Barcelona QF previews and predictions: Rublev vs. Machac, Norrie vs. Jodar

Photo credit - Dallas Open

With Carlos Alcaraz out of the tournament, the Barcelona title is pretty much up for grabs heading into quarterfinal Friday. Among the matchups are Andrey Rublev vs. Tomas Machac and Cameron Norrie vs. Rafael Jodar.

Tomas Machac vs. (5) Andrey Rublev

For the time being, Machac is the biggest beneficiary of Carlos Alcaraz’s withdrawal from the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell. They would have gone head-to-head in round two, but Alcaraz’s wrist injury gave Machac a free pass into the quarterfinals. Thus continues a decent start to the clay-court swing for the 47th-ranked Czech, who lost a three-setter against Rafael Jodar right away in Marrakech but reached the third round in Monte-Carlo (lost to Jannik Sinner in three sets) and beat Sebastian Baez 2-6, 6-4, 6-1 on Tuesday in Barcelona.

Up next for Machac on Friday is a second meeting with Rublev, who lost their only previous contest 6-4, 6-4 at the 2024 Miami Masters. The 15th-ranked Russian has been unspectacular at best in 2026, with a 13-7 record and no final appearances. So far this week he has ousted Mariano Navone and Lorenzo Sonego in straight sets. This will be more difficult matchup against Machac, who — even on clay — plays on top of the baseline and can take it to his opponents. As it did in Miami two years ago, that could force Rubblev into an error-filled performance.

Pick: Machac in 2

171
WWW: Rublev vs. Machac?


(7) Cameron Norrie vs. (WC) Rafael Jodar

Jodar is on an absolute heater to begin the clay-court swing — in fact, he has really been on one dating back to last season. The 19-year-old is already up to No. 55 in the world and recently captured his first ATP title on the red clay of Marrakech. Jodar dropped only one set at that tournament (to Machac) and has been perfect so far in Barcelona, erasing Jaume Munar 6-1, 6-2 and Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-3, 6-3.

Rafael Jodar
Andrew Patron/Delray Beach Open


A second meeting with Norrie is next on the menu for Jodar after they recently faced each other on the hard courts of Acapulco, where the Spaniard cruised 6-3, 6-2. Although clay should give Norrie a better chance, April has been a grind for him so far. The 24th-ranked Brit needed a third-set tiebreaker to beat Miomir Kecmanovic in Monte-Carlo before falling to Alex de Minaur in round two. He has battled through two three-setters this week, defeating Stan Wawrinka 6-4, 6-7(5), 6-4 and Ethan Quinn 6-3, 4-6, 6-4. Jodar is more rested, is playing at home, and can take additional confidence from having destroyed Norrie in their previous encounter.

Pick: Jodar in 2

156
WWW: Norrie vs. Jodar?

2 Comments on Barcelona QF previews and predictions: Rublev vs. Machac, Norrie vs. Jodar

  1. It’s Rublev who takes it to players, not Machac and Machac simply can’t match Rublev on clay, Rublev’s looked better in this event too, Machac caught a break to not play Alcaraz but it also doesn’t work in his favor that he’s only played 1 match so far, Rublev in 2, 6-4, 7-5.

    Norrie really doesn’t look like he’s going to get the W here having a hard time with Quinn and Stan so far, and Jodar blowing past everyone, but the thing about Jodar is he can be on fire one match and cold the next, so consistency is key for him, still he is the pick here cause of the play, Jodar in 2, 6-4, 6-3.

    Borges in 2, 7-6(5), 6-3

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.