Paris Masters preview and predictions

For much of the ATP Tour, this marks the final week of the season. The Paris Masters offers some players the chance to go out with a bang, while for others it is an opportunity to prolong their 2017 campaigns with berths in the World Tour Finals. Additionally, this is a relatively up-for-grabs Masters 1000 tournament. A whole host of top guys have already been out for the year, Roger Federer is resting in between Basel and London, and just about everyone else has to be fatigued at the end of another long season. Chances are great that we will have a fist-time winner of this event. After all, the only former champions in the entire field are Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and David Ferrer.

Rolex Paris Masters

Where: Paris, France
Surface: Indoor hard
Prize money
: 4,273,775 Euros
Points
: 1000

Top seed: Rafael Nadal
2016 champion: Andy Murray (not playing)

Draw analysis: A World Tour Finals afterthought prior to last week, Lucas Pouille now has a shot at qualifying for the year-end championship. Even after triumphing in Vienna, the Frenchman still must reach at least the Paris final. But his draw may allow just that, because he took Federer’s place at the bottom of the bracket after the 36-year-old Swiss withdrew on Sunday. The other three seeds in that quarter are Dominic Thiem, Kevin Anderson, and Jack Sock. Thiem and Sock have been slumping for several months and Anderson has cooled off since finishing runner-up at the U.S. Open.

Elsewhere in the bottom half, David Goffin is looking to cement his place in London. The Belgian is seventh in the race with a 280-point lead over Pablo Carreno Busta and at least a 360-point cushion over every other outside contender. Goffin, who won two titles on the Asian swing and appeared in the Basel semis, could run into Tsonga in the third round. Tsonga, a recent champion in Antwerp and runner-up in Vienna, must reach at least the Paris semifinals in order to punch a ticket to London.

Rafael Nadal headlines the field as the No. 1 seed and—with Federer out—almost certainly the year-end No. 1 player. Nadal’s top quarter also includes Carreno Busta and Sam Querrey, who are in serious London contention. They are on a collision course to go head-to-head in a massive third-round showdown that could potentially decide the last World Tour Finals spot.

Like Tsonga, Juan Martin Del Potro must make a run to at least the Paris semis if he envisions a trip to the O2 Arena. The recent Stockholm champion and Basel runner-up is in a tough section of the draw that also includes Alexander Zverev, Grigor Dimitrov, and 2016 Paris finalist John Isner.

Second-round upset alert: Diego Schwartzman over (9) John Isner. Isner has the pressure of defending 600 points as the runner-up to Andy Murray last year. He may also have the misfortune of facing a red-hot Schwartzman in his opening match. Isner is more than a foot taller than the Argentine (6’10’’ to 5’7’’), but size does not necessarily matter. After all, the American lost to Dudi Sela at Wimbledon this summer—and Schwartzman is a much better player than Sela these days.

Hot: Rafael Nadal, David Goffin, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, Juan Martin Del Potro, Lucas Pouille, Yuichi Sugita, Diego Schwartzman, Adrian Mannarino, Jan-Lennard Struff

Cold: Dominic Thiem, Jack Sock, Vasek Pospisil, Pablo Cuevas, Karen Khachanov, Jeremy Chardy

Quarterfinal predictions: Querrey over Nadal, Zverev over Schwartzman, Goffin over Cilic, and Pouille over Harrison

Semifinals: Zverev over Querrey and Goffin over Pouille

Final: Goffin over Zverev

Comments and your own predictions are appreciated!

9 Comments on Paris Masters preview and predictions

  1. Goffin out LOL.

    Two out of three…
    As Hawkeye predicted with glee…
    Pouille will flee…
    And it’s congrats to Meeee!!!!

    #Humb1e

    Hawkeye OCTOBER 30, 2017 AT 1:10 AM
    Neither Pouille nor Goffin will make semis and neither predicted finalists will make the finals.
    Oh, and Rafa won’t lose to Querrey.

    • He predicted a crapshoot. The tourney has still been a crapshoot just not in the way he expected. Aka Krajinovic and Benneteau are in the quarters.

  2. Querry out.
    Goffin out.
    Pouille out.

    CHECK, CHECK and CHECK!

    Hawkeye predicted with glee…
    And it’s congrats to Meeee!!!!

    Hilarious!

    (fsutomahawk’s definition of talking trash LOL.)

    #HOWMANYTIMES?????
    #Humb1e
    #HerbertWillWin

    Hawkeye OCTOBER 30, 2017 AT 1:10 AM
    Neither Pouille nor Goffin will make semis and neither predicted finalists will make the finals.
    Oh, and Rafa won’t lose to Querrey.

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