2013 U.S Open picks: Djokovic vs. Nadal

Djokovic’s quarter

Upset special: Tommy Haas over Juan Martin Del Potro in the fourth round. Haas is not quite as on fire as he was earlier this season, but he is well-rested. Del Potro, on the other hand, may not be 100 percent.
Deep sleeper: Marcel Granollers. His nearest seeds are Fabio Fognini and Benoit Paire and no other unseeded player in the Fognini-Paire section is ranked higher than No. 75 in the world.
Prediction sure to go wrong: Jurgen Melzer in the third round. Melzer is coming off a long week in Winston-Salem and a potential second-round opponent, Igor Sijsling, destroyed him at the French Open.
Winner: Novak Djokovic. Only a 100-percent Del Potro would have a chance of stopping him.

Murray’s quarter

Upset special: Denis Istomin over Nicolas Almagro and into the fourth round. If Istomin can channel what was on display at the 2010 U.S. Open against Rafael Nadal, this is a draw on which he can capitalize.
Deep sleeper: Ivo Karlovic. The 6’10’’ Croat advanced through qualifying without dropping a set or even losing serve a single time. He fired 37 total aces in his first four qualifying sets.
Prediction sure to go wrong: Donald Young over Martin Klizan. Three straight wins for Young in qualifying is an amazing feat by his standards. Asking for one more over a 2012 U.S. Open fourth-round finisher may be too much.
Winner: Andy Murray. The defending champ lost early last year in Cincinnati, too…. And look what happened. No time to panic.

Ferrer’s quarter

Upset special: Dmitry Tursunov over Richard Gasquet and into the quarterfinals. Tursunov is a player who feeds off momentum, and he is borderline on fire right now. He has a clean bill of a health and a relatively short week in Winston-Salem will only help.
Deep sleeper: Feliciano Lopez. The Spanish left-hander is playing well and has been to the fourth round of the U.S. Open twice in his career. He will fly under the radar with guys like Milos Raonic, Jerzy Janowicz, and Ernests Gulbis in this section, but all of Lopez’s opponents will be vulnerable.
Prediction sure to go wrong: Ernests Gulbis over David Ferrer. Based on current form, Gulbis may actually be the odds-on pick to win if this third-round clash takes place. And that’s what makes it scary.
Winner: Jerzy Janowicz. With experience from having reached the Wimbledon semifinals plus an absolute dream draw in New York, the sky’s the limit.

Nadal’s quarter

Upset special: Tommy Robredo over Kei Nishikori and into the fourth round. A revitalized Robredo is an outstanding 31-17 this season. He is 16-11 lifetime at the U.S. Open and has been to the fourth round an incredible seven times, including twice in his last three appearances.
Deep sleeper: Bernard Tomic. It’s not often that nobody is talking about Tomic. A relative slump is the reason, but the 20-year-old Aussie remains dangerous and Kei Nishikori as his nearest seed is not exactly a terrible draw.
Prediction sure to go wrong: John Isner in the fourth round. The Nadal-Isner rematch of their Cincinnati final is already hyped out of control, which is why it just seems destined not to come to fruition. Isner could face Gael Monfils in the second round and Philipp Kohlschreiber—who beat him last year in New York—in the third.
Winner: Rafael Nadal. There are two threats in this quarter and Nadal just took care of both of them in Cincinnati.

Full bracket

First round
Djokovic over Berankis in 3, Becker over Rosol in 4
Nieminen over Kubot in 4, Dimitrov over Sousa in 3
Paire over Bogomolov in 5, Smyczek over Duckworth in 5
Granollers over Zopp in 3, Fognini over Ram in 4
Haas over Mathieu in 3, Gimeno-Traver over Lu in 5
Dolgopolov over Goffin in 5, Youzhny over Mahut in 3
Melzer over Donskoy in 3, Sijsling over Gojowczyk in 4
Hewitt over Baker in 4, Del Potro over Garcia-Lopez in 3

Murray over Llodra in 3, Hanescu over L. Mayer in 4
Young over Klizan in 4, Monaco over F. Mayer in 4
Seppi over Malisse in 4, Devvarman over Lacko in 4
Johnson over Kamke in 4, Istomin over Almagro in 5
Wawrinka over Stepanek in 4, Blake over Karlovic in 4
Baghdatis over Soeda in 4, Anderson over Brands in 3
Benneteau over Przysiezny in 3, Chardy over Stakhovsky in 4
Vesely over Kudla in 4, Berdych over Lorenzi in 3

Gasquet over Russell in 3, Robert over Olivetti in 5
Struff over Rufin in 4, Tursunov over Bedene in 4
Lopez over Serra in 3, Klahn over De Schepper in 5
Andujar over De Bakker in 4, Raonic over Fabbiano in 3
Janowicz over Gonzalez in 3, Sock over Petzschner in 4
Kuznetsov over Sela in 4, Tipsarevic over Cuevas in 3
Gulbis over Haider-Maurer in 3, Kukushkin over Martin in 3
Bautista Agut over Bellucci in 5, Ferrer over Kyrgios in 3

Federer over Zemlja in 3, Giraldo over Berlocq in 4
Mannarino over Zeballos in 3, Querrey over Pella in 3
Robredo over Matosevic in 4, Haase over Dancevic in 4
Tomic over Ramos in 4, Nishikori over Evans in 3
Isner over Volandri in 3, Monfils over Ungur in 4
Roger-Vasselin over Montanes in 4, Kohlschreiber over Altamirano in 3
Verdasco over Dodig in 5, Davydenko over Williams in 4
Pospisil over Dutra Silva in 3, Nadal over Harrison in 3

Second round
Djokovic over Becker in 3
Dimitrov over Nieminen in 4
Paire over Smyczek in 4
Granollers over Fognini in 4
Haas over Gimeno-Traver in 3
Youzhny over Dolgopolov in 4
Melzer over Sijsling in 3
Del Potro over Hewitt in 3

Murray over Hanescu in 3
Monaco over Young in 4
Seppi over Devvarman in 5
Istomin over Johnson in 5
Wawrinka over Blake in 4
Anderson over Baghdatis in 4
Benneteau over Chardy in 4
Berdych over Vesely in 3

Gasquet over Robert in 3
Tursunov over Struff in 3
Lopez over Klahn in 3
Raonic over Andujar in 3
Janowicz over Sock in 3
Tipsarevic over Kuznetsov in 4
Gulbis over Kukushkin in 4
Ferrer over Bautista Agut in 3

Federer over Giraldo in 3
Querrey over Mannarino in 5
Robredo over Haase in 4
Tomic over Nishikori in 5
Isner over Monfils in 3
Kohlschreiber over Roger-Vasselin in 4
Verdasco over Davydenko in 4
Nadal over Pospisil in 3

Third round
Djokovic over Dimitrov in 3
Granollers over Paire in 5
Haas over Youzhny in 4
Del Potro over Melzer in 4

Murray over Monaco in 3
Istomin over Seppi in 4
Wawrinka over Anderson in 4
Berdych over Benneteau in 3

Tursunov over Gasquet in 4
Lopez over Raonic in 5
Janowicz over Tipsarevic in 3
Gulbis over Ferrer in 4

Federer over Querrey in 3
Robredo over Tomic in 4
Isner over Kohlschreiber in 4
Nadal over Verdasco in 3

Fourth round
Djokovic over Granollers in 3
Haas over Del Potro in 5
Murray over Istomin in 3
Berdych over Wawrinka in 4

Tursunov over Lopez in 5
Janowicz over Gulbis in 5
Federer over Robredo in 3
Nadal over Isner in 3

Quarterfinals
Djokovic over Haas in 3
Murray over Berdych in 5

Janowicz over Tursunov in 4
Nadal over Federer in 4

Semifinals
Djokovic over Murray in 4
Nadal over Janowicz in 4

Final
Djokovic over Nadal in 5

Comments and your own predictions are appreciated!




Comments

  1. Rafa is my favorite to win no matter what.

  2. Hahahahahhahhhhhhhahhhhaaaaa Djoker djoker djoker yeahhhhhh here we go again djoker yahooo … how lucky djoker is .. ricky i think djoker must be ur step bro or cousin if not real :-D
    haas is not goona beat delpo ..
    murray over djoker in semi in 5
    Murray over rafa in 5 in final..

    • who would you pick in the final if you had Djoker winning the fifth set against Murray?

      • i wil pick rafa if djoker beats murray in semis.. but i wish and i m sure djoker is not gonna win against andy this time ita Andy’s turn now..

      • And my pick is andy Murray he is my fav too and my pick also..

  3. And i have a feeling roger fed can catch the fire anytime and if isner managed to win against rafa then… roger can reach tne finals too and if he manged to beat rafa then he will be the fav like he did in 2012 Wimbledon …

  4. Given his draw, it’s Rafa’s title to lose. He probably wont get such a dream draw anytime soon.
    I’m not sure who he would be facing in the final though- Delpo, Muzz or Nole.

    • Monfils just WDed from the Winston-Salem final. Not great for Rafa fans because it means he has no chance against Isner in second round. Means Isner has very little chance of losing before R4 vs. Rafa.

  5. vamosrafa says:

    lol…the djokovic obsession continues :P I am just looking forward to seeing rafa navigate his way through all the threats and reach the final.. in the final I am confident he’l prevail regardless of the opposition.

    I have Rafa over Andy in the final. I also think this might be djokovic’s poorest showing at the USO for the past 3 years…just not sure so waiting to see him perform…dont think his mental aspect is where it has to be

    • not that at all.

      bottom line is Djokovic is the best hard-court player in the world, especially in best-of-five format.

  6. vamosrafa says:

    How funny is it that rafa gets the majority vote as favourite for USO ,whereas at RG, he and djo were almost joint favourites ! LOL…who would have thought this

  7. vamosrafa says:

    What has djokovic done post australian open to make you believe so? okay Rafa won’t be established the best on hard courts only if he wins USO, true..but djokovic needs to win this title to PROVE he is the best, yes he needs to prove… he has been mediocre on hard courts since dubai to be honest !

    and this best of 5 thing, I do not think it gives advantage to djokovic against Rafa as Rafa has abundant physical strength and he is mentally in a better shape too . He might have this adv over the field but surely against rafa . His chances of beating a red hot rafa will in fact be greater in best of 3…I am confident with this because of djokovic’s recent mental fragility , lapses in concentration and meltdowns at the end of the close matches (barring his SF over delpo-who was pretty drained in the decider though)

    A confident rafa is the man to beat. Nole has to prove himself here IN MY OPINION. WHen was the last time he won a slam outside Oz open ? almost 2 years

  8. vamosrafa says:

    line 2 ** until he wins USO

  9. vamosrafa says:

    majority vote of ‘experts’ around the world…

  10. vamosrafa says:

    I am more concerned about Rafa’s form at the open…I hope he peaks here…if he does, Then I do not think he’l be stopped. He was phenomenal in Rome but suddenly he was playing terrible tennis at RG with his tennis hitting an ebb against Fognini in rnd 3. He lifted his game so well after that though.

    RG was different in many ways…rafa was playing his first slam after a long time..he was playing best of 5 matches after quite some time and he was quite nervous..he took time to find ‘calm’. I hope he gets out of the blocks immediately at USO

  11. where can I find other experts picks?

  12. snowdevil says:

    “WHen was the last time he won a slam outside Oz open ? almost 2 years”
    When was the last time Rafa won a slam outside the French Open?

  13. vamosrafa says:

    haha I know this would come from someone. Please note that we are talking about a hard court slam which is djokovic’s favourite and Rafa’s worst surface. It’s djokovic who has to defend his turf, rafa has been doing it almost always at RG.

    Plus, rafa won his last non-clay slam at USO 2010 but I can see non-clay slams from him in 2009 and 2008. Lesson to be learnt here : when rafa is playing at the level he is right now, he is able to capture non-clay slams. hence, I am counting on him to do it here.

  14. vamosrafa says:

    I had rafa as the third favourite before the montreal-cincy double…. so obviously, the phenomenal current form is what has made rafa move up my list…. I have andy as the 2nd fav and nole the 3rd….pretty close among the three of these though

  15. Nadal (day) and Federer (night) both on Monday

  16. vamosrafa says:

    woohoo thanks for the schedule update :D

  17. predictions are just that
    but if we are going to, I’ll say that Nole will not get through to the semi-final without dropping sets as you have it Ricky
    in 2011 yes, why not, but with his mental form of the last months, not likely

  18. I dont understand why so many people regard Isner as a threat to Rafa? OK Izzy has come a long way since that Wimbledon marathon serving fest but he will always be vulnerable against players who are able to return the majority of his serves.

    What I loved was the way you could see Rafa computing how to deal with him in the Cincy final – just as he did with Roger the day before. Few players think and adjust as fast as Rafa can on the court (with the exception of Murray – when he’s awake that is).

    Rafa is brimming with confidence and all the signs are his knee is holding up.

    Roger appears to have got his act together for the time being so if they meet it will be a tough match again but Rafa will prevail.

    A lot of people seem to be falling into the trap of underestimating Djokovic’s form based on recent performances. Losing RG and Wimbledon knocked the stuffing out of him but I’m predicting he will regroup and could make a run to the final.

    Really can’t second guess how Andy will fare. it all depends on how he copes with the pressure of defending a Slam for the first time in his career. All I know is watching his matches will be a white water ride for Muzza fans but should he meet Djokovic in the SFs I can’t help feeling it will be Nole who’ll get the win. Sorry Deucy, Twinge and Alex.

    • monalysa13 says:

      ed251137, i agree with you there! I mean every major tournament there is ALWAYS someone who is a threat to Rafa. Earlier it was Delpo, then it moved to Ferrer, then again it has moved to Isner. I mean come on! Rafa will be able to handle Isner like he has on previous occassions. Not to undermine Isner but who knows, Isner’s serve may go AWOL and then his game suddenly falls apart! Everybody seems to be a threat to Rafa including Roger, Novak and Andy…………….i mean for goodness sakes, Rafa has a +ve H2H against all these players, oh and let me not forget, Davydenko!!!! I mean, hell, Rafa should just not bother even turning up at that rate!!!!

      My take is if Rafa continues playing the way he has, and I imagine he will improve on his play here and there, I think Rafa will be a threat to ALL of these above mentioned players rather than the other way round!!!!! Give me a break!!!!

  19. I think Gulbis is going to the quarters, and I do not have that good a feeling about Janowisz. Yes, he played well on the grass, but I bet he’s gone in Rnd 2 or 3. Don’t count out FED!!!!

  20. nativenewyorker7 says:

    As a Rafa fan I am hardly going to underestimate him at all. I know better. However, I am not about to get carried away here and act like it’s a done deal. Nobody has a ticket to the final. Nothing is certain. Rafa approaches slams the same way. That’s why he will not discount any of his opponents.

    Rafa also knows that predictions don’t mean anything. It has to be won on the court. Pardon me if I am a bit nervous for some of Rafa’s opponents, but that’s how I roll. Over confidence is not my thing. I don’t think that Harrison or Pospisil will trouble Rafa. Verdasco had a nice result at Wimbledon, but he isn’t mentally tough enough to hang with Rafa. I also don’t think he’s in good enough form right now. Isner does make me nervous. If some Rafa fans have a problem with that, too bad. I don’t expect him to beat Rafa, but I never like seeing Rafa go up against him. The guy doesn’t give his opponents any rhythm and can stand at the baseline blasting aces and big serves. The key will be for Rafa to hold his serve. One break of serve and that’s the set against Isner.

    I think if Delpo is healthy, he can take it to Djoker. That’s one of the big questions in my mind. Normally I would say Djoker is a lock to get to the semis. But I remember that match at Wimbledon with Djoker and Delpo. If Delpo can play like that again, then watch out.

    I will be surprised if Ferrer makes it to the semis. He’s going to have to play a lot better. I don’t think Gulbis can get there. He’s not nearly mentally tough enough. Jerzy could get there or he could get knocked out in an early upset. It could go either way with him.

    I do think that Murray will come out playing much better here. I think he will beat Berdy in the quarters. I don’t see anything stopping him from getting to the semis. But I go back and forth with Djoker and Murray here. I do think Murray can beat Djoker. If Delpo pulls off the upset and gets there, then he might be too tired to take on Murray. But without having seen even the first round matches, I think at this point it’s a tossup between Djoker and Murray in a possible semifinal meeting.

    I think if Rafa gets by Isner and Fed, he is going to be very hard to stop. We know he plays his best once he reaches the second week of a slam. It won’t matter who he faces in the semis – Ferrer, Gulbis or Jerzy.

    I want to see some matches before I finalize any of my predictions.

  21. I dont understand why are Isner and Fed being considered as threats to Rafa. A threat is when one can beat his opponent. I dont see that happening.
    Fed would have been really a threat to Muzz or Nole in Qf.
    Threat to Rafa were Jerzy in R4 and Delpo in Qf. He avoided them. Then he has avoided Muzz in Sf. I dont see any reason for Rafa or his fans for not liking this draw. This is the best possible draw he could have got.

    • no it isn’t.

      Isner is way more dangerous than Janowicz, and Federer is way more dangerous than Gasquet. Nadal’s draw could have been much better. The only good part is that he got Ferrer instead of Murray.

      • nativenewyorker7 says:

        I have to agree with Ricky. As well as Rafa played in the Cincy final, he never got a break of serve or even a break point. Now the good news is that Isner didn’t break Rafa’s serve either. But it was about as tight a match as possible.

        It’s never easy to play a big serving guy like Isner and it’s disingenuous to pretend otherwise. None of the other top guys would have wanted to face him. We know Rafa doesn’t like playing guys like Isner and Karlovic, because he’s said so in the past.

        Everybody is so high on Jerzy. Let’s see if he can back up that semifinal result in Wimbledon. But he isn’t nearly mentally tough enough to hang with Rafa in a best of five match. His temperament will also work against him in this kind of match. Gasquet couldn’t beat Rafa if he tried. Fed found some answers in that quarterfinal match at Cincy and will come in determined to play well. He won’t roll over for Rafa.

        The prospective semifinal opponent is the bright spot in Rafa’s draw.

      • seriously Ricky. Izzy better than JJ. JJ is a much better all court player than Izzy. Yeah, he has got temperamental issues, but has the complete game to knock off top guys. With Izzy it’s all about serve.
        And from where did Gasquet dropped off? I was talking about DELPO!

      • no, Isner is considerably better than JJ. People underrate Isner’s all-court game simply because his serve is the best on tour.

        anyone who has watched tennis this summer knows that.

  22. I will be rooting for Fed. If he can scrape past through Qf, he will win the whole thing. But yeah, it’s a big IF.

    • Tennis Channel racket bracket competition:

      league – Dimon US Open

      password – wildcats

      if anyone wants to join the fun

  23. vamosrafa says:

    Isner ‘much more’ dangerous than janowicz? totally disagreed

  24. vamosrafa says:

    saying isner is more dangerous than JJ is debatable but WAY MORE? thats a hyperbole

    JJ has a better return game, he moves so much better , he hits bigger from the baseline and ah those drop shots ! if he is clicking, I would certainly want to avoid him

    • JJ doesn’t move much better than Isner. At best he barely moves better than Isner, but it’s probably tied. Have you watched Isner this summer?

      And he definitely doesn’t hit bigger than Isner from the baseline. Not even close!!!

      Janowicz has a harder first serve (not better, only harder) and has better touch. That’s about it.

  25. vamosrafa says:

    #sure, Isner has a better serve and he is stronger on service games.
    # JJ is definitely a better mover than Isner and he is more agile too.
    #JJ being more agile is also better at the net
    #JJ has more variation in his game
    #JJ competes better than Isner (my opinion)
    # JJ has a better return game .. return game is his weakness but its defnitely better than isner’s. Isner has won a mere 12% return games in 2013 , JJ has a better but still poor 17%
    # As far as hitting from the baseline is concerned, JJ can hit harder on the run, isner can only hit harder when he has time to set up his for his shots. On extended baseline rallies Isner can be pinned back behind the baseline and he is just putting balls back from there.
    # Isner can hit REALLY BIG off his forehand side, but JJ has a better backhand and he can generate great pace too.
    #Isner is a big threat when he is having a ridiculous servign day ( chances of that happening aren’t too bad though) ..even then, its extremely unlikely he’l win 3 tie breaks against the big 4. He very rarely break’s their serves , relying on concentration lapses from them

    OVERALL: JJ can be POTENTIALLY much more dangerous than Isner.

    • JJ doesn’t compete better than Isner. Most of the other points are fair. Isner is a way better competitor.

      JJ gets fired up when he hits winners. that’s not the same as competing well. he is a mental midget on MANY occasions. Isner probably has the third best mental game on tour behind Djokovic and Nadal.

  26. vamosrafa says:

    getting fired up after hitting winners is not what I meant by competing better. JJ is not intimidated by the big boys, he looked fearless in the wimbledon SF against currently the best grass court player. He was definitely not scared to face off against roger and rafa too.

    May be my definition of competing better was slightly misleading. Because if you want to include who chokes more frequently then yes it has to be JJ, his mental state is not so stable lol. However, I am strongly of the opinion that JJ has more ‘belief’ that he can topple the big guys.

    #isner has the third best mental game on tour behind djokovic and nadal? Woah, thats a big statement you made there… the jury has to be out on this one :P

  27. vamosrafa says:

    I though isner’s return game on hard courts might eb slightly better than on other surfaces but upon checking, I found out that iner has won a mere 11% return games on hard courts in 2013 , JJ has won 19%. Isner definitely has to improve this % if he is to make a big impact at the open…

    Who would you pick if they face off against each other, Ricky?

    • nativenewyorker7 says:

      vamosrafa,

      I am not yet totally convinced when it comes to Jerzy. I see a lot of potential, but there are some things he needs to address. I noticed that at times he just hits hard, harder and hardest. He bludgeons the ball. But you need variety and also need to understand when to pound your shots and when to pull back a little. He doesn’t seem to have that down yet.

      By far his biggest liability is his temperament. He had a lousy match in Cincy to flame out early against Blake. That match highlighted for me some of the issues with Jerzy. He got frustrated and just started overhitting his shots. He went for broke feeling the pressure after loosing the first set. He didn’t have to do that. He was wild and all over the place and his frustration was his undoing. Blake used his smarts as a veteran and also played some really great tennis to get the win. It was ugly stuff from Jerzy.

      The one weakness that I thought Rafa exposed in the final at Cincy was Isner’s poor ROS. I thought Rafa served intelligently to take advantage of that. However, what I did notice is that Isner’s groundstrokes are a lot better now. He did some damage with that forehand and was able to beat Rafa in some good rallies. The guy does have the advantage with the height and the huge serve, but he has been working on developing other aspects of his game. I give him credit for that.

      Also, keep in mind that Rafa will be facing Isner much earlier in the tournament than Jerzy. We know that Rafa is formidable when he gets to the second week of a slam. By the semis he is almost in his best form. Jerzy won’t have a chance against Rafa in a semifinal. But in the early rounds that’s where it gets complicated.

      I believe that Rafa will know what to do and be able to handle Isner. But I do think that playing Isner and Rafa back-to-back at the USO is not as easy as some seem to think.

      Let me be clear – that is not the same as saying that Rafa cannot do it!

  28. rafaisthebest says:

    Hahaha! Not long before they proclaim Rafa a HC Specialist:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/tennis/23829848

    “Nadal is definitely back and playing maybe the best tennis that he ever has played on hard courts,” said Djokovic.

    Defending champion Andy Murray admitted Nadal will be “very difficult to beat” in New York.

    Murray, who expects to play his opening match against Michael Llodra on Wednesday, has been hugely impressed by the 12-time Grand Slam champion’s form.

    “It’s hard not to be,” said the 26-year-old Scot. “He hasn’t lost yet because he’s beaten some tough players in tough tournaments, winning the two tournaments back to back in Cincinnati and Canada. I think it’s only been done once before.

    “I think Roddick did it once [in 2003], so it doesn’t happen often. It’s not like he’s had easy draws or whatever. He’s beaten some top, top players.”

    Roger Federer, a five-time champion at Flushing Meadows, was in agreement, having lost to Nadal in the Cincinnati quarter-finals.

    “I’m clearly very impressed,” said the Swiss, who plays Grega Zemlja in Monday’s night session. “Especially seeing him play really well on the quicker hard courts.

    “It would be different if it was just Indian Wells and Miami where it’s very slow over there, and then Montreal and Cincinnati would have been first round [losses].

    “But he won those as well, and he showed also on the quicker hard courts he’s someone to be reckoned with.”

  29. rafaisthebest says:

    Times were Ricky would say, “Until Rafa beats Novak, I am picking Novak to win”. Well, Rafa has beaten Novak twice in a row, one time on his favourite surface, a fast HC. I guess the new refrain is, “Until Rafa beats Novak at the USOpen, I will always pick Novak”.

    Oh wait, Rafa has beaten Novak at the USOpen before……………….

  30. nativenewyorker7 says:

    I am fine with Ricky predicting a Djoker win over Rafa. I don’t have a problem with it. He’s entitled to his opinion and despite recent results, still believe that Djoker has the advantage in a hard court slam. So be it.

    I don’t happen to think that is the case anymore, but even Steve Tignor had the same prediction as Ricky for the final – a Djoker win over Rafa. So maybe Rafa does have to beat him again to show people. It’s been three years since the USO and memories are short or it’s what have you done lately.

    I think Rafa is never more dangerous than when he has something to prove. I think he wants this to reassert himself. I remember an interview he did when he was just coming back earlier this year or maybe it was when he was still out with the knee injury. Someone was talking about Djoker and Murray as dominating now or something to that effect and Rafa answered that he still believes that he should be in that conversation. I wish that I could remember Rafa’s exact words, but there was no question that he made a point of letting the interviewer know that he’s far from done and has more to accomplish in this sport.

    I think Rafa is saying it now with his racket!

  31. vamosrafa says:

    really good post about janowicz by NNY… his temperament is definitely very erratic and its almost as if his mental state is not stable during matches. Yes, rafa exploited his ROS on the forehand side.HIs backhand return is much better but the forehand ROS is pathetic.

    And yes, shot selection is definitely something he needs to put serious work on. I don’t think he can beat any of the big 4 in slam with this whimsicality in his game….lets see how he matures… having said all this, he is still a very dangerous player

    • nativenewyorker7 says:

      vamosrafa,

      I think you may have misunderstood what I was saying. I was speaking about Isner’s ROS. I switched over from Jerzy to Isner in making my comparison between them. So I didn’t write it that clearly. However, I did mean to say that Rafa exposed Isner’s weak ROS in that Cincy final. Having clarified that, you did make a great point about Jerzy. When Rafa played him in Montreal I remember that he did serve to his forehand. I didn’t realize that this is his weaker shot. Rafa did his homework.

      I am not saying that Jerzy isn’t dangerous. If he gets hot and plays his best then it can be a tough match. He played Murray tough in that semi at Wimbledon. But his temperament got in the way and Murray also raised his level of play to get the win.

      I think that Isner and Jerzy are tough in different ways. Isner can get into a rhythm with his serving and just make it impossible for his opponent to break him. He puts tremendous pressure on the opponent’s serve. He is also playing really well now. He has a more complete game with a forehand that can actually do some damage. Jerzy has the complete game to make him a real contender in this sport. He has the big serve and the powerful groundstrokes. It’s all there. Now he just has to get mentally stronger, improve on his shot selection and keep his emotions under control. I think it could go either way with him. He will either go far in this sport or wind up as another Marat Safin.

  32. clayqueen says:

    Saying that Djokovic is the best hard court player over 5 sets or not is a myth. He narrowly beat Rafa in the AO final in 2012 after narrowly escaping defeat in the SF against Murray. He also lost to Murray at the 2013 USO. This year, he has won just 2 h/c titles out of 6 that he has participated in and he’s only made the final in those 2.

    Contrast that with Rafa who has won the title in all 3 of the h/c tournaments he has participated in – 15 matches won and no losses. Nole only beat Rafa in MC this year and he was the favourite for the FO, despite Rafa winning all the clay tournaments leading up to RG apart from MC where he made the final.

    One day people will remove the rose tinted glasses with which they view Djokovic.

    • Naddy: The hype about Djokovic is largely driven by the match commentators who seem to be in awe of him just because he is No.1. They have always been effusive about Federer (even when he is not playing well) and bought into the GOAT myth lock stock and barrel. This is in stark contrast to their commentaries on Nadal which at best display a kind of grudging admiration.

      Whatever happened to impartiality and objectivity in live match commentating?

  33. We’ve talked before about how Djokovic has rested on his laurels since his 2011 streak and that there have been no perceptible changes in his game since then. He should take note of what happened to Federer who took years to accept that he needed to make adjustments even after he started to lose regularly to the younger brigade.

    Believing in your own invincibility leads to pride before the fall.

    Nevertheless, this USO is going to be a roller coaster. Apart from believing it will come down to the Top Four (Rafa, Murray, Roger or Nole) for my part the jury is still out on who that will be.

    • clayqueen says:

      It’s hard to pick an outright winner even before the first ball is struck. Nothing, but nothing is set in stone.

      I’m just hoping that Rafa continues his run and overcomes all comers but nothing is guaranteed.

      #Vamos

  34. rafaisthebest says:

    Well, well……………

    http://www.rogerfedererfans.com/forum/topic/1562-has-wojtek-fibak-joined-the-coaching-team-of-novak-djokovic/

    “Update: I received a confirmation from Novak Djokovic’s PR team that Wojtek Fibak will be assisting Marian Vajda on tactical issues during US Open. ”

    This is what being beaten by Rafa on your favourite surface does to you, you hit the panic button.

  35. A good bit of sleuthing RITB!

    Let’s hope too many cooks spoil the broth ;-)

    • rafaisthebest says:

      Let’s hope so, ed251137!

      I wonder where chr18 is? Would love to hear his spin on this, and Novak’s prospects now that Rafa is “dirty dancing” on his turf! I will not forget chr18 telling us that Novak was soon going to overtake Rafa’s Masters haul (this was after 2011 of course when Novak won 5 Masters in the year, same as Rafa this year so far).

      Of course, pre RG he told us that Novak did not care for Masters 1000s anymore, him being focussed on Slams like Roger and all……….hmmmm.

  36. rafaisthebest says:

    Leave the pseudo-science to Djokovic, Andy!

    http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/tennis/its-meat-and-drink-for-andy-murray-who-dismisses-use-of-novak-djokovic-diet-8783044.html

    “One man’s meat can be another man’s poison, as Andy Murray discovered when he went on the gluten-free diet that transformed Novak Djokovic’s health and fitness.

    “I tried it for a couple of months and felt awful,” Murray said when asked here at the US Open about the regime pioneered by his long-term friend and rival. “I lost all my energy and felt so weak. I didn’t feel it helped me at all, so I just went back to do doing what I did before. It was working fine for me, so I haven’t changed that too much since.”

  37. vamosrafa says:

    Ricky, i have a question …. before cincy, u picked murray to win USO and the two other writers picked djo and nadal .. so, what caused you to change your mind after cincy?

    • i was never picking Murray. That was an article in which we were just making cases for each contender, for the sake of argument. Not our actual picks.

      i would have had to be VERY impressed with Murray in Cincinnati in order to end up picking him. obviously that didn’t happen.

  38. vamosrafa says:

    RITB, thanks for all these news , keep them coming ;)

  39. vamosrafa says:

    djokovic ranks an astonishing 32nd in deciding sets this year.

    #BIG STAT

    • rafaisthebest says:

      That confirms what we have long suspected, it’s a mental thing with Djokovic since 2011.

    • interesting stat vamosrafa. Is it broken down between best of three and best of five?

      For example, I’ve not checked out Fed’s stats but I get the impression he has quite often lost 5-setters. Hence his comment after he lost to Rafa at the AO “In 5-set matches it is not always the best man who wins”.

  40. rafaisthebest says:

    Gotta post this prayer from a post in the following link!:

    http://www.atpworldtour.com/News/Tennis/2013/08/34/US-Open-Preview-Rafael-Nadal.aspx

    “Our Nadal, who art in New York,
    Glory be thy name,
    Thy #1 ranking come,
    Thy win be done,
    This fortnight, and also on November.
    Give us these wins, our daily prayer,
    And forgive us for asking so much of you,
    As we forgive those who doubt and belittle you.
    Do not bring us less than the US Open and the Year End Championship,
    And deliver us from ghosts of losses past.
    Amen”
    (Inithan Kaneshanantham)

  41. vamosrafa – i was never picking Murray. That was an article in which we were just making cases for each contender, for the sake of argument. Not our actual picks.

    i would have had to be VERY impressed with Murray in Cincinnati in order to end up picking him. obviously that didn’t happen.

  42. vamosrafa says:

    oh okay..

    djo being 32nd on the list affirms my picks, so sticking with it :D

  43. vamosrafa says:

    Ed, I think the stat covers both best of five and best of three set matches… djokovic has won two and lost one deciding sets in best of five this year..he has fared poorly in deciding sets of best of three matches :)

  44. nativenewyorker7 says:

    I think there is no question that Rafa has been the best on hard courts this year. The fact that some commentators continue to talk up Djoker doesn’t bother me in the least. It just proves that they have not been paying attention! :)

    If they want to continue to talk as thought Djoker is playing the way he did in 2011 or 2012, then that just means they have blinders on. That info about Djoker adding someone to his team for the USO, says it all. He is feeling the pressure from Rafa! I don’t know that another coach will be the answer, because I believe Djoker’s problem is mental. He is losing it in tight moments in matches when he used to be his best. When you see a player double faulting away breaks of serve, then you know there’s trouble. His serve used to be reliable.

    What is interesting in all this business about the commentators not giving Rafa his due, is the comments from the other top players. Let’s just say that they have noticed how well Rafa is playing. I read comments from Murray somewhere online to the effect that he was quite impressed seeing Rafa do so well at Cincy. Fed also spoke about how well Rafa has played. Djoker said that Rafa is the best player this year! :)

    So for those who wish to see only the ones who aren’t touting Rafa, I say it means a lot more knowing that his fellow top players are giving him all due credit.

  45. monalysa13 says:

    Look, I didnt mean to offend anyone but sometimes I just get confused about the way people view Rafa’s chances when it come to tournaments and more so GSlams!!! Irrespective of how he performs in upcoming tourneys more often than not there is always this doubt or big debate that he could win. I will not say that Rafa is a lock for the US open but there is no way in hell that I will doubt that he will pull off the win. He has as much of a chance, perhaps even more based on form, than any of the remaining so-called big 3 IMO!!!!

  46. If Rafa wins the USO it would make him only the 2nd player in the Open era to win what has been dubbed the American Summer Slam. The first person to achieve this was Rafter in 1998.

  47. nativenewyorker7 says:

    I don’t want to offend anyone either, but I remember very well what happened on TT when I was cautious in my predictions regarding Rafa’s matches. I don’t like anyone presuming to be the fan police. I think we should all be free to post our opinions and thoughts without fear of being branded disloyal when it comes to Rafa.

    I am always cautious especially when it comes to slams. I never take anything for granted. That should not be interpreted as not having confidence and faith in Rafa. I know that Rafa approaches these slam tournaments with caution and respect for every opponent.. He doesn’t believe that he has won before the tournament has even started. He takes it one match at a time. I follow his example. I want him to win the USO very much. It would mean a lot to him and be the ultimate achievement capping off what has been a remarkable comeback. I am just not going to act as though he has it won.

    I remember how there was this so-called Djoker fan posting on TT and Tennis-x. We all know who I am talking about. As it got closer to the Wimbledon final, this jerk was spouting off all kinds of trash talk, bragging about a certain Djoker win, how Murray had zero chance, how it was 99.99999% certain that Djoker would win, Murray would not even win a set, and blah, blah, blah. I knew better. I believe that Murray had a good chance to win that final. After the result, this guy was nowhere to be found. What can you do when you have made a fool of yourself publicly on tennis forums?

    That’s why I don’t go running off at the mouth.

    • Yeah. This Wimby was a very good example of it. Anything can happen in sports.

      But still, they happen once in a while. I dont think it will occur this soon.

  48. vamosrafa says:

    Yeah, agassi won rogers cup and cincy but was beaten in the final of USO in 1995..Rafter did it in 1998 and Roddick did it in 2003..so all men who have won rogers cup and cincy have at least reached the final ;)

    I think Murray was the favourite for that wimbledon final and djo the underdog…don’t know why people were confident about djoker’s chances….and I agree with the above posts that anything could happen.. Lets see how the players get started !

    • nativenewyorker7 says:

      vamosrafa,

      I didn’t understand why Djoker was the favorite for Wimbledon. I thought that Murray had a good chance to beat him. That feeling got stronger the closer we got to the final. I even had to try to bolster the spirits of some of the Murray fans who were not feeling too optimistic at the time.

      Nice stat about the men who won both Rogers Cup and Cincy at least making the final! I hope it’s good luck for Rafa!

      I honestly don’t want to be a downer, it’s just my nature to be careful before seeing even one match. Watching these guys is what helps me to decide how I think it will all play out. I have the luxury of not having to make a prediction before the USO starts. I absolutely want Rafa to win this, there should be no question about that!

  49. Already excited for the 1st day of play.
    Can’t wait for it to unfold :)

  50. NNY: Here is the full text of what Murray, Djokovic and Federer had to say about Rafa

    http://preview.tinyurl.com/lgso429

    this bit made me laugh:

    ‘Even Federer, whose praise is normally reserved for himself, has been taken aback by the performances of Nadal on a surfaced that was always regarded as his least favoured. Federer said: “I’m clearly very impressed………………………..’

    • nativenewyorker7 says:

      ed,

      I just love how Djoker, Murray and Fed are tipping Rafa as the favorite to win here! Way to take the pressure off, guys! But Rafa won’t take that pressure on himself. These guys all have pressure and want to win, so they can say what they want. I guess they are taking a page out of Rafa’s book! :)

      Djoker has the pressure of trying to turn around a year that has been disappointing by his standard for the last two years. He also has the #1 ranking on the line and don’t think he won’t want to fight for it. Murray has the pressure of defending his title here last year and 2000 points. I do think that he can be a little more at ease in the sense that he has now won two slams. He has established himself now. Fed has to turn around his precarious slide this year.

      Rafa is great at defusing pressure. But I honestly think he does take every single opponent seriously. He will want to wipe out the memory of his early exit at Wimbledon. I notice that the other three guys didn’t mention that!

      I just can’t wait to see some tennis matches! It will be nice to see Rafa playing on the first day of competition.

      Let’s get this USO started!

  51. vamosrafa says:

    yup ! lets get started ! vamosss :D

  52. NNY: I’m still puzzled by that early round exit at Wimbledon. Rafa was very sanguine so can only suppose there was more to it than meets the eye i.e. it was strategic rather than anything else. Whatever, he stormed back in better shape than ever. I dont suppose we will ever get over being nervous about his knee particularly before, and during, the majors. Fingers crossed he can win all his early round matches in straight sets – at least up to the QFs. it’s not like he needs match play to hot up this year!

    • nativenewyorker7 says:

      We will never know what went on with that shocker at Wimbledon. For myself, I think it was about the lack of preparation and also the knee. But whatever they did this time with the knee, seems to have worked quite well. I haven’t seen Rafa moving this confidently and quickly on the court in some time. He is obviously feeling good.

      I am always nervous at the beginning of a slam. But I am feeling good about all the match play Rafa got at Montreal and Cincy. I think he’s feeling pretty darn good about it, too!

  53. clayqueen says:

    Murray is the one with the most pressure followed by Djoker. If Murray falls early and Feru does well, Murray could go down to #4. If Djoker doesn’t defend his points and Rafa does well, Rafa moves closer to #1. If Nole doesn’t defend his final; points and Rafa wins the tournament, Rafa will be #1.

    Rafa can relax and just hope to do well. He knows, more than anyone, how to take pressure off himself.

  54. vamosrafa says:

    I think djokovic has the most pressure…Murray should not be having much pressure…

    I feel this USO is most important for djokovic , then nadal and then murray…

  55. rafaisthebest says:

    Look who showed up for Rafa’s practice session, the Fed himself! Hahaha, first it was Muzza, now Fed, all that’s left is Novak and the whole HC specialist triumvirate will have turned up to marvel at the new HC specialist:

    https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=624603110907015&set=a.340356722664990.83519.148218238545507&type=1&theater

    • clayqueen says:

      Well, I never!!!!!!! Who’d have thought!!!!!!!!!!!!

    • clayqueen says:

      Who let him in????

      Muzz has already been practicing with the King of Tennis.

    • Raindrops says:

      Was that really Roger watching Rafa’s practice? I can’t believe it. Maybe it was just a phtoshopped haha. Can’t imagine what might Rafa have in mind knowing that Roger is watching him practicising.

      Don’t get distracted Rafa, focus on your own game and play with no “presion”. Enjoy playing in a many matches as you can and give all your best to win them all. Just be careful. All eyes on you !!!

      Vamos !!!!

    • nativenewyorker7 says:

      I can’t believe what I am seeing! Fed is sitting right there in plain sight! Rafa knew he was there. This is really something!

      I think Fed is openly scouting Rafa to get more answers. Unbelievable! Our Rafa is a marked man!

  56. Shireling1 says:

    I think that if Rafa’s knees let him play close to his 100 % and if he gets to the 2nd week (not sure if he will), then there will be no stopping him. Doesn’t matter who he plays against. IMHO

  57. Struff, Tomic, and Nishikori all up breaks in their matches

  58. Conspirator says:

    Blake retiring??????

    NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  59. Dont count your chickens before they are hatched Ricky :-P

    Evans 2 sets up against Nishiikori
    Rufin 2 sets up against Struff
    1 set all between Tomic and Ramos – Ramos a break up in the 3rd

  60. rafaisthebest says:

    Kei bites the dust……

  61. rafaisthebest says:

    Can Albert Ramos take this annoying Tomic out?

  62. Dan Evans has just put out the No.16 seed! What a feather in his cap…

  63. clayqueen says:
  64. Yay Dan and Yay Laura too!

  65. One of Ricky’s semifinalists – Jerzy Janowicz – is out. Maximo Gonzalez, who defeated JJ, comes from same hometown as Juan Martin del Potro and Juan Monaco!
    But, there was something wrong with JJ’s back – he received treatment during the match.

  66. clayqueen says:

    Mr Sharapova is out.

  67. monalysa13 says:

    So both Jerzy and Janowicz are out!!!! Very interesting and beaten by relative unknowns!!!

  68. monalysa13 says:

    Isner seems to be heading towards Rafa’s way!!!!

    • clayqueen says:

      Looks like it. I hope someone takes him out before that Rafa doesn’t need the agro. Volandri was worse than useless.

      • monalysa13 says:

        Im telling you, last thing Rafa needs, but if they do met Isner intends to make a statement!!!…………but so doees Rafa!!!

        Someone on another site was saying that they feel that the stars are aligned and its Rafa’s year!!! Boy oh boy oh boy! I feel the same way!

        GSlam no.13 in 2013!!!

        VAMOS!!!

    • rafaisthebest says:

      Good, I want Rafa to be tested before he meets the big guns. Keeps him sharp mentally.

  69. @wc 7.25
    Just what I was thinking :( Though JJ was injured/sick wasn’t he? That bit of the draw even wider open now.

  70. vamosrafa says:

    nice…dimitrov out, JJ out, gulbis out…wow…shocking

  71. I hope that maybe the hype will die down with Jerzy now. I know that he had a back problem in that match, but he didn’t look good against Blake in the first round at Cincy. People seem to forget that at Wimbledon, both Rafa and Fed got knocked out early. That helped Jerzy to get to the semis.

    I remember when Cilic beat Murray in the fourth round at the 2009 USO and then got to the semis at the 2010 AO, everyone was calling him the next great player, baby Delpo, whatever. But he hasn’t come close to doing anything like that again.

    Dimitrov cramps up in best of three matches. How would he possibly trouble any of the top guys? Gulbis is the ultimate head case. He has pretty much thrown away his career.

    Raonic has a opportunity now in his part of the draw. Maybe he can take advantage. But things are looking good for Ferrer if he can play decent tennis.

  72. wc0206@August 27, 2013 at 7:25 pm
    _future of tennis looking good_.

    Better than good – Vasek Pospisil lost. He had more than 5 match points!

  73. clayqueen says:

    Raonic is the worst of the Futures in my humble opinion. He simply has no game. Harrison is far more talented but not good enough to beat the very top like the likes of Rafa did as a teenager, If Harrison gets a few lucky draws he would do well.

  74. clayqueen says:

    If Rafa makes it past the Qtrs. he’ll have done the hard part.

  75. With all 32 matches completed for the bottom half of the draw, Ricky has a very respectable 69% success rate for his predictions. (Y)

  76. Six seeded players have already bitten the dust after just two days play.

    Gulbis’ frank comment maybe ‘I got carried away seeing my name in BOLD in the draw’ might equally well apply to Jerzy and Dimitrov.

  77. Gulbis just doesn’t care enough. He thinks that his talent should be enough and that he shouldn’t have to do anything more except show up on court. He will never put in the hard work necessary to be successful in this sport.

    Ferrer’s part of the draw is beyond easy now. There is only Raonic. Tipsy isn’t playing well right now, so I don’t see him doing anything. If Ferrer can’t make it through for whatever reason, then goodness only knows who could show up in the semis!

  78. I find everything about Gulbis deeply unattractive. And I’m not amused by his conceited responses in press interviews. Net result: I get a deep sense of satisfaction whenever he gets egg on his face.

    Daveed has gone off the boil somewhat but he should be able to handle Raonic if they both get to the QFs.

  79. rafaisthebest says:

    Hehehe! Fedal are not fans of the gluten-free hocus-pocus;

    RT@AmyFetherolf: “Q. Some players are interested in the gluten free diet. What do you think about that? ROGER FEDERER: Oh, no, I have extra gluten.

    “Nadal is not even convinced gluten-free will be the top athletic diet in the next few years. The same way people believe Twitter and Facebook could be overtaken by the next social media site, Nadal says gluten-free dieting could lose its standing.

    “Now, it seems like the gluten-free diet is great,” he said. “After three years or four years, we will find another thing that will be great too. Then the gluten-free will not work anymore.”

    http://www.thepostgame.com/blog/training-table/201308/rafael-nadal-gluten-free-diet-tennis-us-open

  80. Well, it works for Nole, is all I can say. But would also work for anyone who wants to lose a load of weight, athlete or not.
    @ed
    Completely agree with you re Gulbis. Spoilt little rich boy, or what? Just shows that talent alone will not cut it. As Dan Evans discovered this Summer, you gotta put in the work.
    Couldn’t resist a plug for Dan, folks. ;) He is another “one off.” Top 50 material too, if he keeps working.

    • rafaisthebest says:

      I am more inclined to believe Muzza when he says he felt lethargic when he tried a gluten free diet and he stopped. How can you be in a high insurance sport and not eat carbs? Nonsense. Nole is fooling people.

  81. clayqueen says:

    deucy, how do you know that gluten free diet works for Nole? It’s like the Exercise Videos that the stars bring out leading everyone to believe that’s what did it for them when in reality they live on lettuce leaves and have had a tummy tuck and a face lift.

    • rafaisthebest says:

      Well, works for Nole in the same way water turns green when he screams at it. Am not making this up, read his book.

      #PowerOfTheMind
      #Hocus-Pocus

  82. clayqueen says:

    Someone please take Isner out before the 4th round, PLEASE!!!!

  83. @Clayqueen
    Lol :) and I remember a certain TV “personality” forced to admit she’s had a gastric band fitted…yukkety, yuk, yuk.
    Well, Nole used to retire from matches with breathing difficulties, not doing that any more. Now he is incredibly fit. I rest my case.
    Feel the same about Berdych as you do about Isner. Please someone, anyone, take him out b4 the quarters!

  84. vamosrafa says:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/tennis/usopen/10267789/Today-on-YouTube-world-No-2-Rafael-Nadal-produces-early-contender-for-shot-of-the-tournament-in-US-Open.html

    This is magic from rafa :D

    And I read JJ served a couple of underarm serves, threw his water bottle on the court and said his lower back felt like it was being stabbed by a knife…DISGUSTING

    • I saw the Jerzy match and he did serve underarm at one point. Then he got into a fight with the chair umpire screaming and yelling all over the place. His attitude on court is quite unappealing. The commentators were talking about the problems he had in school. He was always in trouble. There are some serious issues with this guy.

  85. Ricky! I noticed the Recent Comments Widget at the bottom of the front page. Is it there to make a visitor to scroll down the page ? :)
    I would prefer to see ‘POPULAR RECENT ARTICLES’ and ‘Recent Comments’ widgets near each other (wherever they are).

    • it’s there because recent comments widget is kind of worthless.

      but i will think about your suggestion. thanks!

  86. Bernard Tomic is looking the most comfortable on and off the court for some time. Keep an eye on him….

  87. clayqueen says:
  88. Ricky’s prediction success rate (62.5%) for the top half of the draw was slightly down on the bottom half score (69%)

    Overall for the first round 65.6%.

    Not bad.

  89. Stephan Shun says:

    Rafael Nadal will have a breeze in this tournament. He hasn’t lost a single set until the Round of 16. He is unbeaten on hard courts this year, winning back-to-back titles recently with an additional Indian Wells title to add to it. With his defensive barrier allowing no winners from his opponent, and adding an aggressive style to his hard court play, an opponent the speed of even Usian Bolt won’t be able to catch his winners. Djokovic, I suggest you better watch out! Rafa will beat you in 3 easy sets .

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