Basel R1 previews and picks: Berdych vs. Karlovic, Wawrinka vs. Roger-Vasselin

Tomas Berdych and Stanislas Wawrinka will kick off their Basel campaigns on Tuesday. They are set for respective meetings with Ivo Karlovic and Edouard Roger-Vasselin.

Ivo Karlovic vs. (2) Tomas Berdych

Karlovic and Berdych will be squaring off for the fifth time in their careers when they clash in round one of the Swiss Indoors Basel on Tuesday. Berdych has gotten a look at the Croat’s booming serve on four previous occasions and the head-to-head series is tied at two wins apiece. They last faced each other at the 2011 Montreal Masters, where Berdych prevailed 6-3, 7-6(2). Their most typical Karlovic match came at this same Basel event back in 2007, when the Czech went down 6-7(5), 7-6(2), 7-6(13). This will be their fifth consecutive showdown on a hard court.

Berdych has not lost prior to the third round of a tournament since Roland Garros, but it would not be fair to say he is on fire. The world No. 7’s Asian swing included a runner-up finish in Bangkok, a semifinal showing in Beijing, and a round of 16 ouster to Nicolas Almagro in Shanghai. Karlovic improved to 14-12 at the ATP level this season after advancing to last week’s Moscow semifinals (lost to eventual champion Richard Gasquet). The 34-year-old is always dangerous on a fast surface, but his physical shape is always a question mark (two retirements in his last seven events) and Berdych has experience facing the big serve.

Pick: Berdych in 2 with 1 tiebreaker

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(4) Stanislas Wawrinka vs. Edouard Roger-Vasselin

Wawrinka and Roger-Vasselin will be doing battle for the second time in their careers at the ATP level on Tuesday. They clashed early last season on the hard courts of Chennai, where Wawrinka pulled out a 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 victory. The eighth-ranked Swiss is 47-19 for the year and making a serious run for the World Tour Finals. Since reaching the semifinals of the U.S. Open, Wawrinka has posted notable results in Kuala Lumpur (semifinals) and Shanghai (quarterfinals) but in general he has cooled off just a bit.

Roger-Vasselin’s status is questionable at best after retiring from a Moscow match last week because of a strained neck. When healthy, though, the 65th-ranked Frenchman is faring well. He has not lost in the first round of a tournament since Winston-Salem in mid-August. Prior to making a quarterfinal run in Moscow, Roger-Vasselin qualified for the Tokyo main draw and advanced one round. Based on Wawrinka’s superior firepower, home-court advantage, the surface, and his opponent’s recent retirement, all signs point to a win for the No. 4 seed.

Pick: Wawrinka in 2

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60 Comments on Basel R1 previews and picks: Berdych vs. Karlovic, Wawrinka vs. Roger-Vasselin

  1. I’m picking Berdy and Wawa, even though they are both prone to losing the plot during a match. I haven’t seen Dr Ivo play since his comeback, but I expect nothing has changed.

  2. no way Ivo is wining this…I thought he would have retired by now, but he obviously has some left in the tank…good for him but Berdy will send him home…does Berdy ever skip a tourney? as far as I could see he has been playing ALL calendar long…I bet he does not advocate for shorter season… 🙁

    wawa in two…easily…

  3. Aww, c’mon…………the Swiss may be famously precise, but they sure ain’t subtle. If it walks and smells like a stitch-up, it is…………sheesh…

    #HelpFed

  4. unbelievable… these guys are ridiculous… Ivo beating Berdy…I can understand that because you never know with big hitters…one ,get lucky’ tiebreak and they are through…or two in this case…but Wawa?!!! he must have made some promises to the Swiss public…leave early and sit at home and watch Fed play…and Simon…was he really playing today or it was just a shadow on the court… 🙁

  5. It seems like these players are just tired out. That’s why Rafa was smart to skip Basel.

    I thought Berdy would get the win when I saw that he won the first set. He’s not the only one. I saw that Verdasco lost and so did Simon.

    • I agree but why showing up at all…it is not a crime to skip the tourney when you feel wasted…but Berdy simply plays it all and wears himself out..
      right before Rafa made a decision to skip Basel I was talking to a friend of mine and I said: “why on earth would Rafa waste his energy in Basel? I hope he is smart enough to skip it”…and so he did, a couple hours later I read it in the news…almost as if he has heard me… 🙂 I bet Tony had something to do with it…

      • ^^^^^We were discussing this the other day. Rafa may have pulled out anyway but it was not announced until after it was known Djokovic was not taking a wild card for Valencia.

        As far as the others are concerned (Wawrinka, Berdy, Gasquet) Berdy has a comfortable margin so an early loss was not going to be catastrophic. Why not show up for a match or two anyway.

        Stan on the other hand needed to get to the SF to earn points in the Race. His lack lustre showing against Vasselin I suspect was due more to an attack of nerves than fatigue. His first serve was all over the place and even his famed backhand let him down – Vasselin had done his homework and was careful not to give him too many chances to showcase it.

        This leg of the season is always prone to what you might call strategic withdrawals and tactical losses.

        • well Berdych was actually trying to win. anyone who watched it know both guys wanted the win BAD.

          the problem is almost every Karlovic match is a crap-shoot. Berdych got a bad draw.

          Wawrinka’s loss, on the other hand, is hard to explain. Especially since he needed the win more than Berdych did.

    • I wasn’t suggesting he didn’t give it his all. I only saw the closing stages of the match and it struck me he looked very fatigued. I was responding to Natashao’s point if this was the case why did he play Basel if he was already exhausted.

      It was bad luck he drew Karlovic in 1R but it was not a bad loss. He now has the benefit of a few extra days prior to Paris and still has a comfortable margin in the Race.

  6. I think Berdy had the wrong strategy for Karlovic. Everyone knows that Karlovic defends the net 100% so why did Berdy not try and lob him more. He continuously tried to pass Ivo at the net and it didn’t work.

  7. I am absolutely certain that Berdych has actually qualified for London, it is just not “official” yet. Its mathematically impossible for TOmas to fall to 10 th place in the race(Murray’s withdrawal means top 9 qualify) so he will be in London.

  8. Nadline: All the signs indicate Rafa’s schedule is being managed very much more carefully. I’m sure you would agree it was not always the case in the past although
    I have a sneaky suspicion it was Rafa who often forced the pace.

    The important thing is he now knows he can take time out, if needed, and come back even stronger and better. There is no need for him to run himself into the ground in order to remain competitive.

  9. Has there ever been so much attention paid to what was going on in Basel? And with so much resting on the Paris results – not only the last WTF places but also Rafa and Djokovic battling for ranking points – it’s going to be quite a week next week. Unlike last year when it was more a question of who would leave when to get to London.

    • ed251137@October 23, 2013 at 10:19 am
      —Has there ever been so much attention paid to what was going on in Basel?—
      Nope! Because Fed has never battled for the last WTF places.

  10. Berdy’s loss was not that big a surprise.

    Basel draw “randomly” put Ivo, Pospisil and Dodig – three very hard hitters – in Berdy’s path before a potential meeting with Fed.

    Any of those three on their game on a fast indoor court can simply take the game out of anybody’s hand including the Bird.

    Fed plays his second round match today with Delpo just playing his first.

    #HomeRules

  11. The commentator for Delpo match has just mentioned Stan was in tears after the match last night.

    I only caught the end of Gasquet match. Will look at it later. Was Gasquet injured or did Llodra take him to the cleaners? Tough on him to be put out by a countryman who has never managed to beat him before.

    #NotVeryPatriotic

  12. RT @alvarorama: “WTF contention this week: Berdych, out. Gasquet, out. Wawrinka, out. Tsonga, not playing. Raonic, not playing. Federer, smiling.”

    #Kidnappings

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