Monday Night Football in Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season is a battle between the Dallas Cowboys and Las Vegas Raiders. It has been a tough season for both teams; Dallas comes in at 3-5-1, while Las Vegas is 2-7.
Let’s dive into my Cowboys vs. Raiders predictions.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders odds
Money line: Cowboys -185 / Raiders +155
Spread: Cowboys -3.5 (-105) / Raiders +3.5 (-115)
Total: Over 49.5 (-110) / Under 49.5 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders best bet #1: Cowboys -3.5 (-115)
This is a great spot for the Cowboys, who should be bigger favorites. Playing on the road normally knocks the spread down by three points or so, and Las Vegas is not a difficult place to play — especially not when the Raiders have already been (basically) eliminated from playoff contention. Moreover, Dallas is coming off a bye week.
The best news for the Cowboys is that the Raiders are awful. Las Vegas has lost three games in a row, during which it has averaged 12.0 ppg. The most recent contest for head coach Pete Carroll’s club set offensive football back several years – maybe even decades. The Raiders and Broncos combined for a mere 10 first downs in Denver’s 10-7 victory in Week 10, and Las Vegas averaged an anemic 3.2 yards per play. There is no denying that Dallas’ defense stinks, but the home team will probably have to score a lot of points to keep up with the visitors’ high-powered offense. I don’t think the Raiders can score a lot against anyone. It should also be noted that the Cowboys’ defense may be at least somewhat improved, as trade-deadline acquisitions Quinnen Williams and Logan Wilson will make their debuts with their new squad.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders best player prop bet: Geno Smith Over 231.5 passing yards (-114)
Count on Smith attempting plenty of passes on Monday night, which in turn projects to a considerable yardage total. The Raiders will likely be playing from behind, in which case they would have to air it out in an attempt to stop the clock and extend the game. Forking up a bunch of attempts would be nothing new for the West Virginia product. He has thrown at least 34 passes four times this season, including 39 during a 284-yard, four-touchdown effort against Jacksonville in Week 9.
Smith should be especially productive against a Cowboys pass defense that is horrendous. Dallas ranks No. 29 league wide against the pass at 254.4 yards allowed per game. It is second-to-last in yards per pass attempt allowed at 8.2. The last two QBs that the Cowboys faced went for 247 yards (Bo Nix) and 261 yards (Jacoby Brissett). It’s fair to say that neither one of those guys is anything special. It matters not that Smith is a mediocre quarterback; he is fully capable of torching Dallas, especially now that tight end Brock Bowers is healthy.
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