Doha final preview and prediction: Murray vs. Djokovic

Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic will be facing each other for the 36th time in their careers when they battle for the Qatar ExxonMobil Open title on Saturday evening.

Djokovic is leading the head-to-head series 24-11, including 13-3 in their last 16 meetings dating back to the start of 2014 and 5-2 in their last seven dating back to the fall of 2015. The Serb also won their two Grand Slam finals last season (Australian Open and French Open), but it was Murray who got the last laugh at the World Tour Finals. In the first-ever final match between No. 1 and No. 2 that would determine the year-end top spot, Murray defeated Djokovic 6-3, 6-4 to triumph in London.

The new world No. 1 has won eight of his last 10 tournaments, a stretch that includes the 2016 Rio Olympics and Masters 1000 events in Shanghai and Paris. He has extended his winning streak to 28 matches with straight-set victories in Doha over Jeremy Chardy, Gerald Melzer, Nicolas Almagro, and Tomas Berdych.

Djokovic slumped after beating Murray at Roland Garros, throwing away the top ranking just as much as Murray stole it from him. This week’s No. 2 seed has been trying to get back on track, but it has not been easy. Following routine defeats of Jan-Lennard Struff, Horacio Zeballos, and Radek Stepanek, Djokovic recovered from quadruple match point down and saved five match points in total to stun Fernando Verdasco 4-6, 7-6(7), 6-3 in Friday’s semifinals.

“Playing already in the finals of the first event definitely serves as a great confidence incentive,” the 12-time major champion said. “Obviously this is exactly what I hoped that I [could] achieve–to get to the finals. I’m hoping I can play on a high level and we can compete as we always did against each other. We always have very physical battles, long rallies, (and) entertaining matches. Between No. 1 and No. 2 in the world, it’s a perfect matchup for the final. Let’s see what happens.”

This is a rare instance in which Murray goes in as the favorite–which he is doing not simply based on his No. 1 ranking. The Scot has cruised in Doha, where Djokovic had to be let off the hook by Verdasco in order to survive. Roles were reversed last fall in London, where Murray needed three hours and 38 minutes (and saved one match point) to outlast Milos Raonic in the semis before Djokovic hammered Kei Nishikori 6-1, 6-1 in one hour and six minutes. None of that turned out to matter in the title match.

Now the challenger, Djokovic is no stranger to exacting revenge on his friendly foe. In fact, he has not lost back-to-back matches to Murray since the summer of 2012 (Olympic semifinals and U.S. Open final). Look for Djokovic, in typical fashion, to raise his level dramatically from what was on display against Verdasco.

Pick: Djokovic in 3

[polldaddy poll=9629007]

154 Comments on Doha final preview and prediction: Murray vs. Djokovic

  1. Murray in three
    I haven’t had a chance to see any WTA matches this year, never mind do brackets but looking forward to the AO.

  2. RT @TheBorisBecker: My prediction for today’s final in #Doha : @andy_murray is fav today after winning his last 5 tourneys and finishing year as #1 but …

    RT @TheBorisBecker: I would never bet against defending champion @DjokerNole plus Nole has point to prove …

  3. hawks, i still have work to get done so will try and watch later. can you leave some updates so i can check in and see what is going on please??

  4. It’s hard to call this one. It could go either way. Both guys have motivation to get this win leading up to the AO.

    I can see Novak wanting to reassert himself with a win here to get it back on track. I do expect him to play better than he did against Nando earlier in the tournament.

    It’s a tough one, but I will stick with Murray on 3 sets. It should be a good match.

  5. Good to see Nole playing with some emotion again.

    Looking great towards the end of the first set.

    Wow! Great fhdtl winner to serve it out at love.

    No fear.

    Muzza has never cosmetic back from a set down to beat Nole.

  6. Nice net play from Murray two points in a row!

    Both guys battling hard and looking sharp out there.

    Murray holds for 3-3.

    Neither guy yielding many points on serve.

    Solid match.

    Bodes well for AO. May have to reconsider my AO pick!

    One of the better BO3 matches between the two.

  7. Murray finally wakes up now! Wow, what a passing shot! Good to see him fighting back, hope he wins the second set at least. Hes good at the net, should move up there more.

  8. Gosh Murray is getting so much penetration on his inside-out forehand! If he continue to do that, he will be extremely hard to beat.

    Meanwhile, Djokovic breaks his racket and loses the next point as penalty! did he break another one earlier?

  9. They’re both playing at a high level now. Man Murray has just come up with incredible stuff last few games. Loved it when he did the crowd thing with his hands in response to Djokovic doing it a few points before. And the point penalty lol. I think Murray will win now. Wow another unbelievable point. This has gone from an ok match to an awesome one. Great tennis from both guys.

  10. That was flawless from Murray. Don’t think it would have mattered who was at the other side of the net. He was that good in the last few games. 7-5 to Murray!

  11. What a great aggressive brand of tennis Murray is playing now. He’s back. Imagine Djokovic saving five match points to beat Verdasco then losing three match points in a loss to Murray.

  12. Murray hitting more winners in a set is actually a very very telling stat of how the dynamics are tilting little by little in their rivalry. Murray has some good patterns going his way in rallies.

  13. Yes! Well done Murray!

    Murray clearly the better player at the net, and better player in set two. Now we really have a match. I thought Murray was playing too defensive in set one, good to see he’s playing some incredible tennis to fight back.

      • Very nice from Murray with the volley at the net to hold.

        They just showed the moment in the first set where he hit the ball and it went into the stands. That was why he got the warning. Not about how hard he hit it, but the issue being that when you hit a ball into the stands, you can hit a spectator.

  14. Moving to the net is such a great option for these guys. Honestly they have multiple chances to come to the net in rallies but there is so much reluctance. Murray is a lot better at the net so he should be more willing. It is working so well for him as well!

  15. Interesting seeing Novak using his practice t shirt. Psychologically tricking himself into relaxing? He’s been striking the ball much cleaner since he put it on.

    Or its just cold.

  16. Murray couldn’t come up with the goods when he had the break chance at 3-2. Shanked that return for djoker to feast on and since djoker hasn’t looked back. Nole with the break and momentum all of a sudden.

  17. Had a feeling this may happen. Murray is so good at finding that second wind. Can’t speak too soon but looks like djoker is getting tight and Murray is putting a lot of pressure here.

  18. Great winning point from Djokovic. Pretty shocked by the three straight missed balls in the net in the end. I think he was just tired. I really thought he’d break back there. Kudos to Novak though. Quality performance from both.

    • Novak gets the win in the end. These two are the favorites going into the AO. We might just see them in the final there.

  19. Well done Novak. He’s back at the level where he could pull off the Australian. Other tournaments not so sure.

    And this was probably the best match quality wise between the two. In terms of drama, perhaps only AO 2012 was better.

  20. so much for my saying andy would win easily!! rubbish prediction on my part. i also said nole wouldn’t win ao…that’s looking like rubbish as well….

  21. Ah that’s ok Amy. Don’t be hard on yourself.

    Just ignore any nad predictions and focus on the right ones like Ricky and Me.

    Speaking of….

    I told you so Alison!

    Congrats to Meeeee!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.




Skip to toolbar