in the last two weeks.
The Chiefs’ offense simply has not been the same as it was in recent years. Travis Kelce’s production is in decline and the ground game is little more than nonexistent. They had lost two games in a row prior to just barely scraping past the visiting Colts last weekend. The Cowboys have lost only once at home in 2025 — a far cry from their efforts at AT&T Stadium last season. At the very least they should be able to keep this game close from start to finish.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys best player prop bet: Patrick Mahomes Over 266.5 passing yards (-113)
Mahomes has been on a roll of late — maybe not the extent of his MVP-winning seasons, but still pretty darn good. He has surpassed this 266.5 number in four of the last five games, including a 352-yard effort against the Colts. That was preceded by a 276-yard performance against the Broncos, who boast one of the best defenses in football.
Mahomes now faces a Dallas defense that may have improved a bit but is still horrendous against the pass. The Cowboys have allowed the third-most passing yards per game and the third-most passing yards per attempt across the entire league.
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