French Open R4 preview and prediction: Wawrinka vs. Troicki

Stan Wawrinka’s title defense at Roland Garros got off to a rough start against Lukas Rosol, but he appears to have picked up the pace in time for fourth-round action on Monday. Wawrinka will battle Viktor Troicki for a quarterfinal spot. Adam Leigh previews the match.

Stan Wawrinka’s defense of his French Open title is on track through three rounds. His next challenge is a fourth-round matchup on Sunday with Viktor Troicki, to whom he has dropped just a set to in four previous wins.

Wawrinka labored to a five-set victory over Lukas Rosol in the opening round but has since enjoyed routine straight-set defeats of Taro Daniel and Jeremy Chardy. Troicki, it could be argued, has been somewhat more fortunate on his passage to the last 16. He earned a hard-fought, five-set win over Grigor Dimitrov in his opener before benefiting from a third-set retirement by countryman Dusan Lajovic and a clearly fatigued Gilles Simon, whom he accounted for in three uncompetitive sets.
Stan wins
Despite playing plenty of his tennis on clay, Troicki isn’t truly at home on the dirt. The Serb prefers quicker surfaces on which he can set his feet and get full rotation through his big forehand; on slower tracks he doesn’t have that luxury. This spells all sorts or trouble against Wawrinka, who generates terrific power without needing the same time to get through his strokes. The Swiss is also unafraid to consistently tee off on his shots, which severely challenges Troicki’s defensive capabilities. Although the courts at Roland Garros are playing a little quicker this year, it won’t be anywhere near enough to make a difference.

Wawrinka isn’t playing as well as he was when he lifted La Coupe des Mousquetaires a year ago, but he has far too many advantages over Troicki to see his defense falter here.

Pick: Wawrinka in 3

21 Comments on French Open R4 preview and prediction: Wawrinka vs. Troicki

  1. stan-rv murray- crashquet are deeply uninspiring quarter finals. can’t think of a single quarter final in the offing that i want to watch…thiem – goffin, nole to destroy whomever…

    • It’s true unfortunately. I am hoping that Nishi can pull out his match. I would rather see him get through than Crashguet!

      • me too nny. at least that will have some interest value. these are horrible matches for the qf of a slam..
        i suppose the thiem match could be good but even so…
        bring back fedal!!!

        • Yes! Bring back Fedal!

          I just feel so deflated since Rafa had to withdraw. Then Tsonga got knocked out with an injury. Monfils couldn’t even play.

          So many of the players I like aren’t in it.

          • we’ve seen the future without fedal and it sucks big time nny!!! charisma bypass everywhere…

  2. Playing his first RG QF with the home crowd firmly behind him, I think Gasquet can do some serious damage against Murray in their match if it happens. Murray hasn’t looked all that impressive here with those two five setters early on and both Karlovic and Isner played awful and could barely make groundies. Gasquet is more consistent off the ground so that could be interesting. I actually have a feeling that may go five and Gasquet could maybe even win at that point. Would be epic if that happened.

    • Nishi is done now. Down two breaks. But Gasquet has been the better player.

      The French crowd sounds like they are at a soccer match.

      Gasquet will not beat Murray. He doesn’t have enough against the top players. With the crowd behind him, he might make it interesting, but I don’t see him being able to take down Murray in a best of five set match.

  3. He needs to get his skates on then. He’s down 1-4 already. And Gasquet shows no signs of cracking.

    Although there’s still time for him to choke i guess.

    • This is insane! I didn’t even know that raonic lost! What?

      Ramo-Vinolas is in the quarterfinals? I don’t believe it!

      This has been one crazy RG!

      • They just showed highlights is Stan and Troicki. Troicki had an injury and didn’t seem to be the same after that. Stan should have an easy time of I with ARV in the quarterfinals.

        I wonder if it’s the heavy, damp conditions out there.

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